Good day to everyone!
Logo here bringing another dynasty stock trend to see who is on the rise and who is on the fall going into the month of August. If you didn’t check out my last article regarding Best Ball, I would highly recommend it here. I go over tips tricks and a few of my late round sleepers I am targeting. Back in April I wrote an article on some dynasty buy lows and sell high which mentioned Laviska Shenault, James Robinson and Josh Reynolds (missed on that one with the Julio Jones signing). This was just a month before the 2021 NFL draft which I mentioned to sell Robinson and buy Shenault.
Trending up: Darnell Mooney
There was potential for Mooney to be the number 1 wide receiver on the team if Allen Robinson was leaving the Chicago Bears, however as for now Mooney is the perfect complement of Robinson and is trending up on dynasty players platform. Currently at wide receiver 52-55 in rankings, the 2nd year wide out will look to break into the top 30 in relative dynasty rankings with potential to be a top 24 wide out this season.
Last season Mooney saw 98 targets, which was ahead of Brandon Aiyuk, Chris Godwin, Laviska Shenault, and just 10 shy from Tee Higgins total. His average yard per catch was 10.34 and added 4 touchdowns on the year. Where can Mooney improve? Receptions over 20 yards, better quarterback play and touchdowns. Looking ahead to the first few weeks of the 2021 season, the Bears play: LA Rams, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns and Detroit Lions. Look for Mooney to get off to a hot start with Robinson getting the double coverage.
Obtaining Mooney in your dynasty league isn’t going to be difficult but will be challenging to find a player that is equal to his explosiveness and caliber. Any 2nd round rookie picks you can give up (2021 or 2022) would be a steal to get him. As far as player wise, trading someone like Antonio Brown or Jarvis Landry could be a great deal to get the 23 year old.
Trending down: Adam Thielen
Nobody wants to get caught holding the bag on the dynasty player who is in his 30’s came off one of his best wide receiver fantasy football finishes and has an up and coming rookie to take his presumed alpha role.
Last season Justin Jefferson was going undrafted in fantasy football redraft drafts because the assumption was Adam Thielen and nobody else. Whew, was the fantasy community wrong on leaving Justin Jefferson left for dead because he exploded and won a lot of people a fantasy championship last season (myself included). Why was Thielen’s WR 7 finish an outlier season?
In 2020 he scored 14 touchdowns with 925 yards. I mentioned above he tied for his best WR finish at 7, which was also in 2018. What was the difference? 2018 he had 1373 yards and just 9 touchdowns, on oh yeah 153 targets. That is as many targets he got in 2019 and 2020 combined.
The Vikings defense was a total nightmare last year causing Captain Kirk Cousins to lead the ship throwing the ball on average 30 times a game. Moving on from the veteran might feel like your getting out too early, however Jefferson has made it known he is able to play in the NFL. Some still believe he has another 2 strong years left however with an aging QB in Cousins, the presumed number 2 wide receiver on the team (possibly 3rd target with Dalvin Cook in the mix), it might be difficult for Thielen to get back to a top 12 WR again.
I would try to capitalize on his 2020 season and move him for Chase Edmonds, Darnell Mooney (as referenced above), or a QB move of Dak Prescott could be in the cards for the right manager.
Dynasty Wild Card (Deep Sleeper): Javian Hawkins
2021 NFl rookie Javian Hawkins has some work to do to make it on the field this season. This is a hold and see approach as Hawkins enters his NFL rookie 2021 season.
Hawkins is a nice change of pace role compared to the bruisers they have ahead of him Mike Davis, Qadree Ollison and Cordarrelle Patterson. He compliments the former Atlanta Falcon Ito Smith, which last season had 63 rushing attempts and 26 receiving targets to go with his smaller NFL stature. With Matt Ryan’s contract causing him to be a Falcon longer than the team may want him too and a 28 year old starting running back ahead of him (he is older than Todd Gurley and look at the fantasy decline he has had), the 2022 season could be totally different for the Falcons.
To snag him away from the majority of the dynasty owners who have heard the potential will be challenging for any player for player trade, however should someone be willing to accept a 3rd round pick for an opportunity like this could be beneficial compared to Rhamondre Stevenson (RB for the Patriots who has a LONG way to go to as his RB coach stated).
Go out and do a price check on him, and if your roster construction allows you to move the 3rd round rookie pick for him, it could pay off next year.
I’d recommend using Sleeper for any dynasty formats. Find friends to get involved with as you are surprised where some people will draft players and you can get a good feel for the lay of the land.
As always thanks for reading and let’s connect on Twitter @loganbrown0805