DFS – Week 16

By Dave Moore (@davieremixed)

The penultimate week although in reality this is the final week for some starters as teams who’ve locked up their playoff seedings/their top ten draft pick will sit their main guys next week.

So let’s enjoy it while we can and maybe make you all some money along the way…


Quarterback – Russell Wilson – Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks – $7,000

Since the bye week, DangeRuss hasn’t performed as marvellously as he had in the weeks prior (see the wild game against Tampa and the superb duel in San Francisco).

However, I don’t see Wilson having a quiet game as he did in Arizona in Week 4. The Cardinals leak yardage and points by the bucket-load and with a first round bye on the line for the Seahawks I expect Wilson and his team to go off in a big, big way.


Running Back – Ezekiel Elliott – Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles – $7,900

So Dak has a dodgy shoulder and it’s a divisional road game to basically decide who goes to the playoffs. The previous meeting in Week 7 ended up Zeke going for nearly 150 scrimmage yards and a score.

This is a high-price investment but one that is worth making due to the remaining value left further down the pecking order.


Running Back – Kerryon Johnson – Detroit Lions @ Denver Broncos – $4,900

He’s just been activated off IR and will now be the focal point of the repugnant Lions Offense. He’s a cheap option that before his Week 7 injury was gaining north of 75 scrimmage yards on a regular basis and with his cheap price I think he’s a worthy pickup, the Broncos rank 20th against the run in terms of Fantasy.


Wide Receiver – Terry McLaurin – New York Giants @ Washington Redskins – $6,200

It feels like if Dwayne Haskins has a good game it’s because of this guy. Their connection has been the one bright spot in a woeful Redskins season.

The one game that T-Mac has missed this season was against the Giants back in Week 4 but in every other divisional matchup he’s cleared double digits in Fantasy Points. The Chase Young Bowl could come down to which young receiver has the better game: Slayton or McLaurin. I back McLaurin.


Wide Receiver – Tyler Boyd – Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins – $5,800

Now that Andy Dalton has returned to the Bengals, Tyler Boyd has seemed back to his regular self with some good games against decent Ds in recent weeks (Steelers, Jets, Browns, Patriots). Okay, maybe not the Jets but still, it’s a promising sign against a Dolphins team that loves to give up yards, points and just about anything else an opposing team will throw at them.


Wide Receiver – Greg Ward – Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles – $4,200

He’s now the WR1 for an Eagles team ravaged by injuries to their wide-outs but its’ not all doom, he caught 7 of his 9 targets for 61 and a score last time out and at such a low price for a guy that is obviously going to be targeted he’s an excellent budget choice because Carson has no-one else to throw to on the perimeter!


Tight End – Jared Cook – New Orleans Saints @ Tennessee Titans – $5,000

We’re finally seeing the Jared Cook that New Orleans thought they were getting in free agency and whilst this could be a run-heavy game, I fancy Cook to continue to take advantage of the coverage afforded to Michael Thomas and bust out a big game.

The Titans rank 23rd against TEs and in goal-to-go situations I see Cook being that threat in the endzone as he was against San Francisco a fortnight ago.


FLEX – Phillip Lindsay – Detroit Lions @ Denver Broncos – $5,300

Much like Kerryon Johnson, I don’t see much in the way of passing offense for Denver. Yes, Drew Lock seems superior to David Blough but with Darius Slay likely to be shadowing Courtland Sutton all day that opens up plenty of running opportunities for Lindsay to have himself a big day against the 29th ranked D against the run.



D/ST – Denver Broncos –
Detroit Lions @ Denver Broncos – $3,500

When David Blough does throw the ball, I expect this top-5 Broncos D to take full advantage. They’ve forced multiple turnovers in three of the five games since their Week 10 Bye and that was against Quarterbacks such as Kirk Cousins, DeShaun Watson and Patrick Mahomes. This is…David…Blough.

This is a complete lock for at least one D/ST touchdown as far as I’m concerned.

Good luck with all your lineups, hopefully Santa can bring down a Draft Kings win down the chimney.

DFS – Week 15

By Tim Monk (@Tim_MonkF10Y)

Unfortunately, there will be some people out there that have been eliminated from their season long leagues. Bad times. Luckily DFS is a thing so you can get your fantasy football action this week and next week. Good times. Don’t forget you can play against me and a few of the Full10Yards team over on draft kings on this link – Dkng.co/tdtips .

Here are a few suggestions for your lineups in week 15:

quarterback


Jared Goff @ DAL – $6,100:

I’m including a LA Rams stack for week 15. Goff didn’t pull up too many trees last week against Seattle but he now travels to Dallas who let’s face it, have not played defence over the last month. Dallas do have talent on defence but they are seemingly ripe for the picking and we all know that if Jared Goff gets a bit of time to survey the field, he can hit his talented core of pass catchers. In a week where there aren’t many good cheapish options, I don’t see why Goff cant return 20+ points in this matchup.

Gardner Minshew @ OAK – $5,500:

For those that want to go left field, Garnder Minshew might not be a bad shout. Back in as starter for the trip to Oakland, this could be a sneaky high scoring game. It’s the last game in the coliseum for Oakland which will mean the crowd are raucous, but this Oakland defence is nothing to be afraid of and is hardly a black hole for fantasy points. The Jacksonville defence has finished playing for the year too, judging by their 31-3 deficit they were facing last week before some garbage time points that Blake Bortles was more than accustomed to taking. If you want to stack up at RB/WR, a cheap Gardener can be the soil to let your team blossom.

Notable mentions: Baker Mayfield @ ARI – $6,400, Jameis Winston @ DET – $6,900


Running back


Chris Carson @ CAR – $7,500:

With Rashaad Penny done for the year, Chris Carson pretty much has a monopoly in the backfield. Seattle’s opponents in Carolina are the worst ranked against opposing RBs should you can start Carson with confidence. Atlanta just went and put 40 up on them and allowed Devonta Freeman to score his first rushing TD of the season. Chris Carson is a much better back and is likely to get volume, probable positive gamescript and with Penny gone, will add a few nothces to the receptions column too.

Philip Lindsay @ KC – $5,600:

It’s been hard going trying to understand the Denver backfield for most of this year but Lindsay has eclipsed 50 rushing yards in 10 of his last 11 games, and he’s added six touchdowns in that span, making the second-year running back a dependable option heading into a Week 15 matchup against the vulnerable Chiefs run defense. If you need a player that has multiple TD potential for a cheap price, Lindsay is a decent option.

Notable Mentions: Raheem Mostert vs ATL: $5,200, David Montgomery @ GB: $5,500


wide receiver


DeAndre Hopkins @ TEN – $8,000:

Hopkins averages 10 targets a game, regardless of whether it’s home or away, that’s why you are paying the premium price here for the shiniest toy on the shelf. Whilst Hopkins is a luxury play in week 15, an injury or two to the Titans back end could lead to a big game from Nuk. His last outing against the broncos saw his rec yard watermark increased for the season and with everything on the line in this one in a tough AFC South battle, I can see Watson turning Hopkins way a few more times than the 10 on average he s currently getting.

Cooper Kupp @ DAL – $6,500:

To the 2nd part of the LA Rams stack. Cooper Kupp has produced a lot less recently than we are used to. As alluded to with Jared Goff, Dallas have not played defence for a while now and are susceptible to short stuff over the middle and a bit of cleverness in playcalling. His targets have dropped over the past few weeks from 10 to 6 and to 4 on MNF against the Seahawks. He still managed to turn thos 4 targets into 4 receptions for 45 yards and a TD though and I envisage a resurgence for Kupp in this game. In tournaments, you need to go left when everyone else is going right. Chances are any Goff starters may stack him with Woods, but I think it’s currently Kupp half empty rather than Kupp half full so i expect a vintage Kupp game here.

Breshard Perriman @ DET – $4,500:

I get it, you read the name and vomited a little inside. That’s fine. Perriman has actually enjoyed a slightly increased role of late, but in DFS you want a home run hitter in your team to give you that ceiling and Perriman is that. the fairly disappointed WR to date finished with 3 rec for 70yds and a TD last week and with Mike Evans out for this one with a hamstring coupled with Detroit allowing a lot of production to the position, Perriman is not a bad shout to try and stack up elsewhere in your lineups. If he goes off, you’ll be a Perri-happy-man. Chris Godwin is an obvious play in tournaments becuase of the Evans injury, but again, going left when you’re going right, saving $3,200 in the process.

Notable mentions: Dede Westbrook @ OAK – $4,600, Michael Galllup vs LAR – $5,700


tight end


Dallas Goedert @ WAS – $4,300:

Alshon Jeffrey is done for the season, which means they have dustmen left at wide receiver. Zach Ertz has seen a resurgence down the stretch for the Eagles but Goedert can put up numbers just like he can and he s $1,700 cheaper. He has had 6 targets over the last 4 weeks and against a poor Washington side, should find the endzone, which is generally all you need at the tight end position. He averages 19 yards more in away games on average and 5 fantasy points per game. It’s hard to look past the big three TEs but if you are short of cash by the time you get to TE, Goedert can do just the job.

Notable mentions: OJ Howard @ DET – $3,500, Tyler Higbee @ DAL – $3,900

defence/st


Philadelphia Eagles @ WAS – $3,400

Despite their struggle on offence, the Philadelphia Eagles are a good play against a Washington team that aren’t overly interested in winning, have a rookie quarterback who has only had a handful of snaps this season. There aren’t a lot of cheap options that are viable this week and underneath Philadelphia it’s all very hit and miss. The home and road splits for the Eagles arent pretty but they’ve had some tough assignments away from home. They know how to create turnovers and get to the quarterback. That’s all you need in this game.

Notable mentions: Chicago Bears @ GB – $2,400, New England @ CIN – $4,000

DFS roundup; Week 14

By Adam Walford (@touchdowntips)

For some It’s the most wonderful time of the year where if you’ve made your fantasy football play-offs you’re riding the high of that feeling and looking forward to this weekend with great excitement and full of smugness for your achievements of the season.

For some however it’s a far more sombre time, they’re out of it. They’re either competing in the toilet bowl or they’re sat this weekend without a matchup and waiting for the fantasy season to be over, but it doesn’t have to be like that. There is another way. There is another option!

And that option is having a dabble on Daily Fantasy Football! I shall be having a look at Draftkings and trying to pick out some high priced, and some lower priced beauties for this coming week.

Quarterback


High-priced – Lamar Jackson – $7,400

As boring as this suggestion is, I don’t see anywhere else you would want to go should you want to pay up at QB this week. He comfortably leads the position over the season, and with them facing a tough secondary this week there will probably be plenty of opportunities for him to run the ball. That’s where points are quickly accumulated in fantasy football and the chances should be there for him to do that. His opponents at the top? Mahomes vs the best defense in the league NE, Rodgers in a game they should dominate and may well be run heavy, Kirk Cousins… he should have a good game but likely without Thielen again, Diggs took a knock last week. Matt Ryan vs a decent Carolina secondary and Deshaun Watson against a good Denver secondary.

Lower-priced – Ryan Tannehill – $5,800

It’s tough to say no to the Ryans this week, I was between Ryan Fitzpatrick and Ryan Tannehill for the lower priced guy for me this week, and with the Titans having an easier matchup I went for the Titans QB. He’s facing a Raiders team who give up more long passing plays than any other in the league this year. They’ve been horrible in their couple of games on the road recently. The Raiders should be better back at home, but that could actually help the passing game for the Titans if they need to keep up the pace. Tannehill has been great on the ground as well with 3 rushing TDs in his last 4 games and he’s shown he’s not afraid to put his body on the line to get a score.


Running backs


Higher-priced – Leonard Fournette – $7,800

He might not have scored many touchdowns this year, and his offensive line might be garbage, but he’s still nearing 1,000 yards on the ground this year and has been targeted a lot this season averaging 5 receptions per game, which has risen to just over 7 receptions per game over the last 5 games, with both Nick Foles and Gardner Minshew.

Aaron Jones – $6,700

It’s been a weird few weeks for Aaron Jones this year, he was leading the league in rushing TDs after his hat-trick against the Panthers, who are ranked last in rushing DVOA (more on that in a minute) but things have taken a bit of a down-turn recently with a horrible 2.9 and 1.6 yards per carry over his last two games vs the 49ers and Giants in the snow last week. This is a decent bounce-back spot though, he’s back at Lambeau where he’s scored 8 times this year in every game bar one this season.

Lower-priced – Devonta Freeman – $5,400

He’s not scored a rushing TD this season. The Falcons rushing offense has been horrible and he’s coming off an injury. His replacement Brian Hill and Qadree Ollison have both been poor so I don’t think there’s much threat there of them taking too many carries from him. Freeman is a talented back who can be cut quite easily over the summer so it’s reasonable to say he’s playing for his career in Atlanta. BUT He’s going up against the worst run defense in the league who gave up 13 yards per carry to Derrius Guice and over 7 YPC to Adrian Peterson and 3 TDs to them in the process. Freeman is involved in the passing game too with 3 scores in that facet this season.

Patrick Laird – $4,100

Laird ran averaged half a yard per carry last week with 5 yards on 10 carries. BUT he somehow found the endzone from those carries. They’ve put Kalen Ballage on IR, either due to injury or because he’s terrible. Laird however, has been very good in the passing game for the Dolphins so far averaging about 9 yards per reception and targeted. They do face a tough run defense in the Jets but with Laird capable out of the backfield through the air, and at a budget price he’s not a terrible choice.


Wide Receiver


High-priced – DJ Moore – $7,000

Moore has been rising in price week on week, but it’s still not really quick enough. He’s had 47 targets over the last month, resulting in 29 receptions, more than 100 yards per game and 3 TDs in that span, this week they go up against the Falcons who are ranked #27 vs the pass this year according to DVOA. There’s a new head coach in Carolina, he’s likely a little more defensive, but surely your game plan should be carrying on with what’s working. Add to that Greg Olsen is out this week and that’s 25 targets (from 4 weeks) to go around as well.

Courtland Sutton – $6,400

Sutton is a beast. He’s been great this year with some awful QB play in Denver, Flacco, Allen and last week Lock and he’s succeeded pretty well with all of them. Last week he hauled in 4 of 5 targets for 2 TDs, one a brilliant one-handed catch in the end zone, and this was being covered by Casey Hayward who’s one of the better cornerbacks in the league. He’s got it far easier this week against a Texans passing D which ranks 25th.

Low(er)-priced – Zach Pascal – $5,500

Pascal’s numbers last week added up to the best of his career with 109 yards from 7 receptions against the Titans and he’ll be the main man again this week, probably even more so as TY Hilton is once again ruled out, Chester Rogers is likely missing too, he’s up against only really Jack Doyle and Marcus Johnson for competition at WR in the Colts offense, and they go up against the Bucs who are brilliant against the run, not so great vs the pass.

Auden Tate – $4,000

As a Bengals fan myself I can tell you that Auden Tate has been great this year. He’s pulled off a number of highlight reel catches and averaging about 50 yards per game for the season. He’s been pretty regular with his yardage as well, even with Ryan Finley at QB. Only two games where I’d say he’s busted for his price. He’ll likely haul in 4 or 5 catches for about 50 yards again and he’s a big body who should really be getting more looks in the red-zone.


Tight end


I don’t do high priced.

Vance McDonald – $4,300

I don’t really need to dig too deeply into this one. The Steelers are playing against the Cardinals. They’ve given up a TD to the tight end in every game this year bar the Bengals (where Tyler Eifert dropped one in the endzone) So while the Steelers haven’t exactly been what you would describe as “good” on offense this year the trend is there and has been strong. Additionally rookie QBs generally target the RB in the pass game and their tight end. Ipso Facto – Vance McDonald is the man.

Ian Thomas – $2,500

Rock bottom price here. It looks like Greg Olsen is out for this one, so it will be Ian Thomas as the starting TE for the Panthers. He had a few targets last week (4 of 4 for 24) after Olsen went out so he should be involved and for the lowest price you can get if you’ve got to save money you could do a lot worse.


Defense


Packers – $4,000

The Packers are probably rightly the highest price for this week going up against a rookie QB on the road.

Bucs – $2,300

I’m a little surprised the Bucs are this lowly priced. They scored 24 points in fantasy by themselves last week after giving the Jags QBs nightmares. So while they face one of the better offensive lines in the league they also face a team without many good passing options and they’re the best run defense in the league.


You can put together a lineup of Lamar Jackson, Fournette, Freeman, AJ Brown, Sutton, DJ Moore, McDonald, Tate and the Bucs with a little to spare this week. (We’re $100 off being able to get Pascal and it would go against the Bucs D)

DFS – Week 12

By Paul Maughan (@morny7)

For those of us consigned to the misery of supporting teams who’s season is already dead (playoffs are rubbish anyway!), it’s all about winning our fortunes on DFS now. 

This week’s line-up sees a couple of elite receivers due to have a a ‘going-off’ moment, a couple of bargain running backs and full-scale bet that one team in particular are going to show they’ve really turned the corner.

Personally I can’t wait to go to bed on Sunday night Googling where to sell a kidney counting all of my winnings. Unless, of course, you all pick the same team as me, at which point we just share the money and it’s all a bit of an anti-climax, really. Interesting…


QB – Baker Mayfield  $5,900 (Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns)

Full disclosure: I cannot stand Mayfield. His attitude with the media, his colleagues and his peers on other teams is disgraceful and petulant, and his patter is like a cross between David Brent and White Goodman (Dodgeball). Jesus man, if anybody you’d ever met in real-life said they were “feeling dangerous” you’d delete them off Facebook and block them from your Whatsapp group. You’d certainly not be calling them a “winner”.

Be that as it may, he’s in a heck of a spot here. Coming in under $6k for a home game against the dreadful Dolphins cannot be ignored. Miami have looked better over the last few weeks but so have Cleveland, and now Baker has a brand shiny new target in Kareem Hunt (see below). His last three games have been against three legit pass defences (Broncos, Bills, Steelers) and he’s averaging over 200 yards a game and got 5 touchdowns, with no picks. He should make hay against a Dolphin’s team who are trying hard, but who are still painfully limited.


RB – Kareem Hunt $5,600 (Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns)

Get stacking: Kareem Hunt is the perfect running back to partner with Baker. In terms of elite level running backs he’s dirt-cheap, giving you room to manoeuvre elsewhere. Whilst Nick Chubb is doing the overwhelming amount of rushing, Hunt is basically playing as a slot receiver and he is a gem of a one.  

He’s had 13 receptions so far over his two games back, and is averaging 11 DK points a game (as with Mayfield, remember this was against the Bills and Steelers). If he continues at that rate it’s great value at $5,600. If he adds a TD or a big play rush to that, it could tick him over into being an absolute steal.


RB – Philip Lindsay $5,200 (Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills)

Normally it’s worth paying up at the running-back slot, but Lindsay is possibly the most under-rated back in the league at the minute. Obviously there’s the risk he only shares the backfield, but at such a low price and against a Bills defence who are getting worse against the run every single week, it’s a risk worth taking.

He’ll get plenty of rushing attempts and should be a handy safety net for Allen in the passing game. All of this adds up to Lindsay as an essential play this week (look for me saying this a LOT during the next 5 weeks!).


WR – Julio Jones $8,000 (Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons)

This is your splash play. Julio may be having a quiet year (by his sky-high standards), but he’s threatening to go off and he’ll never have a more inviting opportunity than against the Bucs, who can’t defend anything except the run.

If you wanted to stack him with Matt Ryan, I couldn’t really argue with that as the two of them should have lots of fun toying with the Tampa secondary. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a Julio monster game – double digit receptions, triple digit yards and a couple of touchdowns. He’s a big price, but well worth it.


WR Josh Gordon $4,200 (Seattle Seahawks @ Philadelphia Eagles)

Very risky play, but getting a reciever with elite-level talent against one of the poorest secondaries in the league in the £4k-$4.5k bracket is something that cannot be ignored.

This game should be wild. The Eagles can’t defend, the Seahawks aren’t much better and both teams matches often seem to have a touch of glorious-chaos around them. Gordon seems just the type of receiver who could really shine, especially when play breaks down and Wilson does his thing.


WR Tyrell Williams $5,900 (Oakland Raiders @ New York Jets)

After a bright start to the season, Williams had a quiet few weeks but bounced back last week with a nice 82 yards for 4 receptions against the Bengals. But Williams isn’t the reason you’re taking him here: you’re taking him because the Jets secondary is appalling. They’re so far down the depth-chart on CB I think I’ll be getting a call-up soon, and Derek Carr should cut them open. Williams is in a nice spot to pad his stats in this spot.

If you’re feeling cheap, Hunter Renfrow at $4,500 is also a nice play here. Hell, if you were really struggling for cash in your team, Zay Jones at $3,400 is worth a flyer. He’s a terrible player, but he’s the type who could break off one monster play and all of a sudden he’s justified the money. Basically, what I’m saying is – play against the Jets defence. It’s like Tampa Bay 2.0 – great against the run, terrible against the pass.


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TE Ryan Griffin $4,200 (Oakland Raiders @ New York Jets)

If you’re paying down at the tight-end position, Griffin is a great shout. He’s got chemistry with Darnold and is being used as a perfect safety valve. He’s having a career year, putting up 100 yards for the first time last week. And for added excitement, Oakland have been poor against TEs all year, so he’s in a great spot here to keep going.

As everyone knows, at tight-end you either pay a fortune for one of the elite, or you take a bit of a gamble further down the slate. Griffin is worth the bet.


Flex Odell Beckham Jr. $7,000 (Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns)

The final part of my big Browns’ stack (that sounds awful when you say out-loud), this is the week OBJ finally goes off. For the logic see the Baker write-up, but in summary; Browns getting better, Dolphins not good, Baker starting to sling it.

Basically, in this situation OBJ could finally having the ‘blowing-up’ moment we’ve all been waiting for and really show the exceptional talent we all know is there. Back him to go big this week, as a precursor to a magnificent end-of-season run (fair warning – I’ve been saying this about him for about 3 weeks now!).


DST Chicago Bears $3,700 (New York Giants @ Chicago Bears)

The Bears are in massive trouble but that’s due to the offence. The defence is still very stingey and, whilst it’s not the level it was last year, it’s number 2 in the league in fantasy points and should feast on the Giants.

The Bears defence has lacked the gaudy stats (sacks and picks) of last year, but they’ll look at turnover-machine Daniel Jones sitting behind an offensive line which has as much substance as a Boris Johnson promise, and see this as a chance to course-correct. Jones has been much better than expect in New York so far, but he’s very, very raw and a defence like this should pick him apart. Great option at a great price.

Week 11 – Best bets

By Tim Monk and Adam Walford (@touchdowntips)

Below our the best bets as described on the podcast. For more reasoning and a good 45 minutes worth of chat, go and check out the podcast!

All lines were correct as of Saturday evening.

Go and check Adam’s work out over at TDTIPS.COM and join his Draft Kings league!


Dallas -7 @ Detroit – o/u 47

TIM: Cowboys -6.5/ -7 on Handicap (NAP) 10/11 General

ADAM: Blake Jarwin Anytime 6/1


New ORleans -5.5 @ Tampa bay – o/u 49.5

TIM: Chris Godwin (7/5), Mike Evans (23/20), Michael Thomas (10/11) anytime TD Scorer

ADAM: Michael Thomas over 8.5 receptions (NAP) 10/11 Skybet


Atlanta +4.5 @ Carolina – o/u 49

TIM: Carolina -4.5 on handicap 10/11 General

ADAM: Brian Hill over 61.5 Rush yards 10/11 Skybet


Jacksonville +2.5 @ Indianapolis – o/u 43

TIM: Try and find Jacksonville +3 (at a slightly shorter price) 8/11 Unibet

ADAM: Dede Westbrook over 4.5 receptions 10/11 Skybet


denver +10 @ minnesota – o/u 40

TIM: No bet but lean Minnesota -10 on Handicap / Unders

ADAM: Dalvin Cook over 42.5 rec yards 10/11 Skybet


NY Jets +2 @ Washington – o/u 38.5

TIM: NY Jets +2 on Handicap 10/11 General

ADAM: Jamison Crowder over 4.5 receptions 10/11 Skybet (NB)


Buffalo -6.5 @ Miami – o/u 40.5

TIM: No Bet but lean under and Miami +6.5 (try and get 7) on Handicap

ADAM: Devin Singletary over 2.5 receptions 10/11 Skybet


Houston +4.5 @ baltimore – o/u 51.5

TIM: Over 51.5 Total Points 10/11 General (NB)

ADAM: Duke Johnson over 24.5 rec yards 10/11 Skybet


ARIZONA +10 @ San Francisco – o/u 45

TIM: Arizona +10 on handicap 10/11 General

ADAM: Andy Isabella 9/1 Anytime TD


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New ENgland -4 @ philadelphia – o/u 44.5

TIM: Miles Sanders Anytime TD Scorer 6/4

ADAM: No bet suggested


Cincinatti +12 @ oakland – o/u 48.5

TIM: No bet but lean Overs and Oakland on HCP. Josh Jacobs to score 21/10 Paddy Power

ADAM; Auden Tate over 44.5 rec yards 10/11 Skybet


Chicago +6.5 @ LA RAms – o/u 40

TIM: No bet but lean Under 40 total points

ADAM: Under 40 total points 10/11 General


Kansas City -4 @ LA Chargers – o/u 52

TIM: LA Chargers +4 10/11 General, Over 52 total points 10/11 General , Melvin Gordon anytime TD 5/6 Redzone

ADAM: Tyreek Hill anytime TD scorer Evens Betfair


best bets


– Tim –

NAP: Dallas on the Handicap (-6.5/-7) 10/11 General

NB: Houston @ Baltimore over 51.5 points 10/11 General

– ADAM –

NAP: Michael Thomas over 8.5 receptions 10/11 Unibet

NB: Jamison Crowder over 4.5 receptions 10/11 Unibet

Scheduled Departures – Week 11

By James Fotheringham (@nflhypetrain)

ALL ABOARD! Trains for week 11 are about to depart.

WARNING: Lineups may close up to 30 seconds prior to kickoff.



There are no trains for Tennessee, Green Bay, New York (Giants) and Seattle this week so you may have a few different routes to take on your way to points, but don’t worry. The departure board is here to guide you where to go. Let’s take a look.


Falcons @ Panthers


Despite their victory against the Saints last week, I still feel the Falcons are a team to stream against.

The Saints are bitter rivals and the team played out of their skin defensively to beat them. The offence is still shaky and losing Austin Hooper hurts them, but it may be a spark for Julio and Calvin Ridley.

The Panthers as usually have CMC but Kyle Allen has been quietly improving and now DJ Moore and Curtis Samuel might also be playable in addition to Greg Olsen, who frankly has always been an option when you look at how sparse the TE position is now.       


Cowboys @ Lions


Matt Stafford will miss another game, so Jeff Driskel takes on the mane role for the Lions. It limits how good Golladay and Marvin Jones are but from last week’s evidence they should be serviceable.

The Cowboys are strong against the run and with options limited JD McKissic is playable but not with a lot of confidence. The Cowboys DST looks a good play while the opposite is true for the Lions.

Dak, Cooper, Gallup and Zeke should all feature and Zeke is going to be heavily owned in DFS. He is a guy to pay up for so it’s time to send Zeke to the buffet car so he can eat.


Jaguars @ Colts


This game is huge in the AFC South. If the Jags lose that’s the end of their hopes, if the Colts lose, they look shaky.

Brissett may well be back but not 100%, which against the Jags defence, is not what you want to hear. Hilton isn’t back and Pascal hasn’t been as good now people have put expectations on him. The Tight Ends for Indy may be the most fantasy relevant assets, along with Marlon Mack.

The Jags will again rely heavily on Fournette who has been good value this season when you consider how many busts there have been. Nick Foles returns and may well be a decent streaming option. Foles’ return also improves the prospects for Dede Westbrook and DJ Chark.

I was hoping to use Seth DeValve as a safety valve but now he’s ruled out I’ve had to reduce the pressure on that one.


Bills @ Dolphins


The Dolphins are on a resurgence and the Bills are maybe not the locking for the playoffs people thought they might be.

This game will probably return both teams to their usual scripts as the Buffalo defence is still strong.

It’s not a week to fish for points in Miami but it may be a big week for the Bills offence, especially Josh Allen who may be a decent options for DFS line ups looking to save money on QB.                  


Texans @ Ravens


This is a juicy matchup where quite simply, I want the offensive pieces on both teams and I’m not sure I’d want to risk either defence. Keep an eye on Will Fuller who is unlikely to play, which usually means goods things for DeAndre Hopkins.

Short and sweet.


Broncos @ Vikings


The Vikings again appear to be Thielin-less so it may be time to find Diggs again. Dalvin Cook will once again feature heavily on the menu and Kyle Rudolph might be a redzone reindeer once more.

The Broncos are still not looking great on offence and I wouldn’t want to play the defence against Minnesota.      


Jets @ Redskins

No first class available here.

Two dire teams. Derrius Guice returns for Washington but the Jets did completely stuff Saquon last week. Haskins and McLaurin still haven’t really clicked while the defence isn’t quite what we expected it to be.

The Jets have some decent receivers, Sam Darnold seems to be the issue. Le’Veon Bell isn’t performing either, but this is maybe is his week.                            


Saints @ Bucs

The Saints need a bounce back game and the Bucs are not a bad opponent to have for this. Brees, Thomas, Kamara and even Jared Cook may be a sneaky play at TE.

Jameis Winston and the passing attack are also looking tempting this week. Ronald Jones has become playable so apart from the defences and the Bucs TE’s, it’s a game to play what you have.                     


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Cardinals @ 49ers


The 49ers finally had their unbeaten record ended last week but this team is still “for real” (and I’m not just saying that to wind up Tim, honest…).

Losing Kittle is a huge blow to the offence and with Sanders looking limited if he plays at all, you want the running back who are fit and Deebo Samuel. The 49ers DST may be vital for them to succeed in this game but with the state of the Arizona running game and the passing attack still learning the system, it’s not a bad call.

Kyler should be solid this week, although the 49ers DST does make me scared to play Kirk and co. I’d avoid the backfield as the split between DJ and Drake feels very volatile.                           


Bengals @ Raiders


The Bengals are the only remaining team left who are able to put up a 100% record… of losing. Finley at QB and AJ Green still injured make them an offence to avoid apart from Mixon, Boyd may be a bit of a reach.

The Raiders are threatening to be a playoff team and Josh Jacobs is set to be a league winner for fantasy. He will be a heavily owned DST play again but be warned as it could be a Tyrell Williams game. The Raiders DST are an easy stream option too.


Patriots @ Eagles


After the Ravens derailed the Patriots shot at a perfect season, it’s time to see if the Eagles can continue to send them down the wrong track. This week they signed Jay Ajayi which suggests that Jordan Howard is questionable. Miles Sanders will get a lot of action but how much he will be able to do with it is uncertain. The receiver situation looks awkward as well with Jeffrey out and Agholor unable to catch a cold.

The Patriots will be back to trusting Brady, Edelman and co. You may want the Pats DST back in your line up if you have them.                                              


Bears @ Rams


The final game of the day is the Bears and the Rams. Two strong defences with questionable offences. The Steelers shut down the Rams and the Bears do a good job of shutting themselves down. David Montgomery is questionable so Tarik Cohen may be more worth playing than usual, Allen Robinson is usually relevant but after that you’re only playing the defence.

The Rams seem to only perform when Cooper Kupp is open. The Steelers had his number and Goff didn’t know where else to turn. Expect Kupp and Gurley to be the main men, albeit without particularly high expectations.


Time to take a look in the Signal Box and pick out a few player who are on the right lines and who may be taking a wrong route.


PROCEED


QB – Josh Allen (BUF) – A rushing QB against the Dolphins… do I need to say more?

RB – Josh Jacobs (OAK) – One of the hottest RBs in the league against the worst team in the league…

WR – Michael Thomas (NO) – The Saints disappeared last week, but they are coming back this week.

TE – Mark Andrews (BAL) – The Texans may not have an answer to Andrews.

DST – Cowboys(DAL)  – A somewhat tamed Lions team are going to get rounded up.


Caution


QB – Kirk Cousins (MIN) – He had no Thielin and Cook may leave him stewing.

RB – Phillip Lindsey (DEN) – The Vikings and Royce Freeman may halt Lindseys usefulness.

WR – Robert Woods (LAR) – Unless you’re called Kupp, it’s hard to score for the Rams.

TE – Zach Ertz (PHI) – Goedert’s production and the Patriots defence Ertz his value.

DST – Dolphins (MIA) – The Bills are usually a team to stream against but I think the Dolphin resurgence ends here.


Danger


QB – Carson Wentz (PHI) – The Patriots find Nick Foles harder to crack.

RB – David Johnson (ARI) – A fall from grace to the point where you can’t trust what he may do.

WR – Devante Parker (MIA) – The Bills may not even allow garbage time yards for him.

TE – OJ Howard (TB) – Godwin and Evans prevent TE from being a thing in TB.

DST – Lions (DET) – A weak run D against Zeke… Eeek.


That’s it for this week. Come back next week to see what is standing at the station and which Hype Trains will lead you to points.

DFS – Week 11

By Dave Moore (@Davieremixed)

It’s a good thing the AFC North matchup was taken off the plate for this Sunday’s Draft Kings contests…Yeesh, what an ugly game in just about every sense of the word.

Anyway, with just the four teams on byes this week (Seahawks, Packers, Giants & Titans) we’ve got a bit of a deeper pool to pick from this week. As with Week 7’s article I’ll be picking these to enter into a contest and put my money where my mouth is so you won’t be seeing CMac, Zeke and Kamara as selections here.

Let’s get into it…


Quarterback – Dak Prescott – $6,700 (Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions)


With no Russell Wilson available the obvious choice would normally be Drew Brees and the Saints against a 32nd ranked Bucs D that have no cornerbacks of any repute available.

However, there’s enough about the Saints offense to concern me that it may not be the blowout we’re all anticipating. One hamstring strain to Michael Thomas and it all crumbles.

Enough about who I’m not picking, let’s focus on Dak.

I don’t consider the Cowboys #4 ‘elite’ at all, that said, he’s got reliable receivers in Cooper, Cobb and Gallup, the screen option to Zeke and in front of him is a Lions D who haven’t had an INT since Week 6. When you see that the Cowboys rank 1st in total offense YPG whilst the Lions D are 30th in total defense YPG it makes it a no-brainer for me.


Running Back – Dalvin Cook – $8,900 (Denver Broncos @ Minnesota Vikings)


I love this guy. He’s a Fantasy hero week-in, week-out and with Adam (More Than A) Thielen looking doubtful to dress for this game I think we’ll see even more of Cook against a Broncos D that is solid against the pass but a bit more susceptible up front.

Through the first ten games, Cook has managed ten scores and only two games where he hasn’t found the endzone (on those occasions he managed 218 yards and 116 yards against the Giants and Chiefs respectively).

Simply put, this is a no-brainer. Whilst most contests will see Cook as a starter he’s the guy that you probably can’t win with but you definitely cannot win without.


Running Back – Brian Hill – $4,800 (Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers)


With Devonta Freeman leaving the game last week, Brian Hill stepped in admirably and nabbed himself a score to boot.

Freeman won’t play this Sunday so expect Hill to continue and I expect him to flourish as a pass-catching back against a Carolina D that ranks 29th against the run.

I suspect that the only thing left for the Falcons this year is to act as spoiler (see last Sunday) and a game against a divisional rival with playoff aspirations will be enough spark for Dan Quinn and his troops to build on last week’s surprise win.


Wide Receiver – Mike Evans – $7,400 (New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers)


Mike Evans in the Superdome 2019: Three targets. Zero Receptions. Zip. Nil. Nada. You can thank Marshon Lattimore for that. However, with Lattimore looking doubtful for Sunday there are going to be opportunities for Evans to break free and continue his fantastic season.

He’s hit 180 yards or more three times already this year! Three! If you take away his shutout against the Saints he’s going off at an average of 115.5 yards a game.

You can look at this matchup in two different ways. You can see the Bucs carving open a Saints D that’s still in shock after Atlanta came in and blew them out in the Superdome. Or, the Saints get ahead early and force Jameis Winston to do what he does best, well, okay often and sling the ball downfield. Either way, Evans is looking a very good pickup if Lattimore can’t go.


Wide Receiver – Courtland Sutton – $6,000 (Denver Broncos @ Minnesota Vikings)


It’s a struggle to pick anyone else out (other than Michael Thomas but let’s play value here), who looks a lock to have a big week as a WR. The Cowboys can move it around three/four players, Texans & Ravens could just be the two QBs rushing forever and ever, Pats & Eagles? A hard pass from yours truly.

So what about Courtland Sutton? Last seen doing his best Randy Moss impression at Mile High against the Browns as he reeled in Brandon Allen’s first career TD pass.

I feel the Vikings could have far too much for the Broncos and Allen has had one game for us to judge him on but the Vikings give it up against wide-outs and I smell Sutton getting some garbage time yards and maybe even a score.


Wide Receiver – Auden Tate – $4,200 (Cincinnati Bengals @ Oakland Raiders)


Another WR with a rookie throwing the ball to him? Am I crazy? Probably.

However, last Sunday was the first time he was held to under 60 receiving yards and that was with Marcus Peters having a terrific day. That won’t happen against the Raiders who are coming off a bye week, which means they’ll be well rested…Or perhaps rusty. I am sensing the latter.

The Oakland D is not setting the world alight despite Phillip Rivers’ best efforts in Week 9 and I am a big fan of Tate, I gave him the nod in my Week 7 Draft Kings article and I am sticking with my underdog. All in for Auden!


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Tight End – Eric Ebron – $3,600 (Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts)


The stat line rarely lies but Ebron should have had a TD against the Dolphins last week and with Jacoby Brissett (or is it Jake Brisket? My mind’s been warped) returning this week I think we’ll see plenty more of Double E and with the Colts lacking in receivers I expect Brisket to target Ebron plenty.


Flex – Miles Sanders – $4,100 (New England Patriots @ Philadelphia Eagles)


When you’re trying to run to budget, things can get difficult. This is a difficult pick.

Hope is not lost, however, we saw the Ravens run right off the Patriots a fortnight ago and the Philly rookie could have a game similar to the one he did against a just-as-impressive Bills D in Week 8.

He’s a low cost option if you’re looking to squeeze in under budget to allow for bigger names (much like I am here).


D/ST – New York Jets – $3,100 (New York Jets @ Washington Redskins)


This was a toss-up between the Bills and the J-Men and for the extra value I had to take the Jets against a Redskins time that has the currently-out-of-his-depth Dwayne Haskins at QB.

I think I’m taking them based purely on watching that Jamal Adams snatch-6 of Daniel Jones a hundred times. It was a thing of absolute beauty if you’re on the green side of New York (and if you had Adams as an IDP in Fantasy).

The Jets blow hot and cold when it comes to Fantasy D, hitting double digits only three times (once against the Pats!) but when they hit it, they hit it well. I am backing them to take advantage of a weak Redskins side.

DFS – Week 10

By Jake Linley-Brown (@JakeLB12)

This is my first DFS article for the Full10Yards family, which is exciting. I also like spending money I don’t have, so in that case, let’s make it rain.


QB – Kyler Murray – $6,500 (Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers)


Murray is putting down his claim for the NFL Rookie of the Year award (Josh Jacobs, I see you too). The impressive rookie threw 2 TD’s on Sunday against the tough 49ers defence, who hadn’t allowed a TD pass since Week 3. He’s also led this fun Cardinals team to outings of over 25 points in 4 of their last 5 games, which is a bit of a surprise considering the 3-5-1 record.

This week, Kyler goes up against the Bucs D, who seem to only like defending the run. The Bucs are allowing the 3rd most QB fantasy points per game, which is averaging out to 22.7 points per game for whoever lines up behind centre. Basically, Murray is money this week.


RB – Christian McCaffrey – $10,500 (Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers)


I should just leave this bit blank because you all know by now what CMC has been up to; it’s biblical. Averaging over 30 points a game in PPR, on pace to top LaDanian Tomlinson’s video game numbers of 2006, dropping 150 yards from scrimmage on the regular…quite simply, he’s the best player in fantasy football.

Not that matchups matter for McCaffrey, this Sunday’s is pretty juicy. It’s the frozen tundra that is Lambeau Field and a Packers D that is in the top 5 most generous defences in terms of points allowed. Don’t even blink – put Christian in.


RB – Devin Singletary – $5,000 (Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns)


I wrote a column a few weeks ago predicting our guy Devin would eventually topple the immortal Frank Gore in the Bills backfield – in Week 9, it finally happened. 140 scrimmage yards, with 95 rushing, led to a career day against the Redskins. Interestingly, that was the most scrimmage yards by any Bill in over 2 years.

This week’s matchup is against the Browns, who are currently looking like a stain of the same colour. The Browns are allowing the 5th most yards per game on the ground to backfields, not to mention all the other problems. Singletary is great value here, and seemingly on a roll to boot.



WR – Mike Evans – $7,600 (Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers)


There is always the danger with the Bucs in picking who is going to go off at any given week – Godwin or Evans. This week, I’m expecting Magic Mike to be the one who blows up. Evans has 23 catches in his last two games, which totals to 78.8 points in PPR scoring. In other words, he’s pretty darn good and the early season inconsistencies seem to be a thing of the past.

If you needed any more encouragement with parting with that cold, hard, virtual cash, the Cardinals allow more passing TD’s than anyone else. Evans is a WR1 and then some.


WR – Jamison Crowder – $5,000 (New York Giants @ New York Jets)


Sam Darnold has had mono (I can’t spell the scientific term) and seen ghosts in the past few weeks – to put it lightly, it’s been tough for him. Thankfully, Crowder has come back into the fold after being MIA for the early part of the season. 8 catches with a TD against the terrible Dolphins last week hopefully means he’s turned the corner. There’s also no denying the Darnold-Crowder connection underneath, looking like somewhat of a security blanket at the line of scrimmage.

Week 10 pits the two New York teams against each other, which isn’t worthy of any ‘Super Sunday’ billing. That being said, the Giants are allowing the 2nd most points (42.2 in PPR) per game to receivers. Crowder is a good shout here at the mid-range level.


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WR – Russell Gage – $3,400 (Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints)


McCaffrey, Evans…Gage?! No, not that failed Nokia phone of the late 90’s, but the Mohamed Sanu replacement down in Atlanta. Gage had a season-high 47 offensive snaps, hauling in 7 of 9 targets in Week 8 against Seattle. Evidence suggests that he’s now 3rd on the WR chart for a team that’s pretty bad and will no doubt have to chuck it, a lot.

Matt Ryan is back this week for the trip to New Orleans, which also works in Russell’s favour. With Julio Jones likely to get extra attention from Lattimore and friends, the floor could open-up for Gage to engage his QB’s attention (ropey, but I’ll get my coat).


TE – Gerald Everett – $4,500 (Los Angeles Rams @ Pittsburgh Steelers)


The TE position is, as we all know, a barren wasteland. For a bit of value backed up by some worthy statistics, I think you could do a lot worse than Everett this week. His form has been patchy as of late – being held to only 2 catches twice in his last 3 outings – but his performances against Seattle (7 catches, 136 yards) and Atlanta (4 catches, 50 yards, 1 TD) in the last month or so give me hope.

For the trip to Heinz Field, I’m more optimistic than ever. The Steelers are in the top 10 for favourable matchups to the TE position. Combine that with coming off a bye week and the potential upside of more targets thanks to Brandin Cooks being out, I see $4,500 as a snip.


FLEX – Mike Gesicki – $3,100 (Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts)


Now we’re getting a bit weird. Mike Gesicki sounds more like a mob boss than an NFL Tight End, but I digress. The sophomore had his biggest game of the season last weekend, catching 6 balls for 95 yards against the Jets. There also seems to be a bond forming with Ryan Fitzpatrick, which is helpful for us, but also helpful for Fitzmagic considering he’s not got a lot else to throw to in Miami.

This week’s opponents, the Colts, have allowed the 7th most fantasy points per game to TE’s. Even better, the game script will most likely mean Gesicki being targeted often. It’s a punt, sure, but you can’t have all the stars mentioned above without some unknowns here and there, can you?


DST – Baltimore Ravens – $4,000 (Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals)


Ryan Finley is the QB for the Bengals. The End.