First on my list of dynasty sells is Derrick Henry. Henry drove the Titans to the 2019 playoffs with his powerful running and it appeared that defenders were scared to try and tackle him. In fact, during one run, Henry used Baltimore Ravens safety Earl Thomas as his lead blocker when a devastating stiff arm spun Thomas around! Henry rushed for 1540 yards and 16 touchdowns in the 2019 regular season, eclipsing his best ever season by nearly 500 yards! He then backed this up with another 446 yards and two touchdowns during the 2019 playoffs. So why does he make the ‘sell’ list?
In my opinion, Henry has reached the ceiling and with that, his maximum value. I would certainly be putting the feelers out there to see exactly what you can get for him. Henry has been in the league for 4 seasons and whilst he has been improving year on year, he will not eclipse last seasons performances. Before 2019, Henry had a best season of 1059 yards and 12 touchdowns and in the previous 2 seasons hadn’t reached 1000 yards and only managed 5 touchdowns each year.
There is no doubting that Henry is one of the better running backs in the league at this moment in time but when playing dynasty, you need to capitalise on players at their maximum value. I think Henry’s first three seasons are a better representation of what you can expect if you hold onto him. Don’t expect him to clock up over 1500 yards each year. Get the value now as someone is always desperate for a running back and will no doubt overpay for someone like Henry!
(Image credit: Katharine Lotze – Getty Images)
James Conner RB – Pittsburgh Steelers
At the beginning of last season, James Conner started as the 8th running back taken in the draft (on average) and has now fallen to an average draft position (ADP) of running back 22! The main issue here is health. In 2019 Conner played just 10 games and rushed for a measly 464 yards with a longest run of just 25 yards. There was a lot of hype and expectation on Conner when he took over from Le’Veon Bell and he produced a good year in 2018, rushing for 973 yards and adding 497 receiving yards.
James Conner is still rumoured to be the starting running back for the Steelers franchise (according to Steelers GM Kevin Colbert) which means that he will still have value now. If you are of the belief that he won’t regain the form of 2018, then his value will only drop. If you aren’t sold on him I would consider using him as trade bait. If you want to keep him, he is a third running back at best right now.
(Image credit: Matthew Stockman – Getty Images)
Phillip Lindsay RB – Denver Broncos
Phillip Lindsay is one of the most frustrating players in fantasy football. You can watch the highlights and think he is lighting it up every week but if you delve into the stats he just wasn’t consistent enough. Lindsay will get 20+ points one week and 3 the next! He has value though. If you look at the seasonal stats he has amassed over 1000 yards in each of his first two seasons with 1037 and 1011 yards respectively.
In my opinion, he won’t make it to 1000 yards again in 2020 and his value will drop. Going into 2020, Lindsay will now be splitting time with Melvin Gordon and/or Royce Freeman which will limit his opportunities and he needs to make bigger improvements in the receiving game where he did not have 1 single touchdown in 2019. There just aren’t enough upsides to keep Lindsay right now. Whilst you may have lost the value with the Gordon move, still try and move him on to someone that is a bit more bullish about Lindsay.
(Image credit: Aaron Doster – USA Today Sports)
AJ Green WR – Cincinnati Bengals
AJ Green is a stellar wide receiver, there is no doubting his ability. However, he missed the entirety of the 2019 season due to injury and only played 10 games the year before. He is also 31 years old. Whichever way you look at it, the value that you can potentially get for Green is only going to go down. He may still be of value to a team that is looking for a short-term guy to help win a championship in 2020 or 2021. He certainly won’t be an option for a team that is currently in rebuild mode.
This is where you need to know your league and the teams that make it up. If you know that there is another team that may be one receiver short of having a real chance at winning the championship, you may be able to get some value for Green. AJ Green will likely be staying in Cincinnati and he will probably have rookie QB Joe Burrow throwing him the ball. If he can stay healthy, he is still one of the best receivers in the league. Its a risk to trade him but also a risk to trade for him!
(Image credit: Scott Varley – Staff Photographer)
Keenan Allen WR – LA Chargers
In 2017, Keenan Allen finally proved that he could stay healthy and since then he has amassed three seasons where he has averaged over 100 receptions and over 1200 yards. As good as these numbers appear, he hasn’t been able to score more than six touchdowns each year. He is also losing Philip Rivers at QB. No matter who is under centre for the Chargers next year, it won’t be a big upgrade on Rivers. The uncertainty that Allen now faces leaves a little bit of a problem for dynasty owners. He has been producing good numbers but we have no idea who will be throwing to him in 2020.
You can get good value for Allen and replace him with a young receiver from the draft as his name will still carry a lot of weight. If you can manage to get a mid first round pick for him, you can let the new owner deal with the wide range of possible outcomes for Allen in 2020.
Time to jump on the bandwagon and start to put a few feelers out there in terms of the 1st round of the NFL draft. Don’t forget to check out the Full 10 Yards College Football podcast that will cover a whole host of topics and no doubt mock drafts from now until April rolls around. Without any further a delay, here is my first mock draft for 2020 (going straight in with trades!).
#1 – Joe Burrow – QB
Let’s not get too crazy right out of the gate, Joe Burrow is a 1/100 shot currently with bookmakers to go 1st overall. I don’t buy all the current smokescreen that Burrow will “pull an Eli”. Not saying I won’t do a mock draft where this happens, but let’s keep things simple, stupid.
#2 – Chase Young – DE
Again, not getting too creative here at 2 and the Redskins get a monster who’ll make his presence felt as soon as he walks through the door as the edge rusher from Ohio State lands in the Nation’s capital. Whilst I think the Redskins will be open to trading back with teams such as Miami, we’ll save the trades until pick number 3,
#3 – Tua Tagoviola – QB
*MIA TRADE #5, #26 and #70 to DET for #3*
Miami trade up to take Tua, who’ll sit behind Ryan Fitzpatrick for at the most part of the 2020 season. The price they pay is their 5th overall, number 26th (from the Texans) and a 3rd round pick. The price could easily be a lot steeper should the Panthers and Chargers sniff around and if Tua’s medical issues are not too much of an issue.
#4 – Jeffrey Okudah – CB
Another year, another top 5 pick for the blue side of New York. This time it’s Okudah that gets the call. The Cornerback out of Ohio State helps plug one of many needs for the Giants. I would suggest that the Giants are candidates to move back, but Gettleman isn’t know for his creativity or intricacy in April (or any month of the year for that matter). As they have a new HC, they’ll keep things simple and go with a best player available approach.
#5 – Isiah Simmons – OLB
*MIA TRADE #5, #26 and #70 to DET for #3*
I wouldn’t put it past Detroit to fall further back and accumulate even more picks from here. Matt Patricia of course would have learned from the best in Bill Belichick in terms of acquiring more dart throws. For now, we have the Lions selecting Simmons, Linebacker out of Clemson. A team that have plenty of gaps to fill on the defensive side of the ball start here.
#6 – Justin Herbert – QB
The Chargers take their shot at QB in Oregon QB Justin Herbert. He’s raw, and a project and the Chargers certainly wont want to be starting him until the latter parts of the 2020 season at the earliest! There are scenarios where I see them trade out of this spot as they acquire their QB in free agency (maybe Cam Newton? Maybe Tom Brady) but we’ll leave that until we have a bit more clarity. For now, Herbert is their guy.
#7 – Derrick Brown – DT
Brown somehow falls to the Panthers here at #7. Whilst they’ll be strong candidates to go QB in the 1st round too as all signs point to Carolina wanting to strip this whole thing back with a whole new coaching staff (which is why I can see Cam going to LA), in this scenario, they take Brown as the QBs left on the board are not worth the #7 overall.
#8 – Jedrick Wills – OT
Arizona have just re-signed DJ Humphries to a long term extension and they double down here and select the first offensive lineman on the board in 2020. The Alabama tackle will come in straight away and help fix the patches on the line and give Kyler Murray the protection they’ve been wanting to provide for years. If Wills isn’t here or they aren’t enamoured with the OT in the class until later on, Arizona are another trade back candidate.
#9 – Javon Kinlaw – DT
The Jaguars were one of the worst against the run in 2019. How to fix that? Stick in a 6 foot 6, 301 anchor from South Carolina. There’s a lot of questions and holes to fill in east Florida, and Kinlaw can be the first guy to plug up the leak in the trench from day 1 and he’ll only improve with the more experience he gets.
#10 – Mekhi Becton – OT
I will be stunned if the Browns look this gift horse in the mouth. Plenty of tackle options for the Browns in this prime spot, Becton is an absolute monster of a man. He’s a freak of nature who moves unbelievably well for a man that is 6 foot 7 and 350+ lbs. Whilst he wont be as effective as some of the other tackles from day 1, a few years down the line, he could be one of the best around. A key piece for Baker’s resurgence as he enters his 3rd year.
#11 – Tristan Wirfs – OL
The most sensible option here for the Jets would be to take a offensive lineman to help protect Sam Darnold. Tristan Wirfs is the guy here who can play either side of the line. Sam Darnold was pressured a lot last season and he needs to be able to feel comfortable with his line to eradicate poor decisions and ultimately interceptions. They could go WR here too, filling the void that Robby Anderson will likely leave.
#12 – Jerry Jeudy – WR
The Alabama WR heads to Sin City to be their star attraction. Jeudy is great at separation and garnering yards after the catch, something Derek Carr will love and it will give a helping hand to Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller after the Antonio Brown experiment failed catastrophically last year. Feel free to interchange this name with CeeDee Lamb as i undoubtedly will do as I get through more iterations of mock drafts.
#13 – Andrew Thomas – OT
Whilst the Colts could have made it three WR in a row, the Colts’ offensive line could see Anthony Castanzo vacate his spot on the line so the Colts could plug that hole back up with the All-American Tackle from Georgia. Who knows who he’ll be protecting at Lucas Oil Stadium.
#14 – Grant Delpit – S
Whilst it’s not the sexiest of picks, the Buccaneers struggled against the pass mightily and have done so for a while. A Shaq Barrett replacement could also be used with this pick but let’s assume he returns to Raymond James here. The LSU Safety has the ability to be one of the best on the field, despite his knock of missing tackles and is most people’s top Safety on the board in this class. McKinney truthers will have to wait a few more picks.
#15 – CeeDee Lamb – WR
Difficult to pinpoint exactly what Denver want to do here. It must be refreshing that the QB talk (for now) has dissipated and in this mock, they give current QB Drew lock and his main guy Courtland Sutton a huge helping hand. CeeDee will help take safety coverage away from Sutton and both could prosper. There are a few holes for Denver to fill including O-Line and CB/LB but hey, WR are more sexy to mock aren’t they!?
#16 – K’Lavon Chaisson – EDGE
The Falcons have made it clear they will not entertain Vic Beasley in one of their new uniforms next season. Enter the man with a name perfect for an edge rusher almost so perfect, it’s a shame Chase Young is in this draft class. The LSU pass rusher is an explosive guy off the edge and should slip in quite nicely here in Atlanta.
#17 – Xavier McKinney – S
Safety is a position Jason Garrett avoided like the plague. Under a new era sparks a new way of thinking. McKinney is very versatile and can play both up top on the line and back deep too. With Byron Jones questions lingering, he could also help fill in at CB. He’ll primarily be their Safety and the odd Nickel/Dime slot Corner, but McKinney ticks a lot of boxes for a team that isn’t known for its brilliance on defence in terms of takeaways.
#18 – A.J Epenesa – EDGE
The Miami Dolphins take another player here to fill a big need. The Iowa pass rusher will come and fill in for a depleted pass rush room where Taco Charlton, a Cowboys castaway is currently “the guy”…yikes. Teams do like to pick a like for like replacement on pick trades; with this being the Minkah Fitzpatrick pick from the Steelers, don’t be surprised to see the Dolphins pick a safety if Delpit/McKinney fell here.
#19 – Jordan Love – QB
If the Raiders, more specifically Jon Gruden, want to transition from Derek Carr, they will be taking a Quarterback in this draft. Love is a more mobile Quarterback than Jacob Eason and seems more like a “Gruden guy”. If they aren’t interested in a QB in this draft, either because they “like” Carr or they bring in a vet from FA, they will likely go defensive side of the ball here with a guy like LB Kenneth Murray. That’s for later.
#20 – Henry Ruggs – WR
*BUF trades #22, #86 #150 for JAX #20, #187*
Buffalo need to give Josh Allen a few more weapons. They have a decent defensive roster and their RB from 2019 Devin Singletary acquitted himself well. With John Brown reaching the age where father time gives him a visit, the WR core needs improvement and rather than getting sloppy seconds after Philadelphia, they trade 2 picks up to get their guy.
#21 – Tee Higgins – WR
Whilst Buffalo traded up to get their guy, Philadelphia’s guy wasn’t the one they selected and Tee Higgins makes it 2 WR in a row. Alshon Jeffrey’s status is unclear but considered Greg Ward and Mack Hollins were rolled out last year, their need at WR is a lot bigger than that at CB.
#22 – Kristian Fulton – CB
Offensive line is another possibility here, but it’s strange how poetic the franchises makes these picks. This being the Rams’ pick for Ramsey, they draft his replacement with one of the picks they receive and use it on the Cornerback from LSU.
#23 – Josh Jones -OT
Isiah Wynn’s injury history seems to be a bit of concern. We know the Patriots like to draft trench players early. If Tom Brady returns, he’ll want the same treatment as he has gotten over the past 2 decades. Kenneth Murray dropping here was the other plausible option here. If either McKinney or Delpit fell, they would be snapped up by Belichick and co. too.
#24 – CJ Henderson – CB
Who knows what the Saints will go with here. Cornerback, Wide Receiver help or dare I say QB (Yes Brees is back, but for how long. Teddy Bridgewater is not a guarantee to stick around and no, Taysom Hill is not the answer)? Considering the WR that are off the board, the Saints would probbaly go with CB here and CJ Henderson is the pick. A CB from Florida joins up with fellow Gator Gardner-Johnson from 2019 draft.
#25 – Kenneth Murray – LB
Murray drops to #25 in this mock and that’s only because the Vikings will rue the Cornerback run from Jacksonville and New Orleans. The athletic LB from Oklahoma is a sideline to sideline guy and would add a lot of speed to this defence. If Minnesota still go CB hunting Trevon Diggs could fit the bill.
#26 – Terrell Lewis – EDGE
The Lions make their second pick in the first round after the trade back with Miami. They fill another hole, this time at pass rush. This Alabama edge rusher is explosive and should help improve this defence along with their other 1st rd pick.
#27 – Yetur Gross-Matos – EDGE
The Seahawks may trade back here to someone who wants to come up and get their guy or a QB. That being said, Ziggy Ansah and Jadeveon Clowney are headed to Free Agency this offseason, will either be back? Who knows. Let’s say they aren’t or 1 is, taking this Penn State Edge rusher helps ease the pain of losing the other (or both).
#28 – Patrick Queen – LB
The offence is pretty much there for the immediate future with no glaring holes. So they decide to bolster the defensive side to stop instances like the Derrick Henry train running through them like they did in the postseason. A replacement for Josh Bynes, who could head for Free Agency. A quick-footed, speedy linebacker who can play all 3 downs is the call here.
#29 – Ross Blacklock – DL
I am not going to explore the idea that Derrick Henry isn’t a Titan next season, purely because i think the coaching staff think he is too ingrained into their offensive identity. They have 1 or 2 holes to fill in the trenches, especially if trying to retain Conklin goes south. However, Blacklock is a good pickup for a Titans team as he’ll require a lot of effort to nullify from opposing O-lines due to his explosiveness and how disruptive he could be.
#30 – Laviska Shenault Jr. – WR
Aaron Rodgers’ window is not going to open for much longer. The Packers focused their efforts on the defence last offseason so this time, they give Aaron Rodgers a bit more help to try and win a 2nd ring. Do it all WR Shenault Jr will be a fun toy to play with and can stick around with Adams years after Rodgers retires.
#31 – Jeff Gladney – CB
Richard Sherman getting toasted by Sammy Watkins will send alarm bells ringing and he is now 31 years old. They also need help opposite him with Witherspoon not pulling up trees, Verrett still always on the treatment table. Moseley filled in capably but the back end of the defence needs a bit of youth injected in to it. Gladney, the corner out of TCU is quite a versatile guy to have on the team, the type of guy that Saleh will do a lot with and will be able to get a lot out of.
#32 – Jacob Eason – QB
*TB Sends #45, #107, 2021 2nd rnd for #32, #128*
Sorry Kansas fans, you wait all night for your pick and they trade out with someone who wants to go up and get Eason. The Buccaneers offence is a decent fit if they wish to move on from Winston or even just keep him for another season or 2, like is currently being reported. Even if Winston leaves, the fun might not stop in Tampa Bay.
Did Kyle Allen torch your playoff hopes? Did that San Francisco defensive TD steal a win for you to keep your dreams alive for another week?
This week we’re leaning towards those of you in Dynasty Leagues as you look to build for next season, particularly any of you unlucky enough to have gone all-in on a Goff/Barkley QB/RB tandem this year.
Sutton – WR – Denver Broncos
After watching Sutton manhandle Xavier
Rhodes and Denzel Ward in his previous two games I think it’s safe to say that
Sutton is rapidly approaching a WR1 berth. The matchup against the Bills might
be off-putting but if the ball is going anywhere wide, it’s going to Sutton.
However, if Allen doesn’t stay functional and Drew Lock disappears off to the Land of 2016-2019 Broncos QBs then John Elway will likely dip into the open QB market this off-season. Cam Newton? Phillip Rivers? Heck, even Kaep under center would probably be an improvement and with a good QB I can see Sutton having a big year in 2020. He’s crept up to 13th overall for WRs in non-PPR leagues, his upside for the home stretch is decent, his upside for the rest of the year is big.
Finally, the Broncos slate next year
features the NFC South, which is arguably about as appetising as it gets for
Ekeler – RB – Los Angeles Chargers
With and without Melvin Gordon, Austin
Ekeler is proving himself a worthy RB1 for Fantasy, currently in the top five
of Fantasy RBs he is proving a dual-threat in the same way Alvin Kamara was so
effective for the previous two seasons as a pass-catching back.
His price will be high but if Gordon moves
on in the off-season then this gives Ekeler a clear run as the main back in Los
If you’re really desperate for the end of
this season, Ekeler is due to face just one top-five rushing D in the form of
the Vikings in Week 15.
– Los Angeles Rams
This is a play for next year and I’ll keep
this short and sweet as we all know how good the Rams D can be.
Their schedule next year includes: Trips to Washington, Miami and possibly Tampa. Home games against both New York teams and possibly a Brady-less Patriots (but that’s another rumour for another day) as well as a visit from The Mitchell Trubisky/Chase Daniels Experience.
You can probably get them quite cheap as
their remaining 2019 schedule isn’t too pretty with the Ravens, Seahawks,
Cowboys and San Francisco on the card as well as two games against those pesky
on the Block
Johnson – RB – Arizona Cardinals
Things just haven’t worked out for DJ this
year and I think his time in Arizona is up come the offseason.
He was healthy and dressed for Sunday and
how many snaps did he take the field for? Nine. How many touches? A big fat
zero. That’s five straight weeks where’s he had no impact whatsoever and after
the Cardinals traded for Kenyan Drake the writing appears to be on the wall for
The question is, where does he go? I’m not
sure I see any team where he walks in as the undisputed starter. Maybe, maybe he ends up in Los Angeles backing
up Austin Ekeler and gets some plays when Ekeler is out wide?
Get what draft picks you can for him and
get him out of there.
Bell – RB – New York Jets
Listen, as long as the Jets have such a
porous O-Line I am going to be against having any players from them on my team.
Bell has been beaten up all year with the word coming out that Adam Gase will
be staying on next season that just leaves me to believe that it’ll be further
issues for Bell and his overall health.
He’s hit double figures in the last three
weeks, yes. Those teams, however, were the Dolphins, the Giants and the
Redskins so all come with huge asterisks.
Of course, this could all change next year
if a team makes a trade for him but I’d be surprised if that happened unless
Bell really forced the issue.
Julian Edelman – WR – New England Patriots
As I alluded to earlier, I have a feeling
that Brady may not take the field next year which throws up a ton of questions.
Does Belichick stay? Do the Patriots look to strip it all down and rebuild?
It’s a total crapshoot what might happen but one thing is sure shooting,
whether Brady stays or not he isn’t offering up enough opportunities to his WRs
Edelman has been the mainstay, as always,
but has only broken into double figures on a handful of occasions with the
Jets/Giants/Redskins asterisks being in play here too.
He’s ranked 15th in non-PPR
leagues for WRs and I’m not too sure if he can be seen as a WR1 anymore.
The Patriots face the Rams, Seahawks,
Broncos, 49ers and almost certainly the Ravens next year as well as two
traditionally Buffalo games which doesn’t seem appealing for anyone looking at
a Patriots WR so now is probably the time to sell.
As we approach week 10, most leagues will be heading towards their trade deadlines.
These coming weeks could be the difference between a competitive run in the playoffs or a quick ‘one and done’ end to your fantasy season. When making trades, it is always important to look at a variety of factors; who is coming back from IR, the upcoming schedules, and players that you shouldn’t keep just for their name!
Here are some people who (in my humble opinion) could help you in your push towards fantasy domination and some you can trade away before they cost you!
Bring On Board
Le’Veon Bell – RB
The Jets managed to do the seamlessly impossible last week, lose to the tanking Dolphins.
Things are really bad when you lose to a team that celebrate a regular season victory like they just won the Super Bowl! I mean the win must be nice but you are costing yourself draft position! However, Bell is looking at a very easy schedule in the coming weeks with games against the Giants (2-7), the Redskins (1-8), the Raiders (4-4), the Bengals (0-8), and the Dolphins (1-7). Surely Adam Gase must get something right against these teams?!
There should always be a concern when looking at trading for a player on a team like the Jets. A team that won’t really care about winning at this stage of the season as all they can hope for is a top draft pick.
On the other hand, if Gase has any hope of keeping his job, the Jets must get results in the coming weeks and Bell could be a big factor!
Drew Brees – QB (New
Brees may be a strange addition to this list but he could be the final piece you need. If the current owner has had Brees since the beginning of the season and hasn’t traded him away whilst he was injured, chances are they have another capable quarterback.
If you started the year under the impression that Mayfield would make progress or Darnold wouldn’t start seeing ghosts, you may be in need of some reinforcements. Brees should be your first look but he will probably cost you.
In week 8 he had 373
passing yards with 3 touchdowns and 1 interception. It will be worth an offer
to see if you can coax Brees away from the current owner.
David Montgomery –
RB (Chicago Bears)
A few weeks ago, Montgomery would have been an easy option on my sell list!
However, he has picked it up in the past few weeks with 27 carries for 135 yards and one touchdown in week 8, and a further 14 carries for 40 yards and two touchdowns in week 9. Montgomery is proving he can cover the red zone duties so he will get opportunities to score points.
Even with Tarik Cohen being on the same team, Montgomery has shown better output these past two weeks so is worth trying to trade for.
Mohamed Sanu – WR
(New England Patriots)
The Patriots lost a game and the world has gone mad again! Regardless of that loss, one thing stood out above everything else; Brady and Sanu are on the same page already!
There has been a long list of high profile receivers who have gone to New England and struggled but Sanu seems to have fitted in perfectly. Sanu caught 10 passes for 81 yards and 1 touchdown and with the Patriots now on their bye week, Sanu will have plenty of time with Brady to build on a solid start. He could be in line for a lot of action as the Patriots make their push towards the playoffs.
There is a downside to Sanu. The Patriots change their schemes and systems weekly so you cannot guarantee who the number 1 wide receiver will be each week.
However, just like with Edelman, if Brady has trust in the receiver, they will see the ball often. Sanu could be the Pats biggest receiving threat in the red zone. It has more positives than negatives.
Put On The Block
David Johnson – RB
This one may raise a few eyebrows but I have my justifications. The Cardinals traded for Kenyon Drake for a reason and Chase Edmonds was performing well before his injury.
This means that Johnson is entering a period where he will be job sharing and that is not the type of player that you want during a post season fantasy run. Johnson cannot guarantee you decent fantasy numbers.
Trade him away.
D.J. Chark Jr. – WR
Before you pull the trigger on a trade that includes Chark, confirm that Dede Westbrook is returning from his injury. If Westbrook is returning then Chark could be great trade bait. Nick Foles is taking over at QB after Minshew lost all of his magic at Wembley stadium! Foles favourite target earlier this season was Westbrook.
There is too much uncertainty with a new QB taking over to risk Chark.
Keenan Allen – WR
Another surprising choice to most people? There is no doubting the talent that Allen has but his production has been terrible.
He still has the same quarterback throwing him the ball but something isn’t right. He finished with 3 catches for 40 yards on just four targets last week and he has failed to reach double digits in four of the past 6 games. In fact, he hasn’t scored more than 12.3 fantasy points in any of the past 6 games!
Through the first three weeks of the season he was averaging 29.2 fantasy points per game but his targets have dropped massively.
With an unfavourable schedule coming up, it may be time to move Allen.
Week 8 sees the 3rd of the London games take place between the Bengals and the Rams, the Bears, Chargers and Eagles fighting to save their seasons and lot’s of revenge on Thursday Night. Let’s get our binoculars out and look ahead to week 8!
DOUBLE REVENGE GAME ON THURSDAY NIGHT
The last time the Redskins and Vikings squared off in Week 10 of 2017, Kirk Cousins was Washington’s QB and Case Keenum was Minnesota’s.
The last time a starting QB faced each other for both teams in same match-up was Norm Snead and Sonny Jurgensen for Eagles and Redskins in 1963-64.
Add into the melting pot that Washington’s Adrian Peterson is a Minnesota Vikings legend.
He’ll look to somehow overcome a high and low ankle sprain to try and stick it to his former team but will have his work cut out to get anything against a Kirk Cousins led team that has found their groove in the last few weeks through the air.
Lot’s of revenge for Thursday Night Football which is apt for the time of year and it remains to be seen which players are in scary movies and which players escape unscathed. You have to feel the Kirk Cousins and the Vikings will be the killers, with Peterson and the Redskins the victims.
Sanu and Sanders slip away from the slop
What a difference a day makes for two veteran wide receivers Mohammed Sanu and Emmanuel Sanders. Both are swapping conferences, and far more importantly they are moving from cellar dwellers to a 30th floor VIP champagne bar.
For Sanu, who was a genuinely nice guy when he came to Birmingham recently as part of an NFL tour party, he moves from a septic Falcons team to the only undefeated AFC team the Patriots. For Sanders he escapes the Flacco floundering Broncos for the only team in the NFC that has not lost a game, the 49ers.
Sanu will look to be the recipient of the targets that were going to Josh Gordon, who sadly went onto I/R on Wednesday. Sanu has excellent hands and will be able to support Brady by running routes that would have been made by the likes of Rob Gronkowski in the past.
Sanders has been signed to immediately move into the number one spot, to improve a rather eclectic bunch of WRs, none of whom were anywhere near as good as their top catcher – TE George Kittle.
The Patriots wanted Sanu before the start of the season, so they will be happy the Falcons form has been that bad that Atlanta has started jettisoning players before the half-way point in the season.
Both the Patriots and the 49ers play in the second game window this weekend, so expect to see Sanu and Sanders in some RedZone highlights on Sunday.
Ty goes to the runner
If you are a Detroit Lions fan and you bought a replica shirt with second-year RB Kerryon Johnson’s surname on the back then you can arguably save a few quid after yet another high-profile injury claimed an NFL star.
Kerryon Johnson went down in the first half of his Week 7 contest against Minnesota and was yesterday put on I/R. Johnson was leading the Lions in rushing with over 300 on the ground. Next man up in the Motor City is rookie Ty Johnson who has shown some burst in his limited appearances so far this season.
Former Maryland Terrapin Ty had a stellar college career, racking up 4,196 all purpose yards, third highest in team history. Ty is a dual threat, as he impressed as a kick return specialist too, going to the house against Ohio State and Michigan. The Lions had high hopes for Kerryon Johnson before his injury, but apart from a 125 yard outing against Kansas City he has been underwhelming.
Ty was drafted in the sixth round by the Lions after a trade with the Falcons, with little expectation as a rookie. That has all changed now and Ty will be under the spotlight at home to the dreadful Giants defensive unit.
This is another situation to watch out for on Sunday if you tune into RedZone, as Ty makes his first start. Expect 70-80 yards rushing and 3-5 catches in a winning effort.
Is it now Gumbo and cheese instead of Texas BBQ and California Rolls?
At the start of the 2019 season the NFC ‘on-paper’ favourites looked to be the Rams and the Cowboys, just as Zeke signed his new contract.
Almost at the half-way point and one surprise package, the Green Bay Packers, are now heading the NFC power rankings with the New Orleans Saints just a smidge behind.
Teddy Bridgewater has performed admirably whilst future Hall of Fame enshrinee Drew Brees recovers from his injury, guiding New Orleans to five wins on the bounce and an overall 6-1 record. The age old adage of ‘offense wins games but defense wins championships’ has never rung truer than this season as the Packer and Saints would not both be 6-1 if their defense wasn’t performing at such a high level.
After being robbed of a potential trip to the Super Bowl thanks to a horrendous non-call the Saints have rallied around the injustice and come back fighting even harder. The Packers have got the ‘real’ Aaron Rodgers back, after a few seasons filled with injury and underperformance.
The 49ers may be the conference’s only undefeated team heading into Week 8 but anyone sensible knows the true class of the NFC at this point in time is the Saints and the Packers.
Both teams have very winnable games, the Saints play a rather hot Cardinals team, and the Packers travel to KC, to face Matt Moore and not Patrick Mahomes.
Bungling back to Wembley
The last time the Cincinnati Bengals travelled to London to play a regular season NFL contest they came away undefeated, but because they are the Bungles they didn’t come away with a win, they in fact tied a contest against the Washington Redskins.
The Bengals (0-7) travel over this week to face the Los Angeles Rams (4-3) in the third English game of the season.
Andy Dalton is looking frustrated, the Cincy running game is looking non-existant and their defense is looking raggedy with nine games left to play. You only have to look at their ‘star’ running back Joe Mixon’s stat line last week – 10 rushes for 2 yards and 2 catches for 1 yard (ok yes one did go for a touchdown). That’s 3 yards of offence in a game. Mixon’s stats have been historically awful – in four out of seven games his ground output has been 35 carries for 39 yards. That can’t be all his fault, this ineptitude has to be shared with the offensive line and the play calling.
The Rams are fresh of a monster win over the equally poor Falcons, and will take this game as another walkover. For Bengals fans this season of woes brings back memories of Akili Smith the Bengals biggest bust at QB ever. Head Coach Zac Taylor could be out the door at the end of the season if he can’t show some sort of backbone.
Maybe Wembley is time to unleash rookie passer Ryan Finley. If this does happen remember you read it here first.
Eagles got Bills to pay?
Interesting matchup this weekend up in Buffalo as the Eagles travel over to New Era Stadium.
The Bills are an impressive 5-1 after victory over the lowly Dolphins last week whilst the Eagles are in all sorts of trouble after being embarrassed by Dallas on primetime. Philadelphia can’t lick their wounds for too long considering this is the start of a fairly difficult schedule and if they aren’t careful, could slip in to the “No football in January” quicksand.
The Bills matchup pretty well on both sides of the ball, with Josh Allen and John Brown having that exposed Eagles Secondary and the Bills pass defence being one of the best in the league.
On paper, not the most eagerly anticipated matchup of the year, but there is actually quite a lot on the line.
brees-y does it
Drew Brees is practising this week and hoping to play in the week 8 clash at home to the Cardinals. I, for one hope that he sits this one out and uses this and the bye week to get back to 100%.
The future hall of famer obviously knows his time is up soon and wants to savour every possible second on the pitch, but it is surprisingly short sighted in my opinion from #9 if he want’s to continue playing in to next season. A thumb injury is hardly the most likely to end a career but even putting yourself in a position to reinjure a less than 100% body part is not something that should be recommended. His backup and potentially next Saints starting QB Teddy Bridgewater has done more than enough in his absence, leading them to 5 straight wins against some decent opponents. OK, maybe the defence can take more than the fair share of credit for that run, but why risk Brees against Arizona on Sunday? I’m sure Teddy B can take care of business once more and hand the reins back to Brees in Week 10.
Cleveland and Carolina try and take the 0
San Francisco and New England remain undefeated as we head into week 8 so undoubtedly everyone now looks at the teams trying to be the first to score a victory over those teams.
Out of the two teams this week, you have to feel that Carolina (+5.5 currently on the handicap) are the more likely to kill the streak as they travel to Levi’s Stadium to face the 49ers after a bye with the hapless Baker Mayfield and his Browns (+13) tackling the red hot Patriots in Foxborough.
Whilst both New England and San Francisco will start to see their schedule get that little bit tougher, the bullseye on their backs will also get that little bit bigger.
if at first you don’t succeed, trade, trade again
If you don’t know by now, the trade deadline shuts next week. Don’t worry, the USA doesn’t have an equivalent of Jim White in a yellow tie, but there’ll certainly be more deals going through on deadline day.
Look for veterans (AJ Green) or guys on rookie deals (Kenyan Drake) to keep the rumour-mill busy over the next few days as teams try and jostle around their rosters to help give them the best chance at not only January football and the Super Bowl but also more picks as those planning rebuilds can start to get a handle on the picks they have for the next NFL Draft. Like Free Agency, some may overpay, whilst some may get players at bargain basement prices. With Sanders, Sanu and Quandre Diggs already heading to their new teams, there’ll be plenty of movement to come before the trade deadline slams shut.
Dan Quinn bye bye?
We’ve mentioned it a few times already, but keep an eye out on how the Falcons get on this weekend. Once again embarrassed at home against the Rams, they face a Seahawks team smarting from a defeat at home against the Ravens. If the Falcons lose considerably once more in their own back yard, you can fully expect Arthur Blank to fire HC Dan Quinn during their bye week and look to rebuild.
It’s somewhat telling that they allowed Mohammed Sanu to go to New England for a 2nd round draft pick (which is pretty much a 3rd, let’s face it) and the other usual life saving technique of firing their co-ordinators already happened last offseason. So the are not many lives left at all for Dan Quinn and it’ll be interesting to see the fight the players show on the field this Sunday.
A quick recap on Week 7: Sam Darnold can see ghosts (his words, not mine), ‘Sky Cam’ should be how we watch all football games, and it rains a lot in Washington around mid-October. Now that’s out the way, let’s talk trades!
With the fantasy playoffs sort of but not quite on the horizon, decisions
you make regarding your roster are becoming more and more difficult. Injuries
are creeping in, bye weeks are in full swing, and your league rivals are
jostling you for a prime spot heading into the business end of the season.
‘Buying’ and ‘Selling’ on players is all subjective, of course, but
because we’re good people here at Full 10 Yards, we like to give our two cents
on such issues – just remember, we’re only human. Let’s roll.
BRING ON BOARD
Devin Singletary – RB Buffalo Bills
At the end of (so called) British summertime, just before draft season,
Devin Singletary was being quietly tipped as a sleeper for the upcoming year.
He was a hipster pick, if you will, and opened the season with a reasonable
points haul against the two other New York teams. He then injured his
hamstring, missed 3 games and returned to Benjamin Button Frank Gore
still chugging away with double digit carries.
Although Gore may seem to possess super-human powers, Father Time will surely catch up with him at some point. The carries over the next few weeks will surely start to even out, or that’s what my spicy senses are telling me. With matchups against Washington and Miami on the schedule over the next month, and the good chance Singletary owners are feeling deflated, the RB-needy teams could do a lot worse.
Kenny Golladay – WR Detroit Lions
Remember those number pattern sequences you’d see from time to time in
Year 7 Maths? Look at Kenny’s PPR points totals from Week 1 to Week 7: 14.2,
25.7, 3.7, 23.7, 17.1, 3.1. This pattern to me indicates two things: 1) He’s
due a double digit total this week against a crummy Giants defence, and 2) He’s
pretty inconsistent for a guy who was seeing 9 targets on average per game
until last week. The key thing here though, is inconsistency.
Hear me out. The same inconsistency that is probably weighing on his or her
owners’ mind right now is what you can use to your advantage when proposing a
trade. Marvin Jones scored 4 TD’s last week, deservedly stole the show and made
people think he’s going to be the man going forward. Thing is, Golladay had
28.6 more points than Jones going into last weeks matchup, and it wouldn’t be
unfair to call the Jones final stat line an aberration.
Kenny G has some favourable games to come too (NYG, OAK, WAS) so pinching
him now could prove to be very fruitful down the road.
Terry McLaurin – WR Washington Redskins
‘Scary’ Terry has been winning over a lot of fans this season. The rookie
from Ohio State has been the Galaxy Caramel in a box of Bounty’s, notching for
5 TD’s on the season already for a team which is only going one way, and that’s
As mentioned earlier, this past weekend’s game at FedEx Field was like a
scene from ‘Waterworld’, and just like the Kevin Costner flop, McLaurin failed
to make any impact at all. The good thing is that he’s been a relatively
consistent performer this year, and we can’t blame him for last week.
The Redskins are so bad that game scripts for the rest of the year will
mean throwing the ball a ton. Thankfully, this works for Terry.
PUT ON THE BLOCK
Julio Jones – WR Atlanta Falcons
This week’s edition of ‘Put On The Block’ is particularly spicy featuring
some seriously hot takes. Without further ado, here’s my first.
Julio Jones is a bonafide baller, make no mistake about it, but the
situation he finds himself in currently is not good. Matt Ryan went down
last week with an ankle sprain which looks like it’s going to rule him out of
this Sunday’s tussle with the Seahawks – a bottom half defence in both
receptions and receiving yards allowed to opposing wideouts. His replacement?
Matt Schaub. Yikes.
After Seattle, the schedule isn’t great for a team at 1-6: New Orleans
twice, Carolina twice, and a road trip to San Francisco. There’s also a bye
week after this upcoming game, so that’s no good to you either. Finally, they
let Mohamed Sanu go to that team who is quite good in New England this week,
and there’s no guarantee the Falcons are done with blowing up the team for the
year. The inevitable murmurings of team unrest and coach Dan Quinn seeing the
door are trending, too.
Some owners in your league might live by the ‘go hard or go home rule’
when it comes to trade offers. If they come calling to you and Julio, at least
listen. He may very well go on to do ‘Julio’ like things for the rest of the
season, or he may get fed up with the whole thing and disappear into the
bushes, a la Homer Simpson. Just listen, that’s all I’m saying.
DEF/ST – New England Patriots
I told you this week was spicy. But again, before you accuse me of being
drunk as I type this, hear my reasoning.
This all-time unit has been pulling up trees for weeks, winning fantasy
matchups up and down the land thanks to the performances of the McCourty
brothers and friends. Basically, it would take some serious cojones to part
ways with this unit.
The caveat is the schedule. Although by no means a murderer’s row of
opponents, the next few weeks reads: vs Browns, @ Ravens, @ Eagles, vs Cowboys,
@ Texans, vs Chiefs. Regression is a possibility for this defence, no? History,
and to a lesser extent human science, would say so.
It’s all about needs and balance of your roster. If you feel like your
team has enough to see you through to the end, then good on you, and I
apologise for wasting your last 40 seconds. IF your team is lacking some
firepower, and you hope to make a run in the playoffs, then it’s a
consideration to make. Godfather offers only here, please.
Melvin Gordon – RB Los Angeles Chargers
You know what? I don’t even feel bad about this one – just annoyance
instead. Since returning from his holdout that achieved…erm…yeah, since
returning, Gordon has fumbled the ball at the goal line, gone on hiatus from
the endzone, and averaged just 2.25 yards a carry. In a nutshell, Gordon has
been flat out bad.
With particularly tough outings ahead (Green Bay, @ Chicago) as well as a Week 12 bye, Gordon could potentially be traded to that owner in your league who still yearns for last year’s version of Melvin. Not to mention, Austin Ekeler is still looking like the better hand out of the backfield. So, if there is a footballing god, justice would prevail, and Austin would get the job he had back in Week 1. And you can’t hate on justice.
If you have any trade questions, any start/sit dilemmas, get in contact with us here at Full10Yards on Social Media and we’ll help you out!
Until then, good luck with your trades and your matchups!
Not one to toot my own horn but racking up
186 fantasy points this week felt damned good (full disclosure, it’s an IDP
league) but it only brought my record to 2-3 so the joy is somewhat undermined
by my losing record.
The most amusing story from Week 5 was
someone in my league who turned down
a trade that included Aaron Jones as part of the deal. Needless to say, they
lost their matchup to the person they faced that week. You hate to see it
Anyway, onto this week’s targets to trade
for and who might be worth shipping off.
“But he’s on a bye week, you fool!” This is
a very fair point but coming off the bye he has Miami, Eagles and Washington
all at home followed by trips to Cleveland and the Miami Tankers.
Whilst Buffalo’s surprising 4-1 record is
largely down to their incredible D, Allen has put up over 15 points in every
start except for the 16-10 defeat to New England. Nothing exceptional,
admittedly but for a QB2 with only more bye weeks to come, this is a narrow
window to get a decent QB for a low price. If he can cut the INTs out then his
value will only increase.
Lockett’s fantasy record this year is a bit
peculiar. Topping 15 points just twice this year but on one of those occasions
going off in a big way against a New Orleans D that is starting to establish
itself as perhaps a top five outfit.
The next three weeks for Lockett & his
Seahawks involve a trip to the beleaguered Browns, a home game against Ravens
outfit that I’m not sure if they’re actually any good or not and a trip to
Atlanta who may be hiring a new head coach by the end of the month because they
just cannot defend.
Lockett’s ranked ninth overall for Fantasy
WRs, ahead of luminaries such as DeAndre Hopkins and Mike Evans. He may not
come cheap but this Seahawks outfit looks the real deal offensively after a
couple of rusty weeks (blame the run game for that).
Oh, I can’t let this passage go by without
mentioning how amazing that TD against the Rams was. 6.4% completion chance?
He’s slowed down a bit after his crazy
start to the season but this week’s matchup with Cincinnati is very favourable
as they’ve given up the second most yards per game to running backs this
Looking ahead it’s somewhat more difficult
with trips to the Seahawks, a bye then a visit from the Patriots before a
rematch with Cincinnati. However, I expect Ingram to see plenty of the ball in
those three subsequent matchups, especially given how good the New England
secondary has been.
on the Block
Philadelphia gets time off in Week 10. The
four games prior to that they’ve got three consecutive roads games against
Minnesota, Dallas and Buffalo followed up with a game against a Bears team
whose D I still believe in despite making Derek Carr look like an NFL-level QB
in London this past week.
This is an ugly four weeks and Wentz’s
points record isn’t strong enough to be a QB1 for me, surpassing 20 points only
twice (one of which was against Washington so comes with a huge asterisk) this
season. If you are in need of a spark at this position I honestly believe you
could ship Wentz off for someone like Josh Allen (see above) and receive an
extra player in return too. Wentz’s price won’t be high for long. Move now.
That’s right. I said it. If you fancy
making a huge splash in your league and have a few gaps that need filling
elsewhere, trade him.
Can anyone say right now they trust
Atlanta? A trip to Arizona beckons in what could be a Fantasy-tastic shootout
but Jones went without a TD in a game where his team scored 32 points. After
the trip to the Cardinals? Just a small matter of the Rams and Seahawks at
home. After that grueling West Coast visit a bye week falls before divisional
road games against the Saints and Panthers.
If you’re deeply lacking in other areas of
your team (maybe you drafted Saquon and Big Ben early on) then I’d really
consider moving on from Julio. Despite his top ten WR ranking there’s so much
about the Falcons that concerns me that it makes a deal viable.
Less of a crazy shout here, I think it’s
time to move on from Mixon. Great things were expected of him this year but
with no rushing TDs to his name I think you have to wave bye-bye if he was
drafted as your RB1. Before the Week 9 bye the Bengals travel to the Ravens and
the Rams with a home game against the Jags sandwiched between them. Those road
games are clearly tricky and I believe the Jags D matches up well against the
Bengals offensive unit.