ROB’S STAT BASED PPR FANTASY RANKINGS – Training Camp ’19

So here we are. Finally, it’s fantasy season. Training camp is well and truly underway and tonight, Pre-Season Week 1 officially begins.

So, naturally, it’s time to release my up-to-date rankings for all of you to mull over as fantasy drafts start to pick up the tempo. As for Ezekiel Elliott and Melvin Gordon, I have left them untouched when projecting their season totals. It’s hard for any analyst to predict what is going to happen in these situations, but for now, I want to assume both players will re-sign and start come week 1.

This month, however, I will be updating the rankings after week 3 of preseason in time for the majority of fantasy drafts at the end of the month, so if neither player has signed by then, their rankings will most likely be affected and they will be changed for that update.

Enjoy! Rob – @FFBritBaller

Quarterback

1Aaron RodgersGB
2Deshaun WatsonHOU
3Patrick MahomesKC
4Andrew LuckIND
5Russell WilsonSEA
6Jameis WinstonTB
7Baker MayfieldCLE
8Matt RyanATL
9Carson WentzPHI
10Lamar JacksonBAL
11Drew BreesNO
12Jared GoffLAR
13Dak PrescottDAL
14Kyler MurrayARZ
15Josh AllenBUF
16Mitch TrubiskyCHI
17Ben RoethlisbergerPIT
18Philip RiversLAC
19Cam NewtonCAR
20Tom BradyNE
21Dwayne HaskinsWSH
22Kirk CousinsMIN
23Jimmy GaroppoloSF
24Derek CarrOAK
25Andy DaltonCIN
26Marcus MariotaTEN
27Matthew StaffordDET
28Sam DarnoldNYJ
29Nick FolesJAX
30Joe FlaccoDEN
31Eli ManningNYG
32Josh RosenMIA

Running Back

1Ezekiel ElliottDAL
2Saquon BarkleyNYG
3Alvin KamaraNO
4Christian McCaffreyCAR
5David JohnsonARZ
6Le’Veon BellNYJ
7Dalvin CookMIN
8Melvin GordonLAC
9Todd GurleyLAR
10Joe MixonCIN
11Kerryon JohnsonDET
12Devonta FreemanATL
13Nick ChubbCLE
14Josh JacobsOAK
15Chris CarsonSEA
16James ConnerPIT
17Marlon MackIND
18Derrick HenryTEN
19Tarik CohenCHI
20Leonard FournetteJAX
21Kenyan DrakeMIA
22Aaron JonesGB
23Lamar MillerHOU
24Mark IngramBAL
25David MontgomeryCHI
26Damien WilliamsKC
27James WhiteNE
28Adrian PetersonWSH
29Phillip LindsayDEN
30Sony MichelNE
31Tevin ColemanSF
32Duke Johnson JrCLE
33Miles SandersPHI
34Jordan HowardPHI
35Peyton BarberTB
36Dion LewisTEN
37Austin EkelerLAC
38Ronald JonesTB
39Matt BreidaSF
40Nyheim HinesIND
41Ito SmithATL
42Jaylen SamuelsPIT
43Rashaad PennySEA
44Derrius GuiceWSH
45Jalen RichardOAK
46Justice HillBAL
47Ryquell ArmsteadJAX
48Latavius MurrayNO
49LeSean McCoyBUF
50Chris ThompsonWSH
51Royce FreemanDEN
52Bilal PowellNYJ
53Darrell HendersonLAR
54Mike DavisCHI
55Damien HarrisNE
56Carlos HydeKC
57Dexter WilliamsGB
58Theo RiddickDEN
59Jerick McKinnonSF
60T.J YeldonBUF
61Giovani BernardCIN
62Kalen BallageMIA
63Alex BarnesTEN
64Jamaal WilliamsGB
65Devin SingletaryBUF
66Darren SprolesPHI
67Myles GaskinMIA
68Elijah McGuireNYJ
69Damarea CrockettHOU
70Wayne GallmanNYG
71Darwin ThompsonKC
72Doug MartinOAK
73Bruce AndersonTB
74Jordan ScarlettCAR
75C.J AndersonDET
76Kareem HuntCLE
77Alfred BlueJAX
78Rodney AndersonCIN
79Ty JohnsonDET
80Bryce LoveWSH
81C.J ProsiseSEA
82Gus EdwardsBAL
83Alexander MattisonMIN
84Benny Snell JrPIT
85Malcolm BrownLAR
86Kenneth DixonBAL
87Tony PollardDAL
88Frank GoreBUF
89Rex BurkheadNE
90D’Onta ForemanIND
91Chase EdmondsARZ
92Justin JacksonLAC
93Qadree OllisonATL
94Corey ClementPHI
95Josh FergusonHOU
96Devontae BookerDEN
97Mike WeberDAL
98J.D McKissicSEA
99Michael BooneMIN
100Raheem MostertSF
101Elijah HolyfieldCAR
102Treyveon WilliamsCIN
103Jordan WilkinsIND
104Samaje PerineWSH
105Dwayne WashingtonNO
106T.J LoganARZ
107Elijhaa PennyNYG
108Zach ZennerDET
109Kenjon BarnerATL
110DeAndre WashingtonOAK
111David FluellenTEN
112D.J FosterARZ
113Cameron Artis-PayneCAR

Wide Receiver

1Davante AdamsGB
2DeAndre HopkinsHOU
3Julio JonesATL
4Michael ThomasNO
5JuJu Smith-SchusterPIT
6Tyreek HillKC
7Mike EvansTB
8Odell Beckham JrCLE
9Antonio BrownOAK
10Keenan AllenLAC
11T.Y HiltonIND
12Adam ThielenMIN
13Stefon DiggsMIN
14Amari CooperDAL
15Julian EdelmanNE
16Cooper KuppLAR
17Kenny GolladayDET
18Tyler LockettSEA
19Brandin CooksLAR
20Tyler BoydCIN
21Mike WilliamsLAC
22Dante PettisSF
23Chris GodwinTB
24Alshon JeffreyPHI
25Calvin RidleyATL
26Robert WoodsLAR
27Christian KirkARZ
28Sterling ShepardNYG
29Corey DavisTEN
30Dede WestbrookJAX
31Jarvis LandryCLE
32D.J MooreCAR
33Marquez Valdes-ScantlingGB
34Allen RobinsonCHI
35James WashingtonPIT
36Robby AndersonNYJ
37Courtland SuttonDEN
38John BrownBUF
39A.J GreenCIN
40Marquise BrownBAL
41Marvin JonesDET
42Michael GallupDAL
43Parris CampbellIND
44Emmanuel SandersDEN
45D.K MetcalfSEA
46N’Keal HarryNE
47Miles BoykinBAL
48Zay JonesBUF
49DeVante ParkerMIA
50DeSean JacksonPHI
51Golden TateNYG
52Curtis SamuelCAR
53Sammy WatkinsKC
54Marqise LeeJAX
55Tre’Quan SmithNO
56Paul RichardsonWSH
57Anthony MillerCHI
58Albert WilsonMIA
59Antonio CallawayCLE
60Jamison CrowderNYJ
61Danny AmendolaDET
62Kenny StillsMIA
63Adam HumphriesTEN
64Chris ConleyJAX
65Taylor GabrielCHI
66DaeSean HamiltonDEN
67Larry FitzgeraldARZ
68Willie SneadBAL
69Kelvin HarmonWSH
70Keke CouteeHOU
71A.J BrownTEN
72Will FullerHOU
73John RossCIN
74J.J Arcega-WhitesidePHI
75Randall CobbDAL
76Mohammed SanuATL
77David MooreSEA
78Quincy EnunwaNYJ
79Tyrell WilliamsOAK
80Andy IsabellaARZ
81Ted Ginn JrNO
82Devin FunchessIND
83Deebo SamuelSF
84Hakeem ButlerARZ
85Chris HoganCAR
86Geronimo AllisonGB
87Diontae JohnsonPIT
88Cole BeasleyBUF
89Robert FosterBUF
90Maurice HarrisNE
91Hunter RenfrowOAK
92Trey QuinnWSH
93Donte MoncriefPIT
94Keelan ColeJAX
95Nelson AgholorPHI
96Darius SlaytonNYG
97Mecole HardmanKC
98Equanimeous St. BrownGB
99Phillip DorsettNE
100Jalen HurdSF
101Laquon TreadwellMIN
102Keith KirkwoodNO
103Justin WatsonTB
104Terry McLaurinWSH
105Marquise GoodwinSF
106Josh DoctsonWSH
107Jermaine KearseDET
108Breshad PerrimanTB
109D.J CharkJAX
110Riley RidleyCHI
111Chester RogersIND
112Travis BenjaminLAC
113Deon CainIND
114Russell ShepardNYG
115Geremy DavisLAC
116Taywan TaylorTEN
117Josh ReynoldsLAR
118Jordan MatthewsSF
119Jarius WrightCAR
120Jaron BrownSEA
121Justin HardyATL
122Cordarelle PattersonCHI
123Tajae SharpeTEN
124Ryan GrantOAK
125Marcel AtemanOAK
126Demarcus RobinsonKC
127Rashard HigginsCLE
128J.J NelsonOAK
129Josh BellamyNYJ
130DeMaryius ThomasNE
131Chris MooreBAL
132Juwann WinfreeDEN
133Marcus GreenATL
134KeeSean JohnsonARZ
135Allen HurnsMIA
136Seth RobertsBAL
137Eli RogersPIT
138Tavon AustinDAL
139Cody LatimerNYG
140Ray-Ray McCloudBUF
141Alex EricksonCIN
142Andre RobertsBUF
143Kevin WhiteARZ
144Mack HollinsPHI
145Vyncint SmithHOU
146Emanuel HallCHI
147Torrey SmithCAR
148Sammie CoatesKC
149Jaelen StrongCLE
150Jake KumerowGB
151Daurice FountainIND
152Ryan SwitzerPIT
n/aJosh GordonNE
n/aCorey ColemanNYG

Tight End

1Travis KelceKC
2Zach ErtzPHI
3George KittleSF
4Hunter HenryLAC
5Evan EngramNYG
6O.J HowardTB
7Vance McDonaldPIT
8Noah FantDEN
9Delanie WalkerTEN
10Jared CookNO
11Eric EbronIND
12Jordan ReedWSH
13Mark AndrewsBAL
14Austin Hooper ATL
15Geoff SwaimJAX
16Darren WallerOAK
17T.J HockensonDET
18Tyler EifertCIN
19Jordan ThomasHOU
20David NjokuCLE
21Irv Smith JrMIN
22Mike GesickiMIA
23Trey BurtonCHI
24Chris HerndonNYJ
25Jack DoyleIND
26Jason WittenDAL
27Kyle RudolphMIN
28Greg OlsenCAR
29Jimmy GrahamGB
30Matt LaCosseNE
31Dallas GoedertPHI
32Cameron BrateTB
33Blake JarwinDAL
34C.J UzomahCIN
35Ricky Seals-JonesARZ
36Ian ThomasCAR
37Josh OliverJAX
38Gerald EverettLAR
39Deon YelderKC
40Ryan GriffinNYJ
41Jesse JamesDET
42Ben WatsonNE
43Rhett EllisonNYG
44Tyler HigbeeLAR
45Vernon DavisWSH
46Dawson KnoxBUF
47Nick VannettSEA
48Alize MackNO
49Jake ButtDEN
50Charles ClayARZ
51Will DisslySEA
52Dwayne AllenMIA
53Jace SternbergerGB
54Jordan AkinsHOU
55Ed DicksonSEA
56Luke WillsonOAK
57Trevon WescoNYJ
58Hayden HurstBAL
59Nick O’LearyMIA
60Josh HillNO
61Kahale WarringHOU
62Adam ShaheenCHI
63Drew SampleCIN
64Jeff HeuermanDEN
65Seth DeValveCLE
66Zach GentryPIT
67Jordan LeggettTB
68Nick BoyleBAL
69Mo Alie-CoxIND
70Maxx WilliamsARZ
71Luke StockerATL
72Virgil GreenLAC
73Richard RodgersPHI
74Foster MoreauOAK
75Xavier GrimblePIT
76Levine ToiloloSF
77Marcedes LewisGB
78Dalton SchultzDAL
n/aAustin Seferian-JenkinsNE
n/aJonnu SmithTEN
n/aTyler KroftBUF

Rob’s Stat Based PPR Fantasy Rankings for 2019 – July ’19

Talk about catching the wrath of the truthers! Hi there A.J Green fanatics! You certainly gave me some heat last month as I looked to fade Green and his dodgy toe/dodgy QB combo well and truly out of 2019. Well, good and bad news A.J Green truthers – good news, he’s gone up in this month’s rankings…bad news, it’s only by a couple of spaces and he won’t be going any higher. Sorry, not sorry.

Also, it’s with gritted teeth that I ‘had’ to add Tyreek Hill into this month’s projections. I’ve not shyed away from letting my feelings known about how I believe fantasy commissioners should have the power to remove certain players out of their leagues. Nevertheless, he’s reportedly going to back in week 5, so like the pro-ready analyst that I am (lol), I have included him this month which in turn has sky-rocketed Patrick Mahomes’ value, but dented Mecole Hardman’s and Sammy Watkins’ in the process.

Without further ado, check out my latest rankings as we head into training camp time of the year. We’re getting closer fantasy fans…we’re getting closer!

Quarterback

1 Aaron Rodgers GB
2 Andrew Luck IND
3 Deshaun Watson HOU
4 Patrick Mahomes KC
5 Drew Brees NO
6 Baker Mayfield CLE
7 Jameis Winston TB
8 Lamar Jackson BAL
9 Dak Prescott DAL
10 Russell Wilson SEA
11 Matt Ryan ATL
12 Kyler Murray ARZ
13 Mitch Trubisky CHI
14 Carson Wentz PHI
15 Josh Allen BUF
16 Ben Roethlisberger PIT
17 Jared Goff LAR
18 Cam Newton CAR
19 Philip Rivers LAC
20 Tom Brady NE
21 Kirk Cousins MIN
22 Derek Carr OAK
23 Jimmy Garoppolo SF
24 Dwayne Haskins WSH
25 Matthew Stafford DET
26 Marcus Mariota TEN
27 Andy Dalton CIN
28 Sam Darnold NYJ
29 Joe Flacco DEN
30 Eli Manning NYG
31 Josh Rosen MIA
32 Nick Foles JAX

Running Back

1 Ezekiel Elliott DAL
2 Saquon Barkley NYG
3 Alvin Kamara NO
4 Christian McCaffrey CAR
5 David Johnson ARZ
6 Le’Veon Bell NYJ
7 Melvin Gordon LAC
8 Joe Mixon CIN
9 Dalvin Cook MIN
10 Todd Gurley LAR
11 Devonta Freeman ATL
12 Nick Chubb CLE
13 Kerryon Johnson DET
14 Josh Jacobs OAK
15 James Conner PIT
16 Marlon Mack IND
17 Aaron Jones GB
18 Damien Williams KC
19 Kenyan Drake MIA
20 Derrick Henry TEN
21 Mark Ingram BAL
22 Leonard Fournette JAX
23 Chris Carson SEA
24 Lamar Miller HOU
25 Tarik Cohen CHI
26 David Montgomery CHI
27 James White NE
28 Phillip Lindsay DEN
29 Adrian Peterson WSH
30 Sony Michel NE
31 Duke Johnson Jr CLE
32 Dion Lewis TEN
33 Jordan Howard PHI
34 Peyton Barber TB
35 Austin Ekeler LAC
36 Miles Sanders PHI
37 Ronald Jones TB
38 Matt Breida SF
39 Nyheim Hines IND
40 Ito Smith ATL
41 Jaylen Samuels PIT
42 Jerick McKinnon SF
43 Rashaad Penny SEA
44 Derrius Guice WSH
45 Jalen Richard OAK
46 Tevin Coleman SF
47 Theo Riddick DET
48 Royce Freeman DEN
49 Latavius Murray NO
50 LeSean McCoy BUF
51 Chris Thompson WSH
52 D’Onta Foreman HOU
53 Bilal Powell NYJ
54 Darrell Henderson LAR
55 Mike Davis CHI
56 Damien Harris NE
57 Alfred Blue JAX
58 Dexter Williams GB
59 T.J Yeldon BUF
60 Carlos Hyde KC
61 Giovani Bernard CIN
62 Jamaal Williams GB
63 Devin Singletary BUF
64 Gus Edwards BAL
65 Myles Gaskin MIA
66 Corey Clement PHI
67 Devontae Booker DEN
68 Elijah McGuire NYJ
69 Wayne Gallman NYG
70 Darrel Williams KC
71 Doug Martin OAK
72 Bruce Anderson TB
73 Jordan Scarlett CAR
74 Kareem Hunt CLE
75 Rodney Anderson CIN
76 Kalen Ballage MIA
77 Bryce Love WSH
78 C.J Anderson DET
79 C.J Prosise SEA
80 Alexander Mattison MIN
81 Thomas Rawls JAX
82 Benny Snell Jr PIT
83 Malcolm Brown LAR
84 Kenneth Dixon BAL
85 Tony Pollard DAL
86 Josh Adams PHI
87 Frank Gore BUF
88 Rex Burkhead NE
89 Justice Hill BAL
90 Chase Edmonds ARZ
91 Justin Jackson LAC
92 Qadree Ollison ATL
93 Jordan Wilkins IND
94 Mike Weber DAL
95 J.D McKissic SEA
96 Josh Ferguson HOU
97 Michael Boone MIN
98 Raheem Mostert SF
99 Zach Zenner DET
100 Treyveon Williams CIN
101 Samaje Perine WSH
102 Dwayne Washington NO
103 T.J Logan ARZ
104 Elijhaa Penny NYG
105 Cameron Artis-Payne CAR
106 Kenjon Barner ATL
107 DeAndre Washington OAK
108 David Fluellen TEN
109 D.J Foster ARZ
110 Jonathan Williams IND

Wide Receiver

1 Davante Adams GB
2 DeAndre Hopkins HOU
3 Julio Jones ATL
4 Michael Thomas NO
5 JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT
6 Mike Evans TB
7 Antonio Brown OAK
8 Odell Beckham Jr CLE
9 Keenan Allen LAC
10 Tyreek Hill KC
11 T.Y Hilton IND
12 Adam Thielen MIN
13 Stefon Diggs MIN
14 Amari Cooper DAL
15 Julian Edelman NE
16 Cooper Kupp LAR
17 Kenny Golladay DET
18 Tyler Lockett SEA
19 Jarvis Landry CLE
20 Brandin Cooks LAR
21 Mike Williams LAC
22 A.J Green CIN
23 Chris Godwin TB
24 Calvin Ridley ATL
25 Christian Kirk ARZ
26 Sterling Shepard NYG
27 Tyler Boyd CIN
28 Marquez Valdes-Scantling GB
29 Dante Pettis SF
30 D.J Moore CAR
31 Robert Woods LAR
32 Dede Westbrook JAX
33 John Brown BUF
34 Corey Davis TEN
35 Allen Robinson CHI
36 James Washington PIT
37 Robby Anderson NYJ
38 Courtland Sutton DEN
39 Alshon Jeffrey PHI
40 Marquise Brown BAL
41 Parris Campbell IND
42 Golden Tate NYG
43 Marvin Jones DET
44 Sammy Watkins KC
45 Emmanuel Sanders DEN
46 D.K Metcalf SEA
47 Tre’Quan Smith NO
48 N’Keal Harry NE
49 Michael Gallup DAL
50 Zay Jones BUF
51 DeVante Parker MIA
52 Curtis Samuel CAR
53 Miles Boykin BAL
54 Marqise Lee JAX
55 DeSean Jackson PHI
56 Paul Richardson WSH
57 Anthony Miller CHI
58 Albert Wilson MIA
59 Antonio Callaway CLE
60 Jamison Crowder NYJ
61 Danny Amendola DET
62 Kelvin Harmon WSH
63 Willie Snead BAL
64 Kenny Stills MIA
65 Adam Humphries TEN
66 Chris Conley JAX
67 Deebo Samuel SF
68 Taylor Gabriel CHI
69 DaeSean Hamilton DEN
70 Larry Fitzgerald ARZ
71 Diontae Johnson PIT
72 Keke Coutee HOU
73 A.J Brown TEN
74 Will Fuller HOU
75 J.J Arcega-Whiteside PHI
76 Mohammed Sanu ATL
77 David Moore SEA
78 Quincy Enunwa NYJ
79 Tyrell Williams OAK
80 Andy Isabella ARZ
81 John Ross CIN
82 Ted Ginn Jr NO
83 Hunter Renfrow OAK
84 Devin Funchess IND
85 Hakeem Butler ARZ
86 Chris Hogan CAR
87 Nelson Agholor PHI
88 Cole Beasley BUF
89 Geronimo Allison GB
90 Maurice Harris NE
91 Randall Cobb DAL
92 Donte Moncrief PIT
93 Keelan Cole JAX
94 Robert Foster BUF
95 Deon Cain IND
96 Josh Doctson WSH
97 Equanimeous St. Brown GB
98 Terry McLaurin WSH
99 Phillip Dorsett NE
100 Mecole Hardman KC
101 Jalen Hurd SF
102 Laquon Treadwell MIN
103 Cameron Meredith NO
104 Justin Watson TB
105 Marquise Goodwin SF
106 Allen Hurns DAL
107 Marcel Ateman OAK
108 Jermaine Kearse DET
109 Breshad Perriman TB
110 D.J Chark JAX
111 Riley Ridley CHI
112 Chester Rogers IND
113 Dylan Cantrell LAC
114 Taywan Taylor TEN
115 Josh Reynolds LAR
116 Jordan Matthews SF
117 Demarcus Robinson KC
118 Jarius Wright CAR
119 Travis Benjamin LAC
120 Jaron Brown SEA
121 Corey Coleman NYG
122 Justin Hardy ATL
123 Juwann Winfree DEN
124 Mack Hollins PHI
125 Bennie Fowler NYG
126 Cordarelle Patterson CHI
127 Tajae Sharpe TEN
128 Rashard Higgins CLE
129 J.J Nelson OAK
130 Josh Bellamy NYJ
131 DeMaryius Thomas NE
132 Chris Moore BAL
133 Marcus Green ATL
134 Brice Butler MIA
135 Jordan Lasley BAL
136 Eli Rogers PIT
137 Tavon Austin DAL
138 Ray-Ray McCloud BUF
139 Chad Williams ARZ
140 Alex Erickson CIN
141 Andre Roberts BUF
142 Kevin White ARZ
143 Daurice Fountain IND
144 Vyncint Smith HOU
145 Emanuel Hall CHI
146 Torrey Smith CAR
147 Sammie Coates KC
148 Jaelen Strong CLE
149 J’Mon Moore GB
150 Ryan Switzer PIT

Tight End

1 Travis Kelce KC
2 Zach Ertz PHI
3 George Kittle SF
4 Hunter Henry LAC
5 Evan Engram NYG
6 O.J Howard TB
7 Eric Ebron IND
8 Jared Cook NO
9 Trey Burton CHI
10 Jordan Reed WSH
11 Chris Herndon NYJ
12 Vance McDonald PIT
13 Delanie Walker TEN
14 Austin Hooper ATL
15 Jordan Thomas HOU
16 David Njoku CLE
17 Noah Fant DEN
18 T.J Hockenson DET
19 Irv Smith Jr MIN
20 Darren Waller OAK
21 Mike Gesicki MIA
22 Jack Doyle IND
23 Mark Andrews BAL
24 Jason Witten DAL
25 Kyle Rudolph MIN
26 Greg Olsen CAR
27 Jimmy Graham GB
28 Nick Vannett SEA
29 Matt LaCosse NE
30 Dallas Goedert PHI
31 Josh Oliver JAX
32 Cameron Brate TB
33 Blake Jarwin DAL
34 Tyler Eifert CIN
35 C.J Uzomah CIN
36 Ricky Seals-Jones ARZ
37 Ian Thomas CAR
38 Jake Butt DEN
39 Gerald Everett LAR
40 Deon Yelder KC
41 Jesse James DET
42 Vernon Davis WSH
43 Ben Watson NE
44 Rhett Ellison NYG
45 Alize Mack NO
46 Tyler Higbee LAR
47 Geoff Swaim JAX
48 Charles Clay ARZ
49 Dawson Knox BUF
50 Will Dissly SEA
51 Dwayne Allen MIA
52 Jace Sternberger GB
53 Jordan Akins HOU
54 Jonnu Smith TEN
55 Luke Willson OAK
56 Nick Boyle BAL
57 Trevon Wesco NYJ
58 Nick O’Leary MIA
59 Josh Hill NO
60 Hayden Hurst BAL
61 Kahale Warring HOU
62 Drew Sample CIN
63 Jeff Heuerman DEN
64 Seth DeValve CLE
65 Zach Gentry PIT
66 Jordan Leggett TB
67 Adam Shaheen CHI
68 Mo Alie-Cox IND
69 Maxx Williams ARZ
70 Foster Moreau OAK
71 Luke Stocker ATL
72 Virgil Green LAC
73 Richard Rodgers PHI
74 Xavier Grimble PIT
75 Marcedes Lewis GB
76 Rico Gathers DAL

As always, I’d love to hear your thoughts and opinions for my rankings. Feel free to @ me or @F10YFantasy.

Rob Grimwood – @FFBritBaller

Feature Image Credit: Dan Powers/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wis

Jury’s Out on Dak Prescott – Rob vs Lawrence

Rob’s Take – Pro Dak

You know that face you pull when you take that first sip of morning coffee but you forgot to put the sugar in? Well, after converting the masses into loving Austin Seferian-Jenkins this year for fantasy football three weeks ago (there is no statistical evidence for this claim, only assumption), I quickly found out that the face you pull for sugar-less coffee is remarkably similar to the face you pull when you have to eat humble pie. Cheers ASJ.

Nonetheless, I have a better feeling about this standoff with Lawrence, because this shouldn’t be a hard sell at all.

Dak’s Offense

It must be nice as a Quarterback in the National Football League when you know those 5 guys protecting you from getting decked by abnormally large and powerful humans are really good at their jobs. That’s the case for Dak. The Cowboys’ offensive line has been one of the best in the league for a few years now and with the recent news that Travis Frederick is participating in training camp, it may be getting back to full force.

frederick
Photo Credit: Max Faulkner/Fort Worth Star Telegram

Centre Fredricks, Tackle Tyron Smith, and Guard Zach Martin are all top 5 players in their respective positions and with Left Guard Connor Williams looking to build on a solid rookie campaign, it should be routine for this line to keep Dak upright in the pocket and buy him plenty of time to find his targets or stretch his legs

The receiving corps is the best Dak’s had to work with so far in his 3-year career too. Amari Cooper showed that he is more than capable of being a productive WR1 with 725 yards and 6 touchdowns off 53 receptions in the 9 games as a Cowboy is 2018, and Michael Gallup proved he can be an effective field stretcher with a healthy 15.4 yards per reception in his rookie campaign. Add seasoned veterans Randall Cobb and the return of Jason Witten into the fold too and it’s fair to say Dak has a solid core of decent receivers to throw passes to.

Ezekiel Elliott’s workload in the passing game went up considerably last season as he became a pivotal piece in Prescott’s arsenal. He saw more targets and receptions in 2018 than his first two seasons in the league combined. It worked too as he finished the season contributing 3 touchdowns and 567 yards through the air. A fair reason to believe this trend is likely to continue in 2019.

Fantasy Outlook

In the three seasons Dak has been under centre for the Cowboys he’s somewhat flown under the radar in fantasy circles. He’s finished those three seasons as the QB6, 10 and 10 respectively.

Rushing Quarterbacks are the new trend in fantasy football. Players like Prescott, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and Cam Newton probably won’t be given Hall of Fame status at the end of their careers, but when rushing yards and touchdowns get you points in fantasy football, points win prizes.

dak
Photo Credit: Michael Ainsworth/AP

Dak is in the conversation of “rushing Quarterback”. He’s certainly undervalued as a rusher anyway. He’s scored 6 rushing touchdowns each season since entering the league and seems to camp around the 300-320 rushing yard mark, which he should be able to repeat this season too.

With the O-line potentially back at full strength and the quality of receivers improving heading into this season, I just don’t see how he finishes lower than his QB10 floor.

His current Average Draft Position is 12.06 in 12 team leagues which translates to be the 19th QB off the board. Yes, 19th. This goes to prove that if you play in 1QB leagues, don’t waste an early pick on a Mahomes, Luck or Rodgers, draft more valuable RB’s or WR’s in those spots instead and pick Dak up at the end of your drafts.

Mark my words, Dak Prescott will be on fantasy championship winning rosters in 2019, and he’s effectively free.

By Rob Grimwood – @FFBritBaller

***

Lawrence’s Take – Anti Prescott

Dak Prescott is a marketing agency’s dream ticket. A young, healthy, controversy-free quarterback who is the signal-caller for ‘America’s Team’. According to ESPN in 2017 Prescott earned five times his salary in endorsements, chomping down on tortilla chips, chugging on soup and washing it down with some well-known dark-brown fizzy beverages.

We can conclude from this commercial success that Dak is not shy. Being the quarterback for the Dallas Cowboys is perhaps the single most scrutinised position in the NFL, with the exception of the pigskin passers in the Big Apple.

Prescott’s History

We all know Dak was a 2016 fourth-round pick who led his team to 13 regular season wins as a rookie, a feat that nobody predicted.

Where the win total abruptly ended in 2016 was the divisional playoffs where Dak was out-dueled by Aaron Rodgers in a 31-34 home loss. The Cowboys went 28-13 down before Dak tossed two fourth-quarter touchdowns.

In 2017 the Cowboys finished with a winning record but failed to make the playoffs. A major lull in November resulted in three consecutive losses and just one team touchdown in those games. The Dak-led Cowboys were outscored by 70 points in those games, effectively eliminating them from the playoffs.

Last season Dallas won the NFC East, winning seven of their last eight with victories by tiny margins (7, 3, 8, 3, 6, 7 and 1) laying a goose egg against the Colts in Week 15.

Dak did scrape past the Seahawks for his first (and only to date) playoff victory, but when they traveled to Los Angeles to face the Rams in the divisional round, Dak found himself down by 16 in the third quarter. The deficit was down to Dak’s failure to generate yardage after an early score. The Rams forced Dallas to punt on four consecutive drives, holding the Cowboys scoreless in the second quarter.

Dak 2
Photo Credit: Brad Loper/Fort Worth Star Telegram

In 2018 Dak did lead the NFL in one rather show-stopping statistics – most lost fumbles. His 12 butter-fingered blunders were admittedly tied with three other quarterbacks. He also threw a pedestrian 22 touchdowns, far less than two a game, ranking him 16th. Dak’s passing yards per game (242.8) was under studs like Case Keenum, Derek Carr and Eli Manning.

As a mobile quarterback, Dak is able to tuck and run if needed, but despite his rushing attempts in 2018 being his most ever, his y.p.c. was his career low (4.1). What cannot be denied is his consistency in rushing touchdowns, six a season now for three consecutive years.

2019 Fantasy Outlook

Dak is solid, in both body size and fantasy football, but he is not spectacular. He remains one of those third-tier quarterbacks that will be drafted, but anyone reaching for him anywhere before rounds 9-10 needs a serious talking to.

Prescott will have Jason Witten back after his Dennis Miller-like stint in the broadcasting booth, as well as a full season of Amari Cooper, but Dallas will still want to feed Zeke at every opportunity.

Dak is a fantasy ‘blah’, someone you will draft once you have seen the mega-studs go off the board, followed by the quarterbacks that will confidently rush for over 500 yards.

Prescott is a personal preference quarterback who will more likely be drafted to a fantasy bench than not.

If you hit round’s 9-10 and have still not drafted a quarterback then you likely have to pick from the likes of Roethlisberger, Rivers, Goff, Prescott and Winston. Personally I would grab Philip Rivers around this stage, or wait a round or two longer and pick up second-year breakout possibilities Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson (both complete with bonus rushing yardage).

Dak is a stand-up kinda guy, just don’t confuse all that smiling and eating yogurt as a sign you are drafting a fantasy stud.

By Lawrence Vos – (@NFLFanInEngland)

Deep Deep Deeep Fantasy Sleepers: Part 1 – by Rob Grimwood

How deep? I’m talking Adele level Rolling in the Deep. Actually, even deeper. These sleepers could even be considered Sum 41 level of potentially being In Too Deep.

Yes, welcome to that time of year where us analysts like to breakdown our opinions and try to work out which of the late round picks could potentially be a serviceable piece on your fantasy teams. Two years ago saw Alvin Kamara win titles for owners when being picked up in the latter rounds and last year was Phillip Lindsey’s turn. Tip of the cap to any analysts who went deep to pick him out as a deep sleeper for 2018.

So which players are worth monitoring this off-season and worth either a late round flyer in re-draft leagues or picking up as a taxi squad member/final bench spot in your dynasty leagues? Take a look at these candidates that could be on fantasy radars at some point this season:

Dylan Cantrell – Wide Receiver, Los Angeles Chargers

From a pure talent standpoint, Cantrell was one of the best possession receivers coming out of the 2018 draft and a great under the radar pickup in the 6th round by the Chargers. Unfortunately for him, he fell into a busy depth chart of talented receivers mixed in with a leg injury he sustained during preseason meant he subsequently found himself on the Chargers practice squad for the most of last season before being promoted to the first team roster for the final two weeks.

But after a less than impressive season from Travis Benjamin (186 rec yards and 1 TD) tied in with the loss of Tyrell WIlliams in the free agency, there are definitely productive receiving spots up for grabs in one of the most high powered offenses in the league.

In his last 2 seasons playing for Texas Tech, Cantrell bagged 129 receptions for 1,491 yards and 15 combined touchdowns, but it’s not the stats that blow me away. After watching his highlight tape coming out of college, it is apparent that he possesses an elite set of hands and can make the most difficult catches look easy.

A fair comparison to make for Cantrell would be Vikings star receiver Adam Thielen, not just from a talent standpoint, but from a situational one too. Thielen was a guy very much in the background of the depth chart in Minnesota before being given a chance 2 years after being picked up as a UDFA and has since become one of the leagues best, and most reliable receivers.

We know Mike Williams has tremendous red-zone upside and Keenan Allen is currently one of the best possession receivers in the league, but we also know that these are the type of receiver that Philip Rivers likes to target the most. Considering Allen hasn’t had the cleanest of injury slates and the aforementioned Travis Benjamin regressing in his career, Cantrell could be in a prime spot to gain a bigger role in 2019 and could develop into a “Thielen-type” player over the next couple of seasons.

 

Deon Yelder – Tight End, Kansas City Chiefs

Another under the radar player coming into the league at the beginning of last season as a UDFA was Deon Yelder. Hailing from Western Kentucky, it’s no surprise that he wasn’t picked up in the draft, but how often do we see talented players go ignored on draft day just because they went to a small school?

He was the star of Western Kentucky during his senior year after producing 688 receiving yards from 52 receptions and as a result managed to earn a place in the NFLPA Collegiate Bowl and a call up to the Senior Bowl where he caught a touchdown.

Photo Credit: Steve Roberts-USA TODAY Sports

He started the 2018 season on the New Orleans Saints practice squad before being released in October, but was picked up immediately the next day by the Chiefs in a bid to strengthen the tight end depth chart behind superstar Travis Kelce and was promoted to the first team towards the end of the season, albeit mainly for special team duties.

As with the majority of tight ends coming into the NFL – it almost always takes at least a season for players to get acclimated into the position as it is one of the most versatile positions and therefore hardest to learn in all of football.

With a full year of pro status under his belt and learning from one of the best that’s ever done it in Travis Kelce, Yelder could be primed to step his performances up a notch or two. Tie this is with the uncertainty of what is happening within the offense in Kansas City – the unknown ramifications of Tyreek Hill’s personal issues and the loss of Kareem Hunt in 2018, receiving roles could be up for grabs at Arrowhead this season.

Rookie receiver Mecole Hardman comes with a lot of buzz in tow and will likely see his fair share of targets, but with question marks looming over the rest of the receiving corps, Yelder could be a candidate to share a healthy workload with fellow tight end Kelce and potentially produce fantasy relevant numbers, especially as part of an air raid offense led by the super talented gunslinger, Patrick Mahomes.

Should Kelce go down with an injury too, Yelder ticks a lot of boxes to be a sure fire replacement and a hot commodity pick-up of the waiver wires. Beat the rush, grab him early and stash him away.

 

Chris Conley – Wide Receiver, Jacksonville Jaguars

I know Chris Conley hasn’t exactly moved mountains in his time in the NFL so far, but he hasn’t been terrible either. He played out his rookie contract in Kansas City and managed to finish his four years there with 1,238 yards with 6 touchdowns.

It was always going to be an up-hill battle for the former Georgia receiver in Kansas with the emergence of Tyreek Hill and stalwart Travis Kelce always demanding the first reads. Still, he was able to prevail to some degree last season and took advantage of the 52 targets thrown his way by season MVP Patrick Mahomes converting 5 of those for touchdowns.

Photo Credit: Ron Chenoy/USA TODAY Sports

It’s his new situation which intrigues me the most. Jacksonville does not have a nailed on WR1 heading into training camp which means it will be a case of “who can impress Nick Foles the most” to see who will win the battle to become the go-to guy.

Dede Westbrook seems to be the favorite among analysts to be the main target, but hasn’t really proved that he can bring superiority to the receiving ranks on the Jag’s depth chart in the two seasons he’s spent in Northern Florida (1,056 receiving yards with 6 TDs).

It’s a similar story for Marqise Lee, he too hasn’t proved he can be the front-runner for the job despite a few eye-catching moments over the last 4 seasons, and of course, is coming back off an ACL tear that cut short his 2018 campaign. Last years’ second round pick D.J Chark barely saw the field last season so is somewhat of an unknown quantity whilst the ‘breakout of Keelan Cole’ in 2017 was about as short-lived as an AAF season.

One thing that attracted Conley to Jacksonville was the long term signing of Nick Foles. The two have previously been teammates during Foles’ stint with the Chiefs in 2016. This could end up being a determining factor for building chemistry and winning camp battles early on in the pre-season process.

In short, Chris Conley has about as much chance as any of these other receivers of being Foles’ main target in 2019. But who knows, the step up in performance after a fairly successful final season in KC may well have been the spark to ignite the fire.

If he’s able to turn heads at training camp and re-kindle a ‘bromance’ with Foles’, the former superbowl MVP certainly has the ability to sustain at least one solid WR2/Flex option in fantasy. Out of all of the receivers vying for that spot, Conley also has speed (4.35 40 dash time at his combine) which is a weapon that the other receivers in Duval may lack, and may well put him a stride ahead of the others in the pecking order.

 

Darren Waller – Tight End, Oakland Raiders

The tight end position in Oakland is polarizing. From barely using the position in 2016, to steadily making it a fringe pick for fantasy rosters in 2017, to completely blowing it out of the water with 1,111 yards and 10 TD’s going to the position in 2018.

So does Derek Carr like targeting tight ends, or was Jared Cook’s performances last season (896 yards, 6 TDs) an outlier for the position? Well, just in case it wasn’t, you might want to consider adding Darren Waller to your fantasy rosters.

Waller started off his NFL career when drafted by the Baltimore Ravens as a wide-receiver in the 2015 draft. He was a practice squad member for the majority of his rookie campaign but switched to tight end in the 2016 off-season to join what has since become the ‘tight end circus’ in Baltimore.

Waller doesn’t come without question marks though. Unfortunately he has a history of suspensions from the league for abusing it’s alcohol and drug policies. He missed the entirety of the 2017 season for a year spent in rehab along before being picked up by the Raiders mid-way through last season where he made brief appearances in the last 4 games.

The off-season training camp in Oakland is buzzing around Waller though after he claims that those dark days are well and truly behind him as he focuses solely on his career as a pro. Coach Gruden, Offensive Coordinator Greg Olsen and Derek Carr have all been singing his praises through OTA’s making Waller a perfect deep sleeper candidate.

In an interview after a recent training camp session he certainly sounded like he is confident with stepping up to have a bigger role in the offense and cited he’s been getting help with blocking duties and also mentioned learning from Cook last year.

The most impressive weapon in his arsenal is his speed. At 6’6 and 255 lbs, Waller is a physical specimen and makes it hard to believe that he recorded a 4.45 40 time at his combine in 2015. Speaking to reporters during OTA’s, Carr was quick to mentioned how impressed he is with Waller’s athleticism stating “I’m really excited about him, Darren Waller is super, super-fast, if I’m being real. And he works his tail off.”

If Waller is indeed all he his cracked up to be and the buzz around Oakland is real, he could be in prime position to soak up some of the 101 targets or 896 yards that Jared Cook has left behind and could be a very nice add for your fantasy teams in a position where after the top tier, anyone can step up to fantasy relevance. Particularly coming from the receiving background that he does, this should automatically boost his fantasy stock.

by Rob Grimwood – @FFBritBaller

Thanks for reading this article, make sure you check back with us next week where I will be discussing 4 other deep deeep sleepers that need to be monitored this off-season in Part 2 of this mini-series.

Rob’s Rankings Explained: Why will Phillip Lindsay not repeat in 2019?

Undoubtedly Phillip Lindsay was the surprise package in 2018. Nobody saw the 5ft 8 undrafted free agent out of Colorado lighting up the league and putting up over 1,250 yards from scrimmage with 10 total touchdowns the way he did – It just does not happen, does it!

Well, not since Arian Foster came into the league as a UDFA and dominated at the running back position anyway. The question remains, was that the start of something special or was 2018 just an anomalous season? I lean towards the latter, here’s why.

Before the NFL

As a college ball-carrier, Lindsay flew under the radar as a pretty efficient back. His junior and senior years at Colorado saw him amass 3,476 yards from scrimmage and 32 total touchdowns, so it was not surprising he was picked up as a UDFA after the 2018 NFL draft by the Denver Broncos. 

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Photo Credit: Cliff Grassmick/Times-Call

The problem he had (and likely the reason his stats from college were ignored by the draft scouts) was with his size. At just 5’8 and 190 lbs, his physique could become his downfall with 240 lbs linebackers mowing him down the moment he escaped through a gap in the trenches or 330 lbs lineman flattening before he even had the chance to do that.

Rookie Season Triumph and Decline

Despite all of the draft profiles pointing out his size weaknesses and choppy feet, Lindsay was an unpredictable, unknown quantity when he started out his rookie campaign. Fellow rookie Royce Freeman struggled to get going during the pre-season which subsequently allowed Lindsay to come in and seize his opportunity.

He was able to find the gaps and evade the tackles, meaning he could put to good use his 4.38 40 yard dash speed he showed at his pro-day which resulted in back-to-back 100+ yard games in weeks one and two against Seattle and Oakland.

He continued to elude defenses up until week 14 when his performances started to tail off. During these weeks his yards per carry declined considerably, only managing to gain 2.14, 1.71 and 4.60 (which was on only 10 carries, and the game he got injured). These came against defenses that were middle of the pack when it comes to defending the run in 2018, San Francisco, Cleveland and Oakland.

Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders, NFL Week 2

Photo Credit: Andy Cross/The Denver Post

The Worries and Injury Concern

My worry is, did teams towards the end of last season start to figure out how to defend against him? After all, the majority of his carries funneled through the inside zone where he was able to take advantage of an average of 6.9 defenders in the box per play throughout the season (ranked 30th most per playerprofiler.com).

It seems when defenses are able to stack the box, or even when facing better quality rush defenses, Lindsay isn’t as effective – and whilst he was able to ride the “unknown” tag for the majority of last season, once defenses figured him out, he became vulnerable.

Then there is the current wrist injury to think about. Off-season surgery and “no specific timetable for a return” raises questions to when Lindsay might return this off-season and therefore how much opportunity colleagues Royce Freeman and Devontae Booker will have to impress new head coach Vic Fangio. 

The wrist, after all, is a vital body part for a running back, whether it be when clamping the ball during the carry, or to use as a stiff-arm, so it will take Lindsay a while to get up to full speed again.

The Upcoming Season

I don’t want to take too much away from him and his 2018 performances though, he was good, just watch the tape. But will he be able to replicate those eye-opening performances this coming season, especially if the last 3 games were anything to go by?

Denver Broncos vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Week 15

Photo Credit: Aaron Ontiveroz/Denver Post

Joe Flacco is in town after the Broncos decided Case Keenum’s $21million 2019 cap hit wasn’t worth it after a mediocre campaign last season. Flacco is renown for having a nice deep ball and when he has a decent plethora of receiving talent, he utilizes them. Since Ray Rice was booted off the Ravens’ roster, Flacco has only sustained one rusher over 1,000 yards, Justin Forsett in 2014.

Flacco does like to use the running backs in the passing game however, striking up a good rapport with Javorius Allen most recently but with Forsett and Rice in years passed. That doesn’t do much for Lindsay’s fantasy stock though. Lindsey was ranked #26 in receptions among RB’s last season with 35, two spots behind teammate Devontae Booker, and in the same company as players like Jacquizz Rodgers and Giovani Bernard.

Another potential spanner in the quest to repeat his impressive rookie numbers could be the want around Mile High to get Freeman more involved. Owner John Elway has said recently that he wants to see more of Royce this season and ultimately goes on to say that he wants to utilize them both equally in the rush and passing game. If that doesn’t scream “committee backfield”, then I don’t know what does.

In Summary

Look, i’m not writing this article to tell you Phillip Lindsay is going to be a bust this season, as I don’t think he will be. But it seems the most common  word associated with him in fantasy circles this season is ‘regression’, and that is the term I agree with.

Flacco’s use of his arm worries me, especially with the young talent they have in the receiving corps with Courtland Sutton, DaeSean Hamilton and Noah Fant. Despite the Broncos having a young, talented team – in a division with big hitters such as Kansas City and the Los Angeles Chargers, i still think they will be playing from behind a fair amount this season which in itself takes away rushing opportunities.

The wrist injury scares me a little, but hopefully Lindsay can get back to full go during training camp and get himself reconciled with running the rock effectively.

Finally,  the second-coming of Royce Freeman rings alarm bells for me towards Lindsay’s 2019 fantasy outlook. I think the new look Bronco’s offense is going to want to give every opportunity to Royce to prove he was worth the high draft capital spent on him, taking touches and opportunities that Lindsay had last year away from him.

These are the reason’s why I currently have the rookie sensation ranked just outside RB2 territory at RB28 (PPR). With a current ADP (average draft position) of RB21 in PPR leagues, i’m not a million miles off the public’s estimations but  i’d defintely be hesitant to trust him as a week to week starter, but more as an flex upside option. Definitely a far cry from his RB13 finish last year.

Stat Projection – 892 rushing yards and 32 receptions for 225 yards with 8 total touchdowns

by Rob Grimwood – @FFBritBaller  

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Rob’s Rankings Explained: Why is Devonta Freeman a Top 10 RB?

As discussed in the previous article with A.J Green, it’s very hard to predict how a player will fare after missing a big chunk of the previous season with a nasty injury. However, in Devonta Freeman’s case, his age is certainly a plus point and I absolutely love the situation he’s coming back in to.

The Falcons in 2018

It was a tough campaign for the Falcons last season, probably down to the never ending injury list on the defensive side of the ball with stars Keanu Neal, Ricardo Allen, Deion Jones and Andy Levitre missing for multiple weeks, but also the finger could be pointed at the inept abilities of Offensive Coordinator Steve Sarkisian.

The offense just didn’t seem to do enough despite Matt Ryan statistically having his 2nd best season of his career. Julio Jones was slow to get going, Tevin Coleman proved he’s more effective in a committee and Austin Hooper failed to impress once again contributing just 4 touchdowns on the season.

The pieces are there in Atlanta to be a successful franchise, so I think we just need to chalk 2018 down to some bad luck with injuries and poor offensive coaching. With Dirk Koetter entering the fray as the new OC calling offensive plays, tied in with the return of Devonta Freeman, 2019 could end up being a lot different to last season for the Atlanta faithful.

The Situation

It’s looking set for Freeman to hit the ground running in the 2019 season. He was always going to be “their guy” which was proven when he signed a $41.25 5-year contract and his main competitor Tevin Coleman was allowed to walk out the front door as a free agent this off-season.

Photo Credit: Michael Perez/AP

The stats are there to back him up too. Discounting last season, his yards per game average since being named the starting back in 2015 equates to 66.5 ypg which is in the same vicinity as elite RB’s such as Jamaal Charles (63.6), Matt Forte (67.1) and Melvin Gordon (66.0). Tie that into two out of the last three seasons scoring 11 TD’s makes the perfect blend for an elite level running back.

As previously mentioned, Freeman’s main competitor for touches in Tevin Coleman is no longer with the team, so you’d expect Freeman to automatically be played as the 3 down workhorse who just so happens to be a more than competent pass catcher too.

Ito Smith offered very little other than a couple of glimpses that he could be of any serious threat to Freeman on his return with a measly 3.5 yards per carry average in his rookie campaign, and at this moment in time, 5th round pick-up Qadree Ollison will likely serve as a bit part player unless injuries give him an opportunity to rise up the depth chart.

High Floor, High Ceiling

It looks as if last season’s ailments of knee, foot and groin issues which ruled him out have healed as Freeman is a full participant in current OTA drills. Hopefully with a successful pre-season campaign, he will likely see the majority of running game snaps immediately from week 1’s match-up in the Mercedes-Benz Stadium against the Vikings.

I will assume Freeman is going to get around 65% of carries heading into the season. If you put that with last years team rushing yards figures (1,573), he should be able to move over the 1,000 yard mark for the season.

Photo Credit: Curtis Compton/AJC

Add in 10 touchdowns which we know he is capable of, a return to around his career average in receptions and receiving yards (48 receptions and 407 yards per season) with the additional upside of inheriting some of Coleman’s passing down work and touchdowns… Freeman should have a top 10 finish in fantasy leagues, especially considering these stats are more of a floor projection considering the Falcons should be able to improve on a lackluster offensive performance in 2018.

To Summarise

Freeman has achieved a top 10 fantasy finish in 50% of his 4 complete seasons with the Falcons to date and I fully expect with him being an integral part of this high-powered offense for that feat to repeat. At a current PPR ADP of 26th overall (RB14), Freeman is a fantastic RB2 candidate who will win people fantasy leagues, you can count on it.

My Stat Projection: 242 carries, 1,054 rush yards, 10 TD’s with 45 receptions, 423 yards and 4 TD’s

by Rob Grimwood – @FFBritBaller

Feature Image Photo Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

Rob’s Rankings Explained: Why A.J Green is currently WR27

Let me start by explaining a disclaimer for my rankings. When I sit down during the draft fallout period of the NFL off-season, I put all of my spare time into my stat projected rankings spreadsheet.

Once all of the players (357 this year) who I deem to be ‘fantasy relevant’, well, at least a contributor in one way or another, I meticulously siphon through data relevant to the player and team that they are on, as well as looking at other variables such as such as strength of schedule and in the case of A.J Green – injury history.

This is where the disclaimer comes in. My rankings will change throughout the off-season. As we head through OTA’s and into training camp, player vs player battles occur, and injury questions are answered. With that in mind, let me explain why you’ll see A.J Green is lower in my current rankings than other analysts’ predictions.

Injury Concerns

A gold star to any of you who might have guessed this was going to be my first point of interest. For the record, I don’t think Green will be missing of the starting team sheet come week 1 for Cincinnati when they travel to Seattle, hence the disclaimer – if he’s fit and ready to go in pre-season, he’ll likely rise up my rankings at least a few spots although I highly doubt he’ll be breaking into my top 10.

Photo Credit: Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

As things stand, what do we know about A.J Green and what forced him to finish the 2018 season early? We know it was a toe injury which cut the season short, and despite you probably thinking the toe is not a big deal… think again. Turf toe is a nasty injury, especially for a wide receiver.

Effectively “turf toe” is a glorified way of saying a sprained toe. But when you use that toe every day for your job, like every time a player turns in his route or jumps for a reception, the toe is one of the first points of pressure. If it is not rested for a significant amount of time or surgically repaired, it will become a recurring injury, sometimes even years down the line.

This is seemingly what has happened to Green. He first had turf toe on his big toe in his right foot in October 2014, where he missed 4 total games that season. Fast forward to 2018, and after “multiple tears” within that toe, surgery was the only answer to try and get that toe back to 100%.

The latest report on A.J Green’s post surgery in May suggests that the healing process is going well and that he ‘should’ be back for training camp after being able to run a few routes during the OTA process.

The moment A.J Green is practicing in full and is showing full competency in his route running without being hindered will be the moment my stat projections will change for him and like I said before, i’m sure he’ll be higher in my estimations.

Photo Credit: AP Photo/AJ Mast

Cincinnati’s Offense

That being said, i’m still not a massive fan of the Bengals offense, and I question whether recent additions and breakout players will allow Green to just jump back in to his 9 target per game career average.

With the exciting talent of Joe Mixon opening a whole new run scheme dynamic along with exciting new rookies Rodney Anderson and Treyveon Williams, and the emergence of Tyler Boyd as a pass catcher will likely mean Green isn’t the only star on the team as has been the case since he entered the league in 2011. Don’t forget ‘sicknote’ Tyler Eifert is also back and is a severe threat for stealing red-zone targets if he can stay upright.

I’m also not sold on the return of Andy Dalton. The best word I can find to describe Dalton’s career to date is ‘meh’. He’s flashed at times, he’s completely stunk at times, and now at 32 years old and coming off a surgery of his own, is he going to be able to vastly improve and sustain a wider plethora of talent now? Unlikely. Heck, there was even talk of the Bengals cutting ties with Dalton this off-season as they would save a boat load of cap space if they did.

New Coaching Team

It’s a transformation period that the Bengals are currently going through. Out with the old, in with the new I believe the saying is. But how does that sit with Green? In a short interview in January, Green stated the new coach will provide a “spark that is needed” yet at the same time did concede it will be a big change for him as being coached by Marvin Lewis is “the only thing he knows”.

New head coach Zac Taylor was the former Quarterback’s coach for the L.A Rams and is unproven as a HC; so it is difficult to ascertain how he intends to use his weapons this season. He might well step in and realise the successful history and chemistry between Dalton and Green and look to use that as his foundation to build success, but it could also go the other way and be the start of wholesale changes within the franchise that would see both players eventually faded out.

Photo Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Brian Callahan, the new Offensive Coordinator is also a debutante at the position, and was also a Quarterback coach last season, but for Derek Carr in Oakland – who, coincidentally, traded away and moved on from their star receiver, Amari Cooper.

In Summary

We’ll see where Green ends up in my training camp rankings in July – if he’s a full go at camp, he’ll no doubt move into my top 20. My opinion, however, is still not that high for him this season.

Let’s not forget that he and Dalton are now “the old guys”. Green is now 30 years old which is around about the time that Wide Receivers do start to decline, especially when coming off a surgery, and with other major injuries occurring in his career (torn hamstring in 2016) taken into consideration.

Green has accumulated just 2,736 receiving yards over the last 3 years with 18 touchdowns. That’s only 28 yards and 2 TD’s more than 31 year old Demaryius Thomas who has current ADP of WR88 and may not even make the final Patriots roster come September. Another declining wide-out in the same age range? Dez Bryant, who wasn’t exactly a sort after free agent before being claimed by the Saints last season and will likely not play again after sustaining a season, possibly career ending achilles injury.

For these reasons, it could be a season for Green where the Bengals and their “new look approach” look to move on to the future, and forget the past. I won’t be buying in to A.J Green being one of the first players on my fantasy teams this year – too much risk, that’s for sure.

by Rob Grimwood – @FFBritballer

Jury’s Out on Austin Seferian-Jenkins – Lawrence vs Rob

Lawrence’s Take

Just because you have the potential to get significant snaps in a position that was occupied by a future Hall of Famer does not necessarily equal success.

On April 10 2019, Austin Seferian-Jenkins (ASJ) signed a one-year deal with the Patriots which included a mega-bucks $50,000 signing bonus. In nine seasons Rob Gronkowski, who recently announced his retirement from the Patriots, earned over $53m in nine seasons. ASJ has earned a fifth of that in five years, and his one-year deal is costing the Pats the same as complete no-name tight-ends including Scott Simonson (Giants), Neal Sterling (Jets) and Logan Paulsen (Falcons).

ASJ was a 2014 second round (38th overall) draft pick of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, which was actually four spots above Gronk who went 42nd in 2010 draft.

As a rookie ASJ had little impact on the effectiveness of the 2014 Buccs, who went 2-14 under Josh McCown and Mike Glennon, managing 21 catches in 9 games, gaining 221 yards and two scores (both occurring in losses). ASJ lasted 11 games in his first NFL season, averaging 5.82 yards per target in the process.

Photo Credit: Jeff Haynes/Associated Press

In year two, ASJ matched exactly his catch output, but his YPC rose significantly from 10.5 to 16.1 per catch. This time ASJ was less durable, staying on the field for just 7 games. His four scores also came in four defeats.

Finally, in week one of his third season (2016), ASJ scored a touchdown in a victory (against the Falcons from a Jameis Winston pass). This was not that fortuitous as Tampa abruptly ditched ASJ after two games when it was revealed he was arrested for driving under the influence.

He was hastily picked up by the New York Jets through the waiver wire and started in the Big Apple in Week 5. He played 7 games for the Jets in 2016, including two losses to the Patriots, catching 2-26 combined in the games.

ASJ went on to have his best season, both statistically and health wise, in 2017, despite missing the first two games through suspension, snagging 50 receptions in 13 games including a season high 8 grabs in another loss to the Patriots.

The Jets then became the second team to ditch him, and he was picked up in March 2018 by the Jacksonville Jaguars, where he was given a two-year $10m deal and anointed the starter, but again failed to make a significant impact.

Photo Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

ASJ played just 5 games, the lowest in his career, gaining a paltry 90 yards on 11 catches. His only 2018 touchdown was in a win against of all teams ….the Patriots. He went on injured reserve in October last year with a core muscle injury.

To summarise ASJ has been a bust. Five seasons has resulted in 43 games played from a possible 80, 116 catches, 1,160 yards, 11 touchdowns and zero playoff appearances.

He has been on the winning side in just 33% of the games he has played.

Games with over 100 receiving yards = 1

Games with 6+ catches = 3 (all 2017 with Jets)

Games with 8+ catches = 1

To Summarise

The Patriots are going to miss Gronk in a big way, but they have been effective without him, Bill and Tom find a way.

The Patriots do enjoy the challenge of turning base metal into gold, but this is one alchemy project that will be full of frustration and ultimately end in failure.

*

Rob’s Take

I get it. ASJ has not had the greatest of starts to his NFL career since that high investment pick from the Bucs in 2014. However, it’s been well documented that the bear like figure out of Washington has had a difficult time off the field with alcohol related problems.

After the DUI in 2016 which subsequently led to his dismissal from Tampa, ASJ has been on the straight and narrow since completing a stint in rehab. That fantastic personal turnaround was plain to see on the field too as he completed his most successful season to date in 2017 with the New York Jets.

Lawrence has already pointed out that his 6+ reception games all came in that year, as did his career high in targets (74) and yards (357). Although those statistics won’t blow anyone away, don’t forget that was with the uninspiring Josh McCown led 5-11 Jets.

Photo Credit: AP Photo/Bill Kostroun

Talking of Quarterbacks, let’s re-visit those who ASJ has had to put up with so far in his career. Josh McCown (again) with Mike Glennon in his rookie year and you’ll likely remember the hapless start that Jameis Winston had to his career for the following season and a half. Then it was back to McCown as previously mentioned in New York before finally being treated to the mess in Jacksonville under that “superstar” Blake Bortles which ended in the season ending core muscle injury. No, it’s not been nice for ASJ thus far in his career.

But now, finally, he strikes gold. Heading to the New England Patriots with a first ballot Hall of Famer and arguably the greatest QB of all time throwing him the ball, with no immediate threat within his position and somehow people don’t think his production will rise? Crazy.

Let’s start with the production. With the pass catchers that have left the Pats this off-season means there are around 150 receptions up for grabs if you go by last seasons’ stats. Around 50 of these are from the tight end position (Rob Gronkowski in 13 games, Jacob Hollister and Dwayne Allen).

I expect exciting talent N’Keal Harry will demand around half of those 150 unaccounted for receptions out wide with a minimal contribution, if any at all, from the other new receivers Demaryius Thomas, Maurice Harris and Dontrelle Inman.

I haven’t mentioned Ben Watson yet, I know, and for good reasons too. Firstly, he’s 38. Secondly, he’s suspended for the first 4 games of the season. Why? Because he had to take banned substances to help fix his broken body. Are you kidding me? For those of you that think Watson is going to bowl into Gillette Stadium and be Terrific Tom’s red zone man, do me a favor, forget it.

Am I saying ASJ will be the next Gronk and put up Gronkonian numbers? No. Am I saying there is plenty of upside there for him to be relevant in that offense, and relevant on your fantasy rosters? Definitely.

I currently have him slated down for just over 50 receptions and around 530 yards. But it’s the TD column where things get interesting. 12 TD’s from last years’ crop are up for grabs and are crying out for a big, bullying target to come claim at least some of them like whats has become the norm in Foxborough in recent history. Knowing the chemistry Brady had with Gronk, particularly in the end-zone, I don’t think it’s beyond the realm of possibility that ASJ can claim at least 6 of those.

At 6’5, 263 lbs (which, coincidentally is just 2 lbs lighter and 1 inch shorter than Gronk), ASJ fits the role of red zone target to a tee. With those 12 touchdowns from 2018 now unclaimed, ‘Hercules’ (yes, that’s his nickname) could well be that guy.

I’ve not even mentioned yet why I am all aboard this mini hype train either. It’s his ADP. He isn’t being drafted. He’s completely free. You can quite happily select your D/ST and Kicker before you need to pick ASJ up with your last pick as your TE2.

To Summaries

In a landscape where anyone not named Kelce, Ertz or Kittle can find themselves in the next tier of fantasy tight ends, what have you got to lose? Absolutely nothing. If he stinks and i’m completely wrong, you can throw him back to the waivers and pick up another flyer, BUT… if he hits and I am right, you have the ceiling of Rob Gronkowski and you won’t have sacrificed a single thing. That, ladies and gentlemen, is a fact.

by Lawrence Vos – @NFLFANINENGLAND and Rob Grimwood – @FFBritBaller

*We want to hear your views on this matter! Are you a ASJ believer, or is this just another place for him to go be Mr. Average. We have a poll up on our twitter handle @F10YFantasy, please go vote and leave your reasoning in the comments!*