Full10Waivers – Week 6

By Adil Khan Deshmukh @dillytoon

Week 5 is in the books and we hope you’re sporting a 5-0 or 4-1 record.

There’s plenty of time left in this season to turn it around and the best place to that is the waiver wire! So here are the guys that you should be looking out for this week…


Gardner Minshew – Quarterback – Jacksonville Jaguars – owned by 18.7%

The man with the fantastic name is your number one QB waiver wire pickup this week.

Sixth round pick Gardner Minshew has surprised everyone in the league with his consistent fantasy performance. To date has broken 16 points in each week (4-pt passing leagues), with him throwing two TDs on 4 of 5 occasions. Minshew has struck a chord with DJ Chark, who was one of my waiver wire suggestions a few weeks back.

Look to Minshew to provide a solid performance against New Orleans. He won’t blow your socks off but you’ll get by without suffering a single digit score.


Auden Tate – Wide Receiver – Cincinnati Bengals – owned by 13.7% 

With the impressive John Ross injured and AJ Green still in the treatment room, there has been another player that has emerged as a reasonable WR option.

Tate is clearly the Bengals’ WR2 and the team as a whole has spent swathes of the season playing from behind. This has meant the Red Rifle Andy Dalton has needed to pass the ball a significant amount.

In the last three games Tate has averaged 11.1 points. Whilst this again is not a substantial amount, WRs Allen Robinson and TY Hilton are on bye, Davante Adams has turf-toe, Tyreek is questionable still… I could go on, however you may be really in need of a WR. Tate will provide that 10 point performance that may get you by.

After-all it’s better than having a player giving you a goose-egg!


Mohamed Sanu – Wide Receiver – Atlanta Falcons – owned by 43.3%

The surprising news this year (compared to pre-season predictions) is that the Atlanta Falcons suck as a football team.

The defense is woefully bad, but that has meant that Matty Ice has thrown the ball a lot. Those who picked Julio Jones this year have been woefully disappointed, but a man that you should definitely be looking out for is Mohamed Sanu, particularly in PPR leagues. Sanu has broken 10 points in 4 of the 5 games this season aided by him seeing at least 5 targets in every game this season.

Look to Sanu as an immediate flex guy or bye-week fill-in.


Chris Herndon – Tight End – New York Jets – owned by 12%

Sam Darnold aka Mr Mono has been cleared to return for the Jets and this immediately increases the value of the pieces on the Jets offense.

Whilst HC Adam Gase has stated he wants to see Herndon on the practice field, it’s almost certain he will be on the field significantly come this weekend. With TEs Waller and Ebron on bye, you may well be looking for a guy who’s going to get a reasonable target share.

Dallas have given 14.1 points per game to the TE position this season and Herndon could well benefit from this. 


5 Early Fantasy Sleepers

Written by Lawrence Vos – 27/5/2019

Early non-playing season sleepers

I feel for all the British railway historians and weekend landscape gardeners who will Google this article hoping to find glorious pictures of blocks of abandoned wood they can drool over.

A sleeper for this particular article is defined as a relatively unknown or non-famous NFL player (veteran or rookie) who is projected to far outweigh his previous production, and breakout by exceeding his expected statistics, based on traditionally being a mid-to-late draft pick.

Before we dive into the 2019 fantasy pool Eric ‘The Eel’ Moussambani like, wearing a pair of borrowed swimming trunks, let’s take a look at some of the outstanding 2018 sleepers who were highly unlikely to have been drafted in any fantasy leagues before the end of August last year, but ended up breaking out.

2018 actual sleeper breakouts

QB

Nick Mullens, San Francisco 49ers (2017 Practice Squad)


Mullens came in for C.J Beathard, who himself was subbing for injured starter Jimmy Garoppolo. Mullens ended up starting the entire second half of the season and recorded a respectable 2,277 yards through the air alongside 13 passing touchdowns. Nobody drafted Mullens to their fantasy team for week 1, but by the latter part of the 2018 season he was proving to be a half-decent waiver wire or late bye pickup. Mullens is not someone to draft or roster in 2019, but he gives the 49ers a low cost reliable backup, if he makes the 53-man roster.

RB

James Conner, Pittsburgh Steelers (2017 3rd round pick)

Philip Lindsay, Denver Broncos (2018 Undrafted Free Agent)

Gus Edwards, Baltimore Ravens (2018 Undrafted Free Agent)

Lindsay and Edwards were not drafted but both started for their teams. Edwards played 11 games, including 6 starts, helping to act as a battering ram taking handoffs from silky running quarterback and fellow rookie Lamar Jackson. Edwards ended up as the fifth leading rookie rusher. The person who finished three slots above him for rookie rushing was Philip Lindsay. The former Colorado player not only went over 1,000 yards (1,037) he became the first undrafted offensive rookie to make the Pro Bowl. Not so much a sleeper, more like someone coming out of a coma to run a marathon. James Conner’s story to date is remarkable, having recovered from cancer in 2016, he was somewhat of an afterthought when drafted by the Steelers at pick #105 in 2017, as LeVeon Bell was wowing the planet with his unique ‘delay and dash’ running style. Nobody thought Bell would hold-out the entire 2018 season, but he did and Conner came in to register just under 1,500 all-purpose yards (973 rushing and 493 through the air). Conner started the 2019 Pro-Bowl over Lindsay. 

WR

Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati Bengals (2016 2nd round pick)

Ok this is a bit of an anomaly to the traditional sleeper criteria as Boyd was picked #55 in the 2016 NFL draft. What gives Boyd the title is his progress from 2017 (1 start and 22 catches) to 2018 (14 starts 76 catches). In 2018 Boyd recorded his first 1,000-yard season (1,028) and led the Bengals in targets, catches, yards and touchdowns (7 – tied with John Ross). Boyd benefitted from a major injury to All-Pro wide-out A.J. Green, but circumstance does not generate statistics, effort, consistency and trust from your quarterback does.

TE

Chris Herndon, New York Jets (2018 4th round pick)

Herndon was the sixth tight-end to be drafted last year and as of Week 1 he was the fourth-string behind a rag-tag bunch that included Eric Tomlinson, Neal Stirling and Jordan Leggett, names only their mother loves (or knows about). In a position that is notoriously punishing to first-year players Herndon ended up on the 2018 All-Rookie Team. His 39 catches led all rookie tight-ends and his 502 yards only trailed fellow rookie tight-end Mark Andrews of the Ravens (552). Achieving this with a rookie quarterback was pretty remarkable too, as Herndon ended up the second leading receiver on the team.

Five 2019 offensive sleeper candidates

So where does this lead us to in 2019? Who is sitting there like an about-to-be disturbed roof full of asbestos in a 1960s primary school, ready to join Baker Mayfield’s ‘dangerous club’, in experiencing an external transformation? Here are five offensive sleeper candidates:

QB

Drew Lock, Denver Broncos (2019 2nd round pick)

The Broncos have struggled at quarterback since the retirement of Peyton Manning at the end of 2015. Four passers have started since then, namely Brock Osweiler (4), Paxton Lynch (4),Trevor Simien (24), and Case Keenum (16). None are considered a franchise quarterback, and to top it off John Elway moved for past-his-prime quarterback Joe Flacco in free-agency. Still searching for a future star the Broncos drafted Drew Lock in the second round of this year’s NFL draft. Many draft-nicks had Lock getting selected in the first round, but he fell, and Denver had to move up and trade with the Bengals to acquire his John Hancock. Lock is the current backup on the depth chart, but he could be on the field by Week 6 if Flacco fails to get the Broncos moving smoothly. Lock was a highly productive college quarterback at Missouri throwing for over 12,000 yards and 99 touchdowns in 46 starts. Nobody is drafting Flacco in fantasy, but you may want to consider taking a flier on Lock on your bench.

RB

Ronald Jones III, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2018 2nd round pick)

To say Ronald Jones’s rookie season was a disaster would be a gross understatement. If his inept performance was caused by injury there would be a valid reason to relax, but Jones participated in 9 games. His one touchdown (in a 26-23 win against the Browns) was a lone highlight. Besides that his 44 rushing yards and 33 receiving yards were barely worth typing in this sentence. Currently listed as number two on the Tampa depth chart, behind Peyton Barber, Jones has the opportunity for a fresh start under new head coach Bruce Arians. The Buccs didn’t draft a running back this year, another good sign for Jones to have some genuine fantasy impact in 2019. He is durable, as indicated by a 591 carry college career at USC, including a 1,550 rushing performance in 2017. Jones can go from zero to hero and with a good start to his season he could end with 1,000 all-purpose yards.

RB

Malcolm Brown, Los Angeles Rams (2015 Undrafted Free Agent)

The dictionary definition of an insurance policy, Brown is crouching in the weeds whilst the news of Todd Gurley’s knee ailments appears to be gaining growing concern by Rams coaches and fans alike. Brown has already been subject to a poaching bid earlier in the year by the Detroit Lions, with the Rams deciding he was too valuable to let go. Brown averaged a respectable 4.9 yards a carry in 2019. He missed the Rams playoff run to the Super Bowl having gone on injured reserve in December. Much like a cockroach after the apocalypse Brown has been on the Rams roster for four seasons now, and is one Gurley injury from one of the biggest opportunities of his career. Much like James Conner in Pittsburgh Brown is in a great positing to have immediate fantasy impact. You only need look at the production of C.J. Anderson as Gurley’s backup in 2018 to see how impactful a back in L.A. can be. Brown has fresh legs and knows the offense inside out. As a #2 he can get 400-500 rushing yards. As a starter he has the capability to go over 1,250 all-purpose yards in 2019.

WR
Demarcus Robinson, Kansas City Chiefs (2016 4th round draft pick)

Former Florida Gator wide-receiver Demarcus Robinson has been like a Velcro-covered ball that has been rolled around some freshly mowed grass, he has the potential to stick and hit the target but hasn’t quite managed to yet. The Chiefs have had Robinson on their roster for three seasons now, but he has only started 13 games (out of 48 he played in) and this has resulted in underwhelming statistical production (43 catches for exactly 500 yards and four scores). Where Robinson elevates his sleeper status over other wide-outs is not just potential, its opportunity. With Tyreek Hill (I shudder even typing his name) facing a major suspension and current #1 WR Sammy Watkins missing 18 games over the last four seasons, Robinson can easily triple or even quadruple his average production over the past two years. Yes the Chiefs drafted Mecole Hardman, but with few exceptions, rookie receivers struggle to have a huge impact. With the NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes throwing to him in 2019 its time for Robinson to step up to the NFL dance floor.

TE

Matt LaCosse, New England Patriots (2015 Undrafted Free Agent)

Up there with Snow White, Rip Van Winkle and Dracula Matt LaCosse is a classic sleeper. Another winner through self-destruction around him by others, not just pure talent, LaCosse is in a pretty perfect place at a pretty perfect time. With perhaps the greatest tight-end in NFL history now retired in New England, and ageless-wonder Ben Watson recently suspended, all the 6ft 6inch man mountain has to do is beat Austin Seferian-Jenkins to the starting spot for Week 1. LaCosse had a mini breakout of his own with the Broncos in 2018, with 24 catches for 250 yards. Prior to that LaCosse generated no impact with the Giants (two-stints), spent six days as a New York Jets player, and was on injured reserve throughout 2016. His three catches prior to 2018 were barely worth a Wikipedia note. LaCosse is the sort or reclamation project that Bill Bellichick will love to get his evil claws right into. Staying on the field both as a starter and part of some two tight-end sets could see LaCosse generate over 50 catches for over 650 yards and 6-8 touchdowns. That would be a viable starting output from someone who will be only slightly rising up fantasy draft boards at the moment.

Where Do They Go From Here; NY Jets

After our divisional season review podcasts, we are now looking to the future and asking where each franchise goes from here. We put ourselves in the chair of being GM or the owner and going over what moves we would make in order to win a Superbowl, make the playoffs or just regain some pride…

Today we take a look at the New York Jets.

Don’t forget to check out the AFC East podcast where we talked to Ian Roach and got their thoughts on them!

How Did Last Season Go?

On the positive side, Sam Darnold’s rookie season arguably got stronger as he acclimatised to the NFL. On the negative side, there were more turnovers from the Jets than a bakery after a delivery. After their week 6 win vs the Colts, the Jets had a 3-3 record, unfortunately in the subsequent 10 gameweeks, they only mustered 1 more win vs Buffalo. The schedule wasn’t the kindest to be fair. The Jets were bottom 10 in both points for and against whilst most of their stats see them in the bottom half for pretty much everything…not good. Ultimately, this is why Todd Bowles lost his job.

Housekeeping

New York Jets once again have the 3rd pick in the 1st round of the draft. They don’t have a 2nd rounder after trading up in the 2018 draft. But have 2 3rd rounders and picks in round 4,5 and 7.

The Jets were one of the wealthiest teams heading in to Free Agency and despite being very active, still are top 10 in cap space available with $26m.

Outgoings

Apart from Bowles at HC, there was a lot of names heading out the exit door in New York. RBs Bilal Powell and Isiah Crowell,  WR Jermaine Kearse and QB Josh McCown.

Elsewhere Mo Claiborne & Buster Skrine (CB), James Carpenter (G) and kicker Jason Myers were other notable names that wont be in the Gang Green in 2019.

Incomings

Lots! Well you need to with all of the names going the other way.

Mr Taco Adam Gase is the new head coach and comes over from division rival Miami.

LeVeon Bell was the big splash at RB and he’ll run behind former Raider Osemele. Jamison Crowder comes in to the slot in a slightly surprising move considering they already had Enunwa. Another big name signing is linebacker CJ Mosley from the Ravens. Anthony Barr was supposed to be there too but apparently felt sick to his stomach at the thought of being away from Minnesota.

Outlook for Next Year

Some big questions for the Jets in 2019 include; How quickly can LeVeon Bell hit the ground running? Has Sam Darnold taken a step forward?  If both of these are positive storylines for the Jets in 2019, it’s not out of the question that the Jets make the playoffs. The weak AFC East is not as perhaps weak as 2018 (except for Miami) so opportunities are there. Their schedule is easier than last year with the Raiders, Jags, Bengals and Giants all on their slate.

Prediction

If Bell hits the ground running, and Darnold cuts out the picks, the Jets could be a sneaky playoff team in 2019. I think it may be one more year before they are considered regular playoff contenders but we all remember when Mark Sanchez entered the league. Could be a team that gets hot from nowhere and surprises a few people.

Fantasy Football

Sam Darnold – undrafted – low QB2

LeVeon Bell – late 1st/2nd Round pick – low RB1

Robby Anderson – 7th/8th Round pick – WR3

Jamison Crowder – double digit rounds – WR3/4

Chris Herndon – double digit rounds / undrafted – low TE1 – *Sleeper alert*