NFL Week 17 – Best Bets

By Tim Monk(@Tim_MonkF10Y) and Adam Walford (@touchdowntips)

The last week where we have 16 games to bet on before the business end of things start firing up.

You may notice that there are some funky lines with some of the games, this is due to teams resting players, teams having no motivation or if it’s because you are the Cincinnati (I’ll correct that for you Tim, Cin-cin-nati) Bengals.

Make sure you pay attention to team news/injury news ahead of the games such as the Houston vs Tennessee (Houston may already know their seeding if KC win earlier in the day)/ LA Rams vs Arizona Cardinals (Kyler Murray apparently likely to play whilst the Rams are dead and likely playing 2nd string). Buffalo and Minnesota have their playoff seeding set in stone so don’t need to play anyone. You’ll also have backup QB alerts in Baltimore, though one could argue the better QB is still starting in purple.

The opportunities are there to get an edge, week 17 notoriously a difficult one for the bookies, especially in markets like anytime TD scorer could see a few big prices come in as teams wind down for the season and play their rookies or practice squad players to see what depth they have. Also bear in mind that the spreads or total lines will be volatile, there are supposed to be storms in the north east this week, check out nflweather.com for the latest. I believe the Giants game vs the Eagles and the Panthers game against the Saints at the very least are supposed to be downpours.

An extra fun stat for you courtesy of RJ White (@rjwhite) from CBS: Road teams are 2-9 ATS in week 17 when a road favourite by 10+ pts. This applies to New Orleans this week.

Please bear that in mind when parting with your hard earned. That being said, let’s get to it!


atlanta @ tampa bay -1 (o/u 47.5)

Note: Tampa Bay games have gone over in 11 games this season. Bruce Arians and Jameis Winston have a sniff at an 8-8 record which is something they will want to put their hat on. Falcons with a win would finish the season 6-2 and could potentially save Dan Quinn’s job.

TIM: Over 47.5 points

ADAM: Tampa -1


Chicago @ minnesota +3 (o/u 36)

TIM: No bet

ADAM: A Rob o65.5 rec. yards


cleveland @ cincinnati +2.5 (o/u 43)

TIM: Over 43pts

ADAM:


GREEN BAY @ DETROIT +13 (O/U 43.5)

TIM: Over 43.5pts

ADAM: Detroit +13


LA CHARGERS @ KANSAS CITY -9 (O/U 45.5)

TIM: Kansas City -9

ADAM: Mike Williams anytime – 3/1, safe one – River o0.5 int – 5/8


MIAMI @ NEW ENGLAND -16.5 (O/U 44.5)

TIM: Over 44.5 points, Miami +16.5pts

ADAM: Under 44.5


NEW ORLEANS @ CAROLINA +13 (O/U 45)

TIM: Latavius Murray anytime (9/5 Betfair), Dwayne Washington anytime (25/1 B365)

ADAM: McCaffrey over all his props, they’re going to feed him


NY JETS @ BUFFALO -1 (o/u 36.5)

TIM: NY Jets to win, Under 36.5pts

ADAM: Nothing


cardinals @ la rams -6 (o/u 45)

TIM: No bet

ADAM: Not expecting Murray to play Rams -6


INDIANAPOLIS @ JACKSONVILLE +5.5 (O/U 42)

TIM: Under 42pts

ADAM: Nope


Oakland @ denver -3 (o/u 40.5)

TIM: Denver -3pts

ADAM: Denver -3


PHILADELPHIA @ ny GIANTS +3.5 (O/U 45)

TIM: NY Giants +3.5pts, Boston Scott anytime TD 22/1 Betfair), Richard Rodgers anytime TD (10/1 B365), Philadelphia -0.5 4th Quarter HCP (evs B365)

ADAM: Giants moneyline


pittsburgh @ baltimore +2 (o/u 37)

TIM: Baltimore +2, RGIII anytime TD, Justice Hill anytime TD

ADAM: Gus Edwards anytime


tennessee @ houston +6 (o/u 44)

TIM: *IF KC WIN* 2nd half under 20.5pts (20/21 W.Hill), Highest scoring half – 1st (22/25 Unibet)

ADAM: Titans moneyline, keep an eye on team news, I think Watson may rest


washington @ dallas -12 (o/u 46)

TIM: Under 46 pts, Randall Cobb anytime TD (19/4 Unibet)

ADAM: Washington +12


san francisco @ seattle +3 (o/u 45.5)

TIM: Seattle +3, Over 45.5, Russell Wilson anytime TD (6/1 B365), Marshawn Lynch anytime (4/1 Betfair)

ADAM: San Fran -3

Week 4 Best Bets

Week 4 is here!

Tim and Adam’s best bets are below. Go check out our podcast as to why we have plumped for those selections and make sure you check out tdtips.com for Adam’s in depth analysis from a betting standpoint!

Best bet giveaway away below too. Head over to @full10yards on twitter and RT the pinned tweet for your chance to win the bet if it wins!

Podcast 41 – Week 3 Bonus Episode!

Roll up, roll up for a bonus podcast!


Get all your punting tips for week 3 with Adam Walford of Touchdown tips, trying to make amends for last week. Get your kickers corner with Jack and Jamie from the Kickers Matter podcast
Finally, a bonus segment where the smoothest voice of them all Roger Goodgroves joins us once again to go through the main officiating points of the 2018 season and a story about meeting a GOAT in Jacksonville…..

Podcast 38 – Week 2 Preview

Week 2 is here and so are we!


A whole host of guests to get you geared up for week 2.
Zach Brunner of Flurry Sports joins us to give you the starts and sits for your fantasy teams. Resident tipping expert Adam Walford from TouchdownTips joins us as we look to continue the great tipping service from week 1.

Some injury updates, some week 2 storylines and of course our kickers corner.

Buckle up!

Our guests can be found on Twitter:
Zach Brunner – @FantasyFlurry
Adam Walford – @touchdowntips
Kickers Matter – @Kickers_matter

Podcast 37 – Week 1 Review

Thanks for joining us! Week 1 is in the books and we have our first round table for the review of the week 1 games.

Ben Rolfe and David Davenport join us to discuss the main takeaways from every game last week. We all give a waiver wire guy to pick up in fantasy, and we get podcast-bombed by a feline.

Ben’s work can be found through his social media handle @benrolfe15 and David is a founder and writer of Tidy NFL and can be seen through his social media handle of @Dav_TidyNFL

We also hit 500 followers over the weekend too so keep an eye out on our social media (@full10yards) for details on how to win in our free giveaway!

Hope you enjoy it!

Podcast 35 – Week 1 Preview!

 

It’s here! Week 1 is finally upon us. Resident of the show Lee Wakefield joins us as we go through EVERY game in Week 1 and provide you with some fantasy football insight. We are also joined by our punting expert Adam Walford to win you some quiche with our best bets and a couple of accumulators on the HCP and Money Line.
The guys can be found on Twitter @wakefield90 and @touchdowntips.

Enjoy the show, we’ll be back at the weekend to give you some more starts and sits for your fantasy football teams.

PS – Dont forget to join our FREE Last Man Standing and ATS pick’em competitions which can be found on our social media @full10yards pinned to the top.