• Tue. Sep 22nd, 2020

The Hype Train Station – Week 2

Bynflhypetrain

Sep 15, 2020

By James Fotheringham (@NFLHypeTrain)

FOOTBALL IS BACK, and you know what that means…  FANTASY FOOTBALL IS BACK!

It also means that the weekly issue of “what do I do on the waiver wire” is back. The Hype Train is here as your tour guide so you have the right tickets at the right price.

A lot of the time this list highlights big performances or key injuries. So far in week 1: Lev Bell, Marlon Mack, Devante Parker, Michael Thomas and #AlwaysJarwin were among those who left games through injury. A few surprise players went ham and some we’re surprising leaders on their teams but the more data we get, the easier it will come to pick out the best value tickets.

Don’t forget to keep your #EyesPeeled for tomorrow’s podcast where we’ll be discussing our favourite waiver wire targets in a bit more detail.


1st Class Ticket

The 1st class ticket section covers players who will be the top targets on the wire and the hot ticket.


Nyheim Hines -RBIndianapolis Colts – Ownership Percentage: 34%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 30%

Hines had a monster game against the Jaguars and looked like he was the lead back. Then Marlon Mack went down and suddenly, he was the lead. The rookie Jonathan Taylor is still acclimatising but he’s going to see a large role and while he develops, Hines is going to see a lot of the ball. The Mack injury has clarified that backfield and Hines is available on waivers in probably 2/3 of leagues. Based on game 1 he is worth a flex play in a lot of leagues and you don’t get many of those on the waiver wire.


Dallas Goedert -TEPhiladelphia Eagles – Ownership Percentage: 27%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 25%

I mentioned him last week and I don’t mind banging this drum again because he’s still only 27% owned but after Wednesday he will never get that low again unless he gets injured. DJax was ineffective, Reagor is still finding his feet and with Sanders missing the 2TE set was a thing and with both finding paydirt in week one the reality backed up the logic. This trend should continue and if you want a weekly TE option, here’s one on waivers now.


2nd Class Ticket

This section covers player who may not be the top option but could be good replacements for bye weeks or just have strong matchups. A Flex ticket if you must.


Malcolm Brown – RBLos Angeles Rams – Ownership Percentage: 8%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 10%

Brown was a fantastic late round option in Bestball but not many took the gamble in redraft leagues. The Rams backfield was a bit of a minefield but now it seems clear that Brown and Akers are going to be the main 2 options and Darrel Henderson is now a droppable player. Brown had a monster game against Dallas, which appears to have been their game plan, so don’t expect those kind of numbers every week. However, he is going to see work each week on this evidence and again, he may be better than most options on some benches.


Allen Lazard – WRGreen Bay PackersOwnership Percentage: 25%

M. V-Scantling – WRGreen Bay PackersOwnership Percentage: 2%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 2% (for either)

Lazard and MVS were both valuable for the Packers as Aaron Rodgers tried to prove there is life in him yet. I still see Lazard as the #2 WR but the gap to Adams will be huge. Week 1 didn’t really have a standout WR pickup option but lots of servicable ones and I think Lazard has the most secured role in the medium to long term. If Lazard isn’t on your wire I can still see Valdes-Scantling being worth a pickup.


Other players of note:

RB: Jerrick McKinnon, Josh Adams, Benny Snell, Joshua Kelley.

WR: Corey Davis, Parris Campbell, Jalen Reagor, Laviska Shenault, Willie Snead, Russel Gage.

TE: Logan Thomas, OJ Howard, Jimmy Graham, Jordan Akins.


Day Return Ticket

This section will highlight the QBs and DST options who you may be able to pickup as a streaming option this week. We often advise people not to draft an early QB and certainly not an early DST so this section backs up that advice.


G. Minshew – QBJacksonville Jaguars – Ownership Percentage: 15%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 1%

I can’t believe that I’m already advocating a second Jaguars player considering what I wrote last week. I similarly can’t believe how bad Fitzpatrick did. Minshew might be a plausible start every week and some teams may pick him up and opt to keep him. Whether the Jags are competitive or playing catchup they are relying on Minshew and his arm as well as his occasional scramble so you’re guaranteeing above average points most weeks.

Other low owned options at QB to consider are Kirk Cousins @IND (21%) and Mitchell Trubisky vsNYG (3%)


Washington Football Team – DST – Ownership Percentage: 2%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 0

It’s not the best matchup away at the Cardinals but the defensive lineup and the performance against the Eagles suggest they are a defence to look out for. We did mention them on the podcast as a dark horse and I’m glad we at least mentioned it here too. This defence has a lot of quality pieces (mostly from Alabama) and is a team that looks determined to draw attention away from its owner and the negative press they’ve had of late.

Other low owned options at DST to consider are: Rams @PHI (13%), Cardinals vsWAS (1%).


Advanced Ticket

After week one it’s hard to predict who will come good in a few weeks’ time so I’m going to pick out some players where you should keep tracking their progress and if you have the room to gamble, then go for it, otherwise, see if some positive patterns emerge and try jump in ahead of the competition before their breakout.


Myles Gaskin – RBMiami Dolphins – Ownership Percentage: 0.1%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 0

Gaskin ended up with 9 rushes for 40yards and 4 catches for 26yards which meant he had more production than both Jordan Howard and Matt Breida (although Howard did get the TD). Gaskin will get picked up in a lot of leagues with people looking for a lead back. He’s not guaranteed to be that, but if he doesn’t cost much and you have bench space, take a punt, otherwise, keep an eye on his workload as a trend like this makes him have value.


Quintez Cephus – WRDetroit Lions – Ownership Percentage: 0.3%

Recommended FAAB Budget: 0

And finally for teams needing WR help soon, keep an eye on Cephus. Another rookie but one who played over 70% of snaps and was targeted 10 times including a few key throws. He’s still developing and may have benefited from the lack of Kenny Golladay but if that kind of target share continues, he is worth a stash in deep leagues. I can’t go for him yet as his catch % need to improve which should happen when he loses the rookie jitters.

For the latest on pick-ups and drops, make sure you checkout @F10YFantasy on Twitter. Remember, keep those #EyesPeeled.

By James Fotheringham (@NFLHypeTrain)

Fantasy Football Podcaster and Analyst

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