The Hype Train Station – Week 5 Waivers

By James Fotheringham (@NFLHypeTrain)

Week 5 is upon us and next week the dreaded bye weeks begin. To some it might be a relief as it’s harder for star players to get injured when their team is on a bye week.

This week we had injuries to Joe Mixon, David Montgomery, Logan Thomas, Teddy Bridgewater, Jimmy Garoppolo, Will Fuller, Tony Jones Jr and Josh Reynolds.

Backup RBs may be the theme of the day on your waiver wire but these fixes may not be for long and as Chuba Hubbard owners will tell you, it doesn’t always go as planned. But speaking of plans it’s time to scan the timetable, punch your tickets and get on the next Hype Train.

1st Class Ticket

The 1st class ticket section covers players who will be the top targets on the wire and the hot ticket.

Damien Williams – RB – Chicago Bears – @LV – Ownership Percentage: ~10%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 10%

After a goose egg in week 3 and not a lot of production in the first 2 weeks of the season, you’d be forgiven for thinking that this is a bold call after a modest 8 carries for 55 yards and a TD in week 4. However, David Montgomery had a monster day, but came out with a knee injury. It’s not expected to be a season ending ACL tear as first feared but a hyperextended knee which is painful but not so severe. He’s still likely to miss some time and after the statline as a stand in against the Lions, Williams should be able to just slot in if required. Keep an eye on injury reports though as there’s always a chance Montgomery is cleared to play against the Raiders in which case Williams is still handy, but not a 1st choice option off waivers. Samaje Perine is in a similar boat for Cincinatti with Mixon likely to miss time.

Jameison Crowder – New York Jets –  vsBAL – Ownership Percentage: ~20%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 16%

I was nervous about Jameison Crowder returning this week, I wasn’t sure he’d get enough of the ball with the Jets looking awful and Corey Davis being the bright spark. It turns out Crowder was one of the missing pieces they needed to get back into the line up and Zach Wilson needed better quality options. Okay the Titans looked poor (hence why I can’t highlight their matchup with the Jags next week in the Day Return section) but Crowder instantly clicked and 7 catches off 9 targets for 61 yards and a TD meant anyone who gambled on him was rewarded handsomely. He will be picked up in a lot of leagues so if he is still there the FAAB price just went up.

2nd Class Ticket

This section covers player who may not be the top option but could be good replacements for bye weeks or just have strong matchups. A Flex ticket if you must.

Kenneth Gainwell – RB – Philadelphia Eagles – @CAR – Ownership Percentage: ~30%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 10%

I’ve mentioned Gainwell a few times at the Hype Train Station and his use in the passing game against the Chiefs, coupled with a rushing touchdown shows that the Eagles are starting to work out just how effective he can be for them. Miles Sanders has been disappointing for fantasy owners and the surge in production from Gainwell will make his owners more nervous. The running game isn’t being utilised properly and so the RB who is more adept at catching the ball is going to be the more valuable one. This week Gainwell had 6 receptions, 89 all-purpose yards and a TD for a player that’s only going to get better? Grab him now before it’s too late.

Dalton Schultz – TE – Dallas Cowboys – vsCLE – Ownership Percentage: ~20%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 0%

For those (myself included) who felt Schultz performances so far this season were just temporary flashes in the pan had that notion severely questioned this week. He had another touchdown, another 6 reception game (3rd this season) and 58 yards to make it 3 strong performances in 4 weeks for the Cowboys, who seem to be really utilising their tight ends. The loss of Gallup has really opened up targets for Schultz and Jarwin and the scheme just seems to be working. Schultz is becoming a must start and has more staying power than the likes of Robert Tonyan last year. That role may be Dawson Knox this year who is also a TE who should be owned in most leagues.

Other players of note (approx. % owned):

RB: Samaje Perine (CIN ~2%), Darrel Williams (KC ~10%), Jeremy McNicholls (TEN ~2%).

WR: Van Jefferson (LAR ~6%), Randall Cobb (GB ~15%), AJ Green (ARI ~25%), Kadarious Toney (NYG ~2%).

TE: Dawson Knox (BUF ~20%), CJ Uzomah (CIN ~1%), Zach Ertz (PHI ~16%), Maxx Williams (ARI ~3%).

Day Return Ticket

This section will highlight the QBs and DST options who you may be able to pickup as a streaming option this week. We often advise people not to draft an early QB and certainly not an early DST so this section backs up that advice.

Matt Ryan – QB – Atlanta Falcons – vsNYJ – Ownership Percentage: ~40%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 2%

Matt Ryan is one of many QBs whose ownership figure vary dramatically between platforms. He’s as low as 20% owned on some platforms but over 60% in others. It may be a reflection on the number of 2QB leagues on each platform (where I admit this section is useless as every QB is taken in 2QB formats) but either way if Ryan is available you should grab him for this matchup with the Jets. Despiting winning in OT the Jets still aren’t very good and Ryan is coming off his best performance of the season in the 34-30 loss to Washington. He threw for 283 yards and 4 TDs whilst also rushing for 17 yards. The chemistry seems to be picking up and the adaption to life after Julio has been painful but this may be the game where those fears end.

Other low rostered options at QB to consider are: Sam Darnold (CAR vsPHI ~25%), Taylor Heinicke (WAS vsNO ~10%).

Minnnesota Vikings – DST – vsDET – Ownership Percentage: ~20%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 0%

The Vikings held Cleveland to 14 points this week and got pressure to Baker Mayfield in crucial situations. Against the Lions there should be room for expression and possibly another strange Jared Goff fumble (if you haven’t seen it, go watch it). It’s not been the best season for DST’s with only 10 averaging over 6 points per game. The Bears, Panthers and Cowboys fit into those 10 and aren’t heavily owned. The Bears have a rough few games coming up but apart from Vegas next week, the Panther may still be viable but if you want a potential every week started from your waiver wire, I’d suggest the Cowboys. They have some nice games coming up but they’ve looked very convincing so far.

Other low rostered options at DST to consider are: Cowboys (vsNYG ~25%), Titans (@JAX ~40%), Raiders (vsCHI ~12%).

Advanced Ticket

Advanced fares are for players who you won’t be playing in your line-ups straight away, but keep an eye on developments, and if you’re in deeper leagues, get a bargain by jumping in before everyone else.

Ty Montgomery – RB – New Orleans Saints – Ownership Percentage: ~1%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 0%

With Tony Jones likely to miss time the Saints will need to utilise somebody else as their customary 2nd RB to Alvin Kamara. Nobody will do the job as well as Mark Ingram did back in the day, but back then, Ty Montgomery was expected to be the breakout star in Green Bay and was tipped as such by many fantasy analysts. He got injured, missed the season and never came back into the fold. He’s now the 3rd choice in New Orleans but now the 2nd choice is out he becomes viable in fantasy again. He’s a converted wide receiver so pass catching is in his nature. The problem is, it’s the same for Kamara so they are very similar. It’ll be worth seeing how it goes this week but if he does have a good game, the price increases so if you have a deep bench, he could be a stash.

Kalif Raymond & Quintez Cephus – WR – Detroit Lions – Ownership Percentage: ~1% & ~6%.

Recommended FAAB Budget: 0%

The Lions may not be the best team but that usually means you have to throw the ball a lot. Okay Jared Goff is the one throwing the ball so don’t set your expectations too high but in an offence where the star is the Tight End and with no alpha wide receiver both Raymond and Cephus have shown flashes with Cephus being the most consistent but Raymond having the most recent breakout game. With Amon-Ra St Brown still learning the ropes these two should get production on a weekly basis and if Hockensen goes down at any point they will shoot up in value.

For the latest on pick-ups and drops, make sure you checkout @F10YFantasy and @NFLHypeTrain on Twitter. Remember, keep those #EyesPeeled.

By James Fotheringham (@NFLHypeTrain)

Fantasy Football Podcaster and Analyst

Full 10 Yards Fantasy

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