Full10Fantasy – Trade Targets

by Dave Moore (@davieremixed)

Not one to toot my own horn but racking up 186 fantasy points this week felt damned good (full disclosure, it’s an IDP league) but it only brought my record to 2-3 so the joy is somewhat undermined by my losing record.

The most amusing story from Week 5 was someone in my league who turned down a trade that included Aaron Jones as part of the deal. Needless to say, they lost their matchup to the person they faced that week. You hate to see it happen…Sometimes.

Anyway, onto this week’s targets to trade for and who might be worth shipping off.


Bring on Board


Josh Allen

“But he’s on a bye week, you fool!” This is a very fair point but coming off the bye he has Miami, Eagles and Washington all at home followed by trips to Cleveland and the Miami Tankers.

Whilst Buffalo’s surprising 4-1 record is largely down to their incredible D, Allen has put up over 15 points in every start except for the 16-10 defeat to New England. Nothing exceptional, admittedly but for a QB2 with only more bye weeks to come, this is a narrow window to get a decent QB for a low price. If he can cut the INTs out then his value will only increase.

Tyler Lockett

Lockett’s fantasy record this year is a bit peculiar. Topping 15 points just twice this year but on one of those occasions going off in a big way against a New Orleans D that is starting to establish itself as perhaps a top five outfit.

The next three weeks for Lockett & his Seahawks involve a trip to the beleaguered Browns, a home game against Ravens outfit that I’m not sure if they’re actually any good or not and a trip to Atlanta who may be hiring a new head coach by the end of the month because they just cannot defend.

Lockett’s ranked ninth overall for Fantasy WRs, ahead of luminaries such as DeAndre Hopkins and Mike Evans. He may not come cheap but this Seahawks outfit looks the real deal offensively after a couple of rusty weeks (blame the run game for that).

Oh, I can’t let this passage go by without mentioning how amazing that TD against the Rams was. 6.4% completion chance? Incredible.

Mark Ingram

He’s slowed down a bit after his crazy start to the season but this week’s matchup with Cincinnati is very favourable as they’ve given up the second most yards per game to running backs this season.

Looking ahead it’s somewhat more difficult with trips to the Seahawks, a bye then a visit from the Patriots before a rematch with Cincinnati. However, I expect Ingram to see plenty of the ball in those three subsequent matchups, especially given how good the New England secondary has been.


Put on the Block


Carson Wentz

Philadelphia gets time off in Week 10. The four games prior to that they’ve got three consecutive roads games against Minnesota, Dallas and Buffalo followed up with a game against a Bears team whose D I still believe in despite making Derek Carr look like an NFL-level QB in London this past week.

This is an ugly four weeks and Wentz’s points record isn’t strong enough to be a QB1 for me, surpassing 20 points only twice (one of which was against Washington so comes with a huge asterisk) this season. If you are in need of a spark at this position I honestly believe you could ship Wentz off for someone like Josh Allen (see above) and receive an extra player in return too. Wentz’s price won’t be high for long. Move now.

Julio Jones

That’s right. I said it. If you fancy making a huge splash in your league and have a few gaps that need filling elsewhere, trade him.

Can anyone say right now they trust Atlanta? A trip to Arizona beckons in what could be a Fantasy-tastic shootout but Jones went without a TD in a game where his team scored 32 points. After the trip to the Cardinals? Just a small matter of the Rams and Seahawks at home. After that grueling West Coast visit a bye week falls before divisional road games against the Saints and Panthers.

If you’re deeply lacking in other areas of your team (maybe you drafted Saquon and Big Ben early on) then I’d really consider moving on from Julio. Despite his top ten WR ranking there’s so much about the Falcons that concerns me that it makes a deal viable.

Joe Mixon

Less of a crazy shout here, I think it’s time to move on from Mixon. Great things were expected of him this year but with no rushing TDs to his name I think you have to wave bye-bye if he was drafted as your RB1. Before the Week 9 bye the Bengals travel to the Ravens and the Rams with a home game against the Jags sandwiched between them. Those road games are clearly tricky and I believe the Jags D matches up well against the Bengals offensive unit.

Real Life Trades with Fantasy Implications

Written by Scott Mackay (@ScottfMackay)

Hey Football Fans, thanks for joining me for our latest look at the Fantasy world!

Have you had a look at the waiver wire over the last two weeks and just thought there is slim pickings out there? I have too and really think it’s a good time to look at bolstering your lineups through trading. Trading can of course be hit or miss if you’ve been placed in a league where half of the teams have been abandoned by their owners but I’m hoping that all of your leagues are still fairly active, in which case there is some movement and wheeling and dealing to be done.

I’m sitting down to write this article a day after the actual NFL trade deadline which has helped shaped some of the trade targets that should be on your list and included players that have risen in stock due to the moves that have been made.

So, let’s get moving, let’s take a look at the QB Position.

Cam Newton is my pick for number one target. To me, he is not firing on all cylinders at the moment, but I sense if the Panthers are going to get back in the groove it will be because of this man. Both a throwing and rushing threat (it’s a deadly fantasy combo) acquiring Cam could be the difference in the Fantasy Championship race. His bye week has passed so go get him! 99.1% owned on NFL.com (I need to know who the .9% are!) expect to pay a little premium but expect a deep playoff run with him as your QB.

Deshaun Watson is a number two target, the Texans made a smart move bringing in Demayrius Thomas as a WR2 after Fuller’s season ended against the Dolphins on Thursday Night Football. Watson gets another weapon in the impressive receiving corps that also includes Hopkins and Coutee. You may be lucky to grab him off waivers but expect to see his ownership rise over the next week or so as he looks to establish a consistent scoring base.

Running Backs is where the money is at, especially if you’ve got Gurley or indeed an under the radar star in Marlon Mack or Phillip Lindsay but I believe there are two currently injured players that are nearing returns that could have an impact for you. (Have you guessed them yet?)

Dalvin Cook and Leonard Fournette are risky plays but if you sitting pretty in the standings, why not make a push for one of these stars at a low price? They are due back soon and could make the difference on the run in so it makes sense to stash them for when you feel comfortable that they are going to produce more than your current RB2.

Don’t worry, I won’t just cop out and pick those two, I’ll throw in Aaron Jones as a potential trade target. Relatively low cost (could even pick him up on Waivers as 55% owned) he will look to benefit from Ty Montgomery being traded. He could be a good flex option in the weeks ahead especially if an Aaron Rodgers Packers team is still in the hunt for the playoffs with three weeks to go in the season.

In at WR I’d put the feelers out for Kenny Golladay. Golden Tate has left the Lions which means Golladay and Marvin Jones get an instant uptick in Fantasy Value. They are going to be targeted by the at times fantastic Matt Stafford more and with that, increased Red Zone chances. Golladay is ¾ owned in NFL.com and could help you grind out a couple of victories.

DeSean Jackson is my pick if you can get him, still putting up modest numbers and capable of a huge game. Winston and FITZMAGIC (he’s back, baby!) are fighting over the QB1 spot in Tampa and the only beneficiaries are the receivers. Both QBs will look to have a bigger impact than the other so expect D-Jax to get those big numbers over the coming weeks!

TE’s are a disaster at the moment but if you are desperate enough to want to trade to upgrade that spot. Look to Gronk to up his game over the coming weeks… that’s my wildcard for ya.

You’ve only got a few more weeks to get those trades moving before the fantasy deadline so go for your targets sooner rather than later.

How is your team shaping up and who are you going for? Let us know on our social channels, @full10yards & @scottfmackay.

Have a great fantasy week!

 

2018 Fantasy Football Industry Mockstravaganza – 2.12

Welcome back inside the Full 10 Yards War Room.

The Full 10 Yards team were absolutely devastated with the pick of A.J. Green the pick before us by the Van Buren Boys, which can be found in detail here.

So we are obviously on the turn, so we get 2 picks in a row here. After picking Todd Gurley with our first pick, we are definitely going at least 1 WR out of these 2 picks.

Looking at the draft board, we were also disappointed Joe Mixon had come off the board at the 2.09 spot. 1 great value of the 2nd round in our opinion was Leonard Fournette at the 2.07 spot.

With the 12th pick of the 2nd round, the Full10Yards Podcast selects….Mike Evans.

Mike-Evans

So for our first pick of the two, we are going Mike Evans. Other Wide receivers left on the board are Doug Baldwin, Tyreek Hill, Adam Thielen, TY Hilton, Stefon Diggs. Rob Gronkowski has also been taken before our pick and would have been in consideration how much of a class above he is compared with all the other players in this area.

Mike Evans didn’t have a great season last year. In fact, it was his worst year since he came in to the league (this is now his 5th season). In 2017, Evans JUST got over the 1000 yards receiving in 2017 and had just the 5 TDs, but will be looking to bounce back in 2018. He was more boom and bust than you would like considering his early 2nd round ADP last season, having 6 Top 12 weekly finishes to add to 4 WR3 or better finishes. In Lehman’s terms, he finished worse than the 36th WR on 6 occasions.

He will have to do that without Jameis Winston in the first couple of games against some high scoring teams in the Saints and the Steelers. Ryan Fitzpatrick though, is a quarterback who funnels targets to a receiver so Mike Evans could still be in line for a decent workload despite no Winston.

The other factors to consider here are Chris Godwin, who has been getting glowing reviews in training camp and certainly looks like a guy that will muscle his way in to the WR2 reckoning at some point this year. The Buccaneers are still tied into a bit of a cap hit with Jackson so I would envisage that they phase him out over the course of the season and get Godwin involved. Jackson will still have the pace and offer boom or bust fantasy scoring and is a guy you wanna trade after maybe a few hot games if you have him.

We can’t talk about the Bucs without talking about both the Tight Ends. Cameron Brate got PAID this offseason, suggesting that he is favoured over OJ Howard for production this season with OJ Howard primarily taking blocking duties with the occasional big play. All in all there are a lot of mouths to feed here and we haven’t even mentioned the backfield so I am starting to wonder why we have selected him as we have’t looked at the positives!

Tampa Bay are in a division that is high scoring and also play a lot more high scoring teams outside of the division so there could be a sneaky amount of fantasy points (even if it’s garbage time stuff a la Blake Bortles) in this offence and the likelihood of shooutouts are a bit higher than the average team schedule. They were 18th in total points scored in 2017 and 9th in Total Yards. Let’s not forget Winston was on fire towards the end of the season. Furthermore, Winston was battling injuries at points last season too which hurt Mike Evans. There was also a stat from last season that Tampa only played 82 snaps whilst leading which is absolutely ridiculous and pehaps that made Tampa a bit predictable and Mike Evans became more easy to double cover knowing they were going to him.

Mike Evans is still a redzone monster and a target vacuum in this offence and I certainly expect a bounceback in 2018. With a better defence this year, Tampa shouldn’t be playing from behind too much or at least not as much as last season so I am hoping the coverage on Evans is less due to Tampa becoming less predictable.

Probably not the most compelling case for picking Mike Evans at the 2.12 but thought this was value considering he has top 5 upside at WR, you can see my next pick (3.01) here.