Best Bets – NFL Divisional Round

By Tim Monk (@Tim_MonkF10Y) and Adam Walford (@TouchdownTips)

Tim and Adam run the rule over the NFL Divisional round games and take a look at the Super Bowl Betting along with the AFC/NFC championships. Don’t forget to give Adam a follow over @touchdowntips on Twitter if you aren’t doing so already and Adam’s great work can be found at tdtips.com.

minnesota @ san francisco (-7) – o/u 44.5


TIM: 1pt – Minnesota +7 (10/11), 1pt – Under 44.5pts (10/11), 1pt – Kendrick Bourne anytime TD (7/2)

ADAM: Dalvin Cook – 6/5 – NAP FOR THE WEEKEND – 3pts. Kendrick Bourne o18.5 rec. yards – 5/6 – 1pt


TENNESSEE @ BALTIMORE (-10) – O/U 47


TIM: 1pt – Baltimore -10 (10/11), 1pt – Justice Hill Anytime TD (9/2 SpreadEx)

ADAM: Derrick Henry o8.5 rec. yards – 5/6 1pt – Jonnu Smith 5/1 (Betfair), Firkser 10/1 (365) – 0.5 pt each Agree on Justice Hill bet


HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY (-9.5) – O/U 51


TIM: 1pt – Kansas City – 9.5 (10/11 general), 1pt – Over 30.5pts KC (10/11 general), 1pt – Mecole Hardman Anytime TD (4/1 W.Hill)

ADAM: Chiefs -9.5 – 1pt, DeShaun Watson anytime TD – 3/1 – 1pt


SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY (-4.5) – O/U 46.5


TIM: 1pt – Green Bay -4.5 (10/11 general) 2pts – Aaron Jones over 67.5 rush yards (20/23 Betfred)

ADAM: Back Seattle ATS in-play once GB take the lead in the 1st qtr. – David Moore anytime TD – 13/2 (Betfair) – 1pt

Best Bets – NFL Week 16

By Tim Monk and Adam Walford (@touchdowntips)

Just 2 regular season weeks left folks, sad times. But tht’s two weeks we have left to try and give you some tips to win some cash for Xmas and New Year, good times. Here’s week 16’s best bets, don’t forget there are 3 Saturday games on the slate! Nothing like being late for a losing bet.


Houston @ Tampa Bay +3 (u/o 51)

TIM: Houston -3, Hopkins anytime TD (19/20 Unibet), Over 51 points.

ADAM: Houston – 3, Justin Watson anytime 5/2, o39.5 rec. Yards for him 5/6


Buffalo @ new england -6.5 (u/o 37)

TIM: Buffalo +7 (4/5 B365)

ADAM: Tom Brady o0.5 int 5/6 (365)


LA Rams @ San Francisco -6.5 (u/o 44.5)

TIM: Over 44.5 points

ADAM: Kyle Juzjsjcjyyxjjsyxjyskzkz anytime 16/1 (365)


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baltimore @ cleveland +10 (u/o 49)

TIM: Over 49pts, Baltimore -10pts

ADAM: Kareem Hunt o28.5 rec. yards


CAROLINA @ INDIANAPOLIS -6.5 (U/O 47)

TIM: Marlon Mack anytime TD

ADAM: Mack anytime


CINCINNATI @ MIAMI +1 (U/O 45.5)

TIM: Joe Mixon Anytime TD, Patrick Laird Anytime TD

ADAM: Laird o20.5 receiving yards – 5/6


JACKSONVILLE @ ATLANTA -7.5 (U/O 47.5)

TIM: Atlanta -7

ADAM: Freeman o59.5 rush yards – 5/6


NEW ORLEANS @ TENNESSEE +2 (U/O 50)

TIM: Under 50pts

ADAM: Dion Lewis anytime 3/1


NY giants @ washington -1 (u/o 41)

TIM:

ADAM: Dwayne Haskins o9.5 rush yards


PITTSBURGH @ NY JETS +3 (U/O 37)

TIM:

ADAM: Any D/ST Touchdown – 9/4 (365)


DETROIT @ DENVER -7 (U/O 38)

TIM:

ADAM: Someone to do something


OAKLAND @ LA CHARGERS -7.5 (U/O 45)

TIM:

ADAM: River o0.5 interceptions – 4/6


ARIZONA @ SEATTLE -9 (U/O 51)

TIM: Seattle -9, Under 51pts

ADAM: Jacob Hollister anytime – 2/1


DALLAS @ PHILADELPHIA +1 (U/O 46)

TIM: Over 46pts

ADAM: Greg Ward o44.5 rec. yards


KANSAS CITY @ CHICAGO +6 (U/O 44.5)

TIM: Kansas -6pts

ADAM: Anthony Miller o4.5 receptions – 5/7


GREEN BAY @ MINNESOTA -5.5 (U/O 47)

TIM: Under 47pts

ADAM: Over 47

Best Bets for Week 2

Week 1 Recap:

Adam came up with the goods with 3/6 winning bets including NAP, NB and Anytime Scorer Treble. Managed to muster up a profit of £11.55 to £1 level stakes.

He dragged Tim through Week 1 who only had a winning NB but very unlucky for all other bets with Arizona not scoring a TD letting him down for the Request a Bet too!

week 2 best bets

Below are our best bets for week 2. Listen to the pod full a full run through!

Dont’ forget to head over to touchdowntips.com for comprehensive betting previews each and every week and give him a follow @touchdowntips .

Best bet giveaway tweet

If you are following us on Twitter (@Full10Yards), all you need to do for a chance to win the best bet giveaway is RT the tweet below!

Good Luck!

Preseason Positional Top 5’s: Defense

Hello again and happy hump day. Hope you all enjoyed the offensive rankings on Monday afternoon … if you missed it, well first off, WHY?!

If you want to give that a read, you can get that here.

Today it’s the turn of the defense. Let’s get straight down to it shall we?

Edge Defenders 

  1. Chase Young, Ohio State (-) 
  2. A.J Epenesa, Iowa (-) 
  3. Yetur Gross-Matos, Penn State (-)
  4. Curtis Weaver, Boise State (+1) 
  5. Jabari Zuñiga, Florida (-1)

 

No real movement here as I stick with the same five as I had in June. Still a Chase Young over A.J Epenesa guy but those two are on a platform all by themselves and I truly hope that they keep pushing each other all the way through the season by both being great – They could both end up as top 5 players in this draft class if all goes smoothly.

I knocked Zuñiga down on consistency, I feel like he’s incredible one snap but anonymous on the next at times, however, if he can put it all together this year, he’s going to go pretty early in Vegas… He’s as quick as a hiccup.

Other players I like are Alton Robinson from Syracuse and Julian Okwara of Notre Dame. Not as high on Kenny Willikes as others at this point.

Interior Defensive Line 

  1. Reakwon Davis, Alabama (-) 
  2. Derrick Brown, Auburn (-) 
  3. Javon Kinlaw, South Carolina (-) 
  4. Rashard Lawrence, LSU (-) 
  5. Mustafa Johnson, Colorado (New Entry) 

 

I’m not high on this interior defensive line class at all as things stand, I’m really hoping that there are a few players who are about to burst on to the scene over the next few months because to me, this class is Raekwon Davis, who I love and that’s about it.

I know *A LOT* of people love Derrick Brown but guys, I am not one of said people… And he’s still by IDL2.

Mustafa Johnson comes in because I think he’s intriguing after his productive season last year for Colorado.

Linebackers 

  1. Dylan Moses, Alabama (-) 
  2. Isaiah Simmons, Clemson (-) 
  3. Troy Dye, Oregon (-) 
  4. Shaq Quarterman, Miami (+1)
  5. Markus Bailey, Purdue (New Entry) 

 

Dylan Moses makes this another positional group with a very clear #1 player, not only that but another #1 player who plays for the Alabama Crimson Tide.

Simmons is another interesting player, he’s got length and athletic traits that you’d like to see in offensive players, so as a defender you have to be looking for him to be that tight end or big slot eraser as a versatile linebacker; is he there yet? No, but I can’t wait to see his journey towards that.

All of these linebackers, except for Moses maybe, as flawed in some way but all have great potential… This is exactly why it’s fun doing summer scouting; because there’s still time to get over deficiencies and become better.

Cornerbacks 

  1. Bryce Hall, Virginia (-) 
  2. Paulson Adebo, Stanford (New Entry) 
  3. Kristian Fulton, LSU (-1)
  4. Jaylon Johnson, Utah (+1)
  5. C.J Henderson, Florida (-2)

Deepest group of players on the defensive side of the ball? Absolutely.

I can’t get enough of this group quite honestly. There are players, upon players who are just so fun to watch. I thought in June that I’d got a fair amount of them but I’d actually missed one of the best ones in Paulson Adebo, who is honestly an unbelievable prospect. Man, I love Bryce Hall but Adebo comes pretty close to knocking him off his CB1 perch.

Another guy I can’t get enough of is Jaylon Johnson; as someone who is covering the Pac 12 closely this season I can’t wait to watch a bunch of Utah games this year.

Other guys who I really like include; Trevon Diggs, who I did have as CB4, Jeff Gladney, TCU, AJ Green, Oklahoma State, Jeffrey Okudah, Ohio State AND I am reliably informed by our very own Thomas Rowberry that I need to watch UCLA’s Darnay Holmes.

It’s a great time to love scouting cornerbacks in the Pac 12.

Safeties

  1. Grant Delpit, LSU (-) 
  2. Xavier McKinney, Alabama (+2)
  3. Antoine Brooks, Maryland (New Entry) 
  4. Julian Blackmon, Utah (+1)
  5. Richie Grant, Central Florida (-3)

Grant Delpit is a superhuman and barring injury he’s a top 5 player in this draft class. After that it’s a little bit fluid. I was actually way too low of Xavier McKinney at first so felt like I had to bump him up a couple of spots.

Antoine Brooks is the new entry here – the former running mate of my Son, Darnell Savage. Super aggressive box safety type who I’d like to see more out of athletically but has some versatility and plenty of stopping power.

Be sure to keep your eyes peeled for these rankings to be updated throughout the college football season.

Follow on Twitter @Full10YardsCFB

Follow Lee on Twitter @Wakefield90 

Worst to First Candidates

By Andy Goddard (@godsy1985) – 16th June

The National Football League is meant to be one of parity (tell that to Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots). In 2018 the Chicago Bears, Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts all reached the playoffs after having losing records in 2017. It is one of the great things about the NFL, the possibility of going from being the worst team to lifting the Lombardi trophy is real. So who are our candidates this year? Let’s look at four teams that finished at the bottom of their respective divisions.

New York Giants

The Giants had an awful 2018 season with a 5-11 record but the emergence of Saquon Barkley was a big plus with his 1307 rushing yards and 721 receiving yards. The play of Eli Manning was much maligned but when you look at the stats, he may not have been as poor as advertised. Eli’s QB rating was 92.4 which was the forth best of his career and his 66% completion ratio (for 4,299 yards) was the highest of his career. (http://www.nfl.com/player/elimanning/2505996/careerstats). There is no doubt that Manning has lost some mobility though. He was sacked 47 times in the 2018 season (a career high) and the offensive line needs some attention but it is fully expect that the Giants will be a run heavy team in 2019. Barkley is primed for another phenomenal season and with the addition of Golden Tate at wide receiver they still have weapons even without Beckham Jr. In 2018, the Giants lost eight games by 7 points or less and lost their final two games of the season by just a single point! When you look at their 2018 season in more detail, they weren’t far away from a 9-7 record which could have seen them reach the playoffs!

The Giants also have two big advantages in 2019. Their strength of schedule is ranked as the 27th most difficult and the NFC East is wide open. Whilst the Philadelphia Eagles should improve (as long as Wentz stays healthy), the Dallas Cowboys may go backwards and the Washington Redskins are potentially starting a rookie quarterback. If they can upgrade the pass rush (which ranked 30th in sacks) they should have a great shot at reaching the playoffs in 2019!

Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have a talented roster that have been under-utilised for years but with new head coach Zac Taylor now at the helm, could the Bengals improve of their 6-10 record in what is normally a tough division? The AFC North has lost a huge amount of talent from the Pittsburgh Steelers, has gained a mass of talent in Cleveland and has a seemingly sketchy playbook and an ageing defence in Baltimore. There doesn’t appear to be a clear favourite in the division and this may open the field up for the Bengals to surprise a few people. For this to happen the Bengals will need to improve massively on what was one the weakest defences (yardage wise) in NFL history, ranking fifth all time in yards allowed (https://www.pro-football-reference.com/play-index/tiny.fcgi?id=xNW3M). Cincinnati will be hoping that the coaching change can address this situation. There is plenty of talent of the offensive side of the ball with the serviceable Andy Dalton throwing to A. J.  Green, Tyler Boyd and Tyler Eifert as well as having Joe Mixon in the backfield, they seem to have a balanced attack if it can be exploited to its full potential. 

With the AFC North in a stage of transition its very easy to see the Bengals finishing at the top of the pile, however, it is also very easy to see them finishing in last place once again!

New York Jets

The New England Patriots may have won the AFC East in 16 out of the last 18 seasons but they can’t win forever, can they? Coming off of a 4-12 season, Adam Gase is now the head coach (replacing Todd Bowles) and the team have made some great moves in both free agency and the draft. Le’Veon Bell is a stellar running back with his patient style but questions remain over whether sitting out the whole of last season will have impacted him in any way. Then there is second year QB Sam Darnold who, at times last season, looked very much like the franchise player that the Jets needed. Darnold did have his struggles (as most first year QB’s do) but if he does make the transition to the second year, similar to that of Mitch Trubisky at the Bears, the Jets are well primed to cause teams problems. With the drafting of Alabamas Quinnen Williams (defensive tackle) ‘Gang Green’ may have found a run blocker to play at nose tackle in a 3-4 defence that’s Defensive Coordinator Gregg Williams is reportedly staying with.

The New York Jets also have one of the easiest schedules in 2019, tied at 27th. The only problem here is that they are tied with the New England Patriots (https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2019-nfl-strength-of-schedule-patriots-and-redskins-have-it-easiest-raiders-face-roughest-ride/). Winning the AFC East maybe very difficult in 2019 but it wasn’t long ago that the Jets went into Foxboro for a divisional playoff game and came out victorious. The 2019 season may be slightly too early but the Jets are building a strong team for the future and it would not surprise me to see them in the playoffs in 2019.

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jags plummeted after reaching the 2017 AFC Championship Game finishing last season with a 5-11 record. However, there is no last-place team that is better equipped to rebound. They still have a talented defence that finished fifth in the NFL in 2018 (http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorystats?tabSeq=2&defensiveStatisticCategory=GAME_STATS&conference=ALL&role=OPP&season=2018&seasonType=REG&d-447263-s=TOTAL_YARDS_GAME_AVG&d-447263-o=1&d-447263-n=1) and they have upgraded where they needed it most, quarterback! For the last two seasons many people have wondered what this team could be with more functionality at QB. Nick Foles has shown that he can produce on the biggest stage and the 2017 Super Bowl MVP can also call on running back Leonard Fournette. Fournette had a poor 2018 season that was hampered by injury, suspension, and by his own admission, being in ‘sub-optimal shape’. With a healthier o-line and improvement in fitness, the LSU man will need to produce with more consistency for the Jaguars to have a chance. 

Head coach, Doug Marrone has also had a big change up of his coaching staff with 8 coaches either joining the Jags or being promoted from within (https://www.jaguars.com/news/official-defilippo-named-oc-staff-finalized). One major problem for the Jaguars could be the strength of the AFC South. The Texans, Colts and Titans all had winning records in 2018 with two of the three making the playoffs. Whilst the division is relatively open, it’s up for grabs because all of the teams are good. However, if Foles can reproduce his performances from Philly and Fournette can get back to his 2017 form, the Jaguars should get back to the playoffs.

Best Chance?

For my money, the Giants and the Jaguars have the best chance but what do you think? Will any of these teams even make the playoffs or is there a better candidate out there? Let us know @Full10Yards

 

Supply Lines – LSU Cornerbacks

Welcome to our newest series over here at Full 10 Yards College Football – This is Supply Lines. 

 

The college football landscape is dominated by certain schools and one of the biggest reasons for that is recruitment from high schools. Success then multiplies this – as a team becomes more successful, more high school players want to attend that college or university and therefore is further entrenched as a powerhouse school.

The NFL loves these schools as it’s like buying a product from a named brand, a market leader, which is obviously more trustworthy that a lesser brand, or indeed, a lesser football programme.

Ozzy Newsome, the ex-General Manager of the Ravens was notorious for picking Alabama players, for example.

This phenomenon has also become more specialized – it’s become a positional now. How Many times have we heard arguments or seen polls on social media asking which school is DBU or Wide receiver U, or similar?

Some schools have simply become the place to be if you’re a highly touted high school player who plays a certain position. It’s obviously with good reason; these schools obviously coach these certain positions well, maximising the top talent and giving them the best preparation for the next step – The NFL. The NFL then drafts players of those positions and it all perpetuates itself further and supply lines are created.

In this new series, I’m going to be looking at those schools and the players who are next off the conveyor belt and how they compare to their predecessors.

First up, Louisiana State University cornerbacks.

LSU really have spoilt us in terms of how many corners they’ve supplied to the NFL in recent times and what’s more, they quality of corner that they’ve supplied at that! LSU really have a strong claim on the title DBU… I’m staying out of it and leaving people to argue amongst themselves about the giving of titles, however I will talk about their corners.

I know, I know… LSU could claim to be linebacker U, or even some other positions too… I’m even taking their safeties out of the equation here, so don’t get getting in my mentions with Jamal Adams and Tyrann Mathieu. LSU is a true factory of talent, especially on the defensive side of the ball.

If we go back to the legendary draft that occurred in 2011, we have the Arizona Cardinals selecting 5th overall and taking Patrick Peterson, cornerback out of LSU which I feel like is the modern landmark from which LSU’s claim on the DBU title stems.

Pat Pete has been one of the premier corners in the NFL ever since he entered the league but it’s LSU where his legend began.

Starting 13 games as a true freshman, as a 5-star recruit and he just got better and better throughout his time in Baton Rouge, I mean, you don’t get to wear the #7 jersey for LSU unless you’re someone pretty special. The current incumbent, safety Grant Delpit is probably going to be a top 10 pick in the 2020 draft and will be another worthy owner one of the most highly thought of jerseys in the whole of college football.

Anyway, back to corners…

After Peterson, it didn’t take the NFL very long at all to get back to LSU corners. In 2012, the Dallas Cowboys moved up in the draft and then used the 6th overall pick to add, Morris Claiborne to their ranks. I know NFL fans will point to the injuries when talking about Morris Claiborne but he was a superb player for LSU; a Jim Thorpe award winner, as the best defensive back in the country and also a unanimous All-American. Oh, and he disproved the theory that he was only good because he played opposite Patrick Peterson by winning the SEC defensive player of the year in 2011.

Injuries and inconsistencies hampered Claiborne and he’s unfortunately never reached the heights of his college days in the pros.

After Claiborne, LSU sent Tharold Simon and Jalen Collins to the league in 2013 and 2015 respectively, then a pair of corners in 2016, Rashard Robinson and Jalen Mills… I mean, every school doesn’t knock it out of the park every year but that’s still two Superbowl champions in Simon and Mills and every team needs depth, right?

This minor drought didn’t last long either… Tre’Davious White was taken with the 27th overall pick in 2017 by the Bills and is still the most criminally underrated corner in the league. He just does not get talked about amongst the top guys, maybe because he barely gets thrown at anymore… In his rookie year, White registered, 4 picks and 18 pass deflections, in 2018 that dropped to 2 INT’s and 8 PBU’s whilst being targeted on a mere 12.9% of Bills pass plays. I guess that’s the NFL’s way of telling someone that they’re worried about throwing their way… and he’s only going to get better on a Bills defense which doesn’t get enough love.

Next off the production line was Donte Jackson, who recently narrowly missed out being crowned the unofficial fastest player in the NFL by finishing 2nd in the 40 Yards of Gold race by the tiny margin of 0.05 seconds from Marquise Goodwin… Not bad when you consider that Goowin is an actual Olympic sprinter. 

Jackson had some ups and downs as a rookie last year but is slated for a bigger role in the Panthers D in 2019. Jackson will be looking to build on his four interceptions as well as his snap count next season.

That brings us up to present day and a certain Andraez Williams… you all might know him better as Greedy.

In the spring, Williams actually fell further than a lot of experts expected but you probably won’t hear the Cleveland Browns complaining. Williams is a long and lean, press-man cover who should form a dynamic pairing with Denzel Ward. I’m looking forward to seeing what Greedy produces this year, I include myself in those who had Williams going much higher than the middle of the second round but perhaps a perceived lack of effort during the last college season, led to that fall.

That may worry Browns fans who still remember Justin Gilbert. Gilbert was drafted much higher, 8th overall but had similar work ethic and concerns about his love and passion for football.

This leaves us looking to the future and to one, Kristian Fulton. It sort of reminds me of the scenario that I mentioned towards the top with Patrick Peterson and Morris Claiborne. Fulton was the younger of the pairing with Greedy Williams and is now left as the senior player and has to come to the fore like Claiborne did back in 2011. A date to circle early on in the college football season will be week 2, when LSU travel to Austin to play the University of Texas, which could match him up against Collin Johnson… Get comfy for that one because sparks could fly. Fulton is a mirror and match, man coverage guy, the kind that is popular with NFL front offices, especially given his athletic ability. Who knows, maybe if Fulton puts in a classy 2019 season, he will be the Patrick Peterson to Greedy Williams’ Morris Claiborne?

 

 

Keep your eyes peeled next week for the next installment of Supply Lines, next week we’ll be on the offensive side of the ball.

Follow @Full10YardsCFB on Twitter

 

Five Fantasy Wastelands

By Lawrence Vos (Twitter: @nflfaninengland) July 13 2019
For many of you that are relatively new to NFL fantasy football the thought of those late round picks may fill you with a bit of fear. After all who is Simmie Cobbs or Jeff Driskel?
Sometimes you need to take a punt, no not a 53-yard coffin-corner, but a shot in the dark at someone who is not a household name and realistically not someone that will make or break your season.
To help you figure out some situations to avoid, Lawrence Vos dons his best Mad Max costume and holds your hand to guide you through some team-unit fantasy wastelands to steer well clear from.

Miami Dolphins quarterbacks
I am saying it here and saying it loudly, the Dolphins are not tanking for Tua (Tagovailoa) they will be trying to win as many games as possible in 2019. Whether they actually obtain more than three wins is a completely different matter. Will there be some Fitzmagic in the sunshine or will everything come up smelling of Rosen? Ryan Fitzpatrick, the veteran bearded wizard, will likely open the season as starter, but despite his gaudy stats to begin 2018 there is no Mike Evans, DeSean Jackson or OJ Howard loitering on South Beach in 2019. Miami bought in former first-round selection Josh Rosen to compete. A better financial move than personnel move, as the Dolphins avoided paying any kind of signing bonus, already absorbed by the Arizona Cardinals. Nobody likes a situation where it’s Havaianas Time on a Sunday morning, and nobody wants to carry two quarterbacks that are not commanding starters. Fitzpatrick can burn brighter than a comet, but his rocket man arm can fizzle too, and guessing the week he is on fire is a lottery. Don’t light a candle in the wind for either of these signal-callers.

Washington Redskins wide-receivers
Much like drinking a Brussel sprout, cranberry and radish smoothie, drafting any Redskins wide-outs will leave you with a lingering bitter taste in your mouth, and likely a bit of something stuck in your back teeth. The situation may be significantly different in a season or two, but the combination of the woefully disappointing Josh Doctson (a first round pick in 2016 who has accrued 1,100 yards, 81 catches and eight touchdowns in three season) two unproven rookies Terry McLaurin (Round 3) and Kelvin Harmon (Round 7) and Paul Richardson, who in his five seasons has averaged 23 catches a year and two touchdowns, is truly unappetising. You have more chance of a breakout season from second-string third-year tight-end Jeremy Sprinkle. If you want to tank with your fantasy team then pick up one of these bundles of burgundy and gold decorated joy. And if you truly want to stun your league then why not add Redskins 5th WR Brian Quick, who had three catches for 18 yards in 2018.

Buffalo Bills running-backs
More messy than Mr Messy after he has done ten shots of tequila and then on the way home decided to douse his kebab in a pint of habanero sauce, the Bills have as eclectic a backfield as anyone in the NFL. Two veteran Pro-Bowlers, a potential rookie stud and an under-the-radar young free-agent. Great for depth and therefore superb for team rushing output, but a cold-sweat inducing nightmare for fantasy owners. Both in their 30’s, LeSean ‘Shady’ McCoy is on the downward spiral of his career arc and Frank Gore it turns out is a cyborg who cannot be terminated. McCoy performed badly in 2018 with rookie Josh Allen handing him the pigskin, averaging a paltry 3.2 a carry and three total touchdowns. Gore is clearly partaking in some wine from Cliff Richard’s vineyard as he continues his inevitable journey to Canton, Ohio via Western New York. Gore, much like Fitzmagic, will get the ball at some stage, and this means carries getting split. Throw in a dynamic rookie in the form of Devin Singletary, who scored nation-leading 32 touchdowns in 2017 for Florida Atlantic, and you have a 5ft 7inch end-zone vulture. Now throw in the grossly underrated T.J Yeldon, who has very soft hands, and averages over 40 catches a season, and you have wonderful talent, but no workhorse and as a team no clear fantasy asset.

New England Patriots tight-ends
He may currently look like he’s had colonic treatment that has sucked half his body weight up a faecal extraction tube, but the odds on Rob Gronkowski coming out of retirement by week 15 is higher than you might think. Rich Eisen recently asked Gronk to perform a mock conversation between him and Tom Brady, and it ended with the tight-end saying ‘call me when it gets to the playoffs’. Meanwhile Brady will be facing at least three months of struggles with the return of Ben Watson delayed for the first four weeks of the season due to a substance misuse suspension. Watson was coaxed out of retirement thinking he could catch 50-60 balls from Tom Brady in a swansong, now he might play a bit-part from week 5 onwards. Sitting atop the depth chart as we stand in mid-July is one of my sleeper sweethearts Matt LaCosse. LaCosse has never been a feature tight-end but he does have the physical tools to develop some early season rapport with Brady. Behind LaCosse is third-year former Texans tight-end Stephen Anderson. You can likely get Watson and LaCosse cheap in deeper leagues, and in some cases one will be available on waivers. This does not mean you should pull the trigger on any Patriots tight-end. Gronk was a unique proposition, and cannot be replaced. If you want to take a gamble late with Patriots skill players grab rookie WR N’Keal Harry who will get a worthwhile target share to justify a spot on your bench.

Denver Broncos wide-receivers
Joe Flacco. The name alone makes you think about mediocrity, middle-of-the-road, conservative, no thrills gameplay. Hardly words that wide-receivers will want to describe the man that is throwing them the ball in 2019. This situation is not only eroded by an uninspiring passer, its due to the depth chart being equally vanilla, and no I’m not talking about Madagascan vanilla pods, I mean the budget ice-cream type you get at a child’s birthday party. Emmanuel Sanders is getting old and coming back from an Achilles injury, and the other two starters Desean Hamilton and Courtland Sutton are only in their second seasons yet they have to start from scratch building a pass catching relationship with the former Super Bowl MVP Flacco. There will be big pressure on Hamilton and Sutton to step up and one will likely establish himself as Flacco’s favourite by mid-season. Put simply there are better bench options to pick-up in the latter stages of your draft. You need big help with your team in you are drafting any Broncos wide-receiver to start. These three will likely sit on your fantasy bench for a few weeks before you lose faith and drop one for a waiver hot-shot. Do yourself a favour and avoid this dilemma wasting any time in your fantasy-football addled brain by avoiding drafting Denver wide-outs.

Are there any other wastelands you are avoiding? Let me know on Twitter personally or direct it at our Full10Yards Fantasy account, @F10YFantasy.

Betting: Season long stats leaders preview

By Adam Walford (@touchdowntips) – 9th July 2019

So it’s the start of July, less than a month until football returns! Well, pre-season football, which isn’t really worth it, but, the Falcons and Broncos 3rd stringers take the field in the HOF game on the 1st of August. Yay!

There’s actually a lot of variety already available in the ante-post betting for next season on most of the big sites, so I’ll have a nose at some that have caught my eye a little. I’ll stick to player related bets here, win totals don’t change a whole lot over the summer, and annoyingly you can’t parlay them without using the betting firms’ Request a Bet service which I’ll get to later in the summer. There’s actually quite a lot of player yardage props which I’ll look at later in the summer as well, and of course the Team totals which I love attacking.

Regular Season MVP

Not a fan of MVP betting at this early stage of the season, or frankly during the season, it’s not a market I particularly like. I can practically guarantee it will be a QB, there’s been a couple of RBs who set records, some fella called Jerry Rice is the only WR to have won it and Lawrence Taylor is the only defensive player to have won it.

Having said that I don’t usually bet on this market, I will probably have a nibble on Deshaun Watson at 33/1. He’s mobile, he’s got one of the best WRs in the game and if Will Fuller can stay fit, a serious TD threat. The Texans are in a tough division and have a tough schedule, if they come through to win that division then it’s safe to say that a lot will be down to Watson. Annoyingly he was around 60/1 earlier in the off-season, only 33/1 now (PP, Lads) but I think he should be shorter still.

The other I would look at would be Carson Wentz. It’s a risk, but the team obviously have no worries about his injury as they signed him to a big deal and traded away Nick Foles so I don’t have too much worry there either. He was MVP-elect before that injury in his rookie year and if anything his WR corps is better now with Desean Jackson brought in, as well as rookie JJ Arcega-Whiteside who I’ve heard good things, to compliment Jeffrey and Agholar. Add the tight ends Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert to the pass catchers and you’ve got a talented offense there.

  • Deshaun Watson – 35/1 (Betfair)
  • Carson Wentz – 25/1 (Skybet)

Most passing yards

Another one that’s dominated mainly by the QBs for obvious reasons… I won’t go into too much depth on this one.

Mahomes is the favourite, I think a lot depends on whether Tyreek Hill is suspended or not, somehow it looks like he’ll have a small suspension at the moment, which is a big boost for Mahomes and his stats. He’s brilliant.

Big Ben won it last year, I doubt that will happen this year without Antonio Brown there. I don’t think it will be Rodgers, it won’t be Brady, Brees or Goff.

Matt Ryan is in with a shout assuming Calvin Ridley takes a step forward which is perfectly believable, and he’s got Julio, which obviously helps.

I usually plump for Phil Rivers EW and he’ll be up there again with Keenan Allen, Mike Williams likely to step up and Hunter Henry hopefully back and fully fit. But I think it could well be Andrew Luck. I was so impressed with him last year coming back off his shoulder injury and I think the Colts will be a good team this year, TY Hilton should do well and I’d imagine he’ll be fairly decent odds in rec. yards, Parris Campbell is a flexible pass catcher, Doyle and Ebron at TE and Nyheim Hines at RB are all adept pass catchers.

I feel it would be a mistake to not mention Deshaun Watson at 40/1 on Ladbrokes after mentioning him for the MVP above, Hopkins, Fuller, Keke Coutee are a good trio to throw the ball to. Jamies Winston is probably in with a shout here as well, he’s a high volume thrower generally and gets Bruce Arians as his HC who loves going with 4 WR sets, so there will be a lot of people on the field for him to target, he’s 20/1 EW on Ladbrokes, which is actually bigger than everywhere else who only got straight up (10/1 at Skybet or example).

Somehow I have completely ignored Baker Mayfield until now (16/1 Skybet) when I originally wrote this lot, I think he’ll be up there, he’s definitely got the players to throw to, Landry, Beckham, Njoku are a good trio and even the secondary guys are decent enough, the kid showed he’s got the talent in his half season last year and with a full year the only thing detracting is possibly a poor offensive line. Not a bad shout at all, and what kind of idiot does a top passer thing and doesn’t mention Aaron Rodgers. Jesus christ, what an amateur I am some times. Plusses, he’ll be in F you mode after finally getting rid of Mike McCarthy, negatives he has some very tough defenses in his division and I’m just not sure he’ll get near 5,000

  • Andrew Luck – 7/1
  • Jameis Winston 20/1 EW- Both Ladbrokes

Most rushing yards

Apologies for the length and the rambling on this one, but wanted to get my thoughts down as to why I’ve picked the guys I have.

The league as a whole has generally gone away from workhorse running backs these days, preferring to use a couple in rotation so while I’d love to be contrarian and give some value here, but it’s basically between about 4 or 5 guys, the same ones you’ll be taking at the top of your fantasy drafts.

Ezekiel Elliott, Kamara, McCaffrey, Barkley are the top 4, then you’re looking at the likes of Joe Mixon, James Connor, David Johnson, Lev Bell, Todd Gurley, maybe Dalvin Cook. – Zeke won it last year with 1,434 yards over the season and with no-one else really in the backfield there I see no reason why it won’t be him again especially as the offensive line should be stronger than last year, he is used in the passing game, in fact he was used a lot more than I realised last year, 77 receptions was only a handful behind Kamara. I will, however discard Kamara (883) as while the Saints got rid of Ingram, they replaced him seemingly like-for-like with Latavius Murray who will take more of the ground work with Kamara very adept in the passing game, for the same reason I doubt it will be CmcC (1098), while he was a beast last year and has bulked up over the summer he’s just too good through the air for them to give him enough to rack up the ground yards as well. I believe that Saquon Barkley is probably the only real rival for Zeke for the rushing title; He was pretty much the entire offense for the Giants last year and he handled it all in his stride, over 2,000 all purpose yards, 1,307 on the ground, and his breakout speed was a large part of that, one cut and you’re not gonna catch him. Eli still can’t throw the ball so I’d imagine a lot will be on him again this year.

Unsurprisingly Ezekiel Elliott and Saquon Barkley are the two leaders in the betting. 4/1 and 5/1 respectively on Ladbrokes, and 1/4 EW which could come in handy in a minute.

It might be stupid to overlook Todd Gurley who finished 3rd last year despite a small workload for the last few games of the season, and the off-season rumour-mill around him is concerning in regards to his knee. It seems he has mild arthritis there which could lead to less of a workload and they drafted an RB mildly high, or it could mean nothing and they run him into the ground anyway. Personally I’m avoiding him, 16/1 is available on PP if you wanted to go for him though. – Mixon and Connor are basically 3 down backs for their teams, and I believe that the Bengals want to run the ball more this year to set up the play action pass, however the offensive line which was looking improved got knocked back to last years when left tackle Jonah Williams was reported to be out for the season and that’s really dented my confidence in the whole Bengals offense; He did however lead the AFC in rush yards last year behind that line so 12/1 on Lads.

The Steelers always shove the load on one back and it will be Connor again this year, he did well in his first season as the main RB last year and with no Antonio Brown or Lev Bell there they’ll be relying more on Juju and Connor to get the yards, but I just don’t think he’ll get enough yards, it could be my anti-Pitt bias, but I just don’t see it for some reason. David Johnson in Arizona? I love the guy, he’s a brilliant player but I think that team will be too pass heavy (an area he excels in) to give him enough carries to top the table. Leveon Bell, at the Jets now, I don’t believe he’ll be as good without one of the best offensive lines in the league and with a HC who doesn’t like using one guy (Drake/Gore in Miami) and who has come out and said he didn’t want Bell at the cost.

Dalvin Cook was a major talent when he was healthy and I think actually, that he would be my EW bet, available at 22/1 on Ladbrokes and there’s not a lot left in terms of competition in the backfield for him, only really Alex Mattison who they drafted this year, add to that the fact they changed their offensive coordinator to go more run heavy… I think that’s the bet for me at the price.

  • Ezekiel Elliott – 4/1
  • Dalvin Cook EW – 22/1 – Both Ladbrokes.

Most receiving Yards

I’m struggling a bit on this one tbh, there’s a lot of players who I think will be there or there about’s and they’re all generally 20-25s at most. Julio will be up there as he always is, and I mentioned above that I think Ryan will be up there, so of course Julio should be in my thought process here.

Michael Thomas will be around there, but I don’t think he gets enough big plays to win it.

DeAndre Hopkins is another, if I think Watson is going to do as well as I think then theoretically I have to think Nuk will do well this year and the same goes for TY Hilton if I think Andrew Luck will do well, then he should be up near the top of this list as well, at 20/1 on Ladbrokes. 25/1 on Davante Adams isn’t a bad look, he’s the clear WR1 there and Rodgers has essentially said he’ll be looking for him on every single play, but that price is straight up only, a measly 11/1 on Ladbrokes for EW betting. I mean, in fairness at 125/1… Robert Woods isn’t the worst bet in the world but again that’s straight win, only 50/1 on Lads for EW bettors.

Davante Adams – 25/1 – Skybet

Not… That… Long…. Now!