Pick It Apart; Marquise Brown

The Draft is in the books and the dust has settled. But how well did your team do in the first round?


We are taking a look back at every selection in the first round and giving you the lowdown on the pick; Was it a reach? Was it a steal? We’ll tell you and give you the impact for fantasy football….


Pick: #25


Player: Marquise “Hollywood” Brown


Drafted by: Baltimore Ravens


Grade: B+


Analysis:

The Oklahoma WR was the first one off the board at his position.

What does this mean? In general, not a lot but it says a lot about the team’s opinions and value on the player when the team selecting them decide to choose them over everyone else available in the draft.

Considering the Ravens are a heavy run first team, some were surprised at this pick.

I was not.

Baltimore just had to get some Wide Receivers in order to try and make defences honest; Marquise Brown was my favourite WR coming in to the draft and loves YACing it up like a 19 year old on their birthday in a nightclub. Marquise Brown can do all the routes and will provide an instant option from day 1 on all the short and intermediate plays with the occasional 9 route to keep it interesting.

In his 2 seasons with the Sooners, Brown posted over 1000 yards in both seasons (he did have Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray throwing him the ball) including a Oklahoma  single game record of 265 receiving yards against Oklahoma State.

These numbers meant he was a First Team All American and All-Big12 selection.

“Hollywood decided to forego his final year to declare for this year’s draft.

He isn’t the biggest at 166lbs and didn’t appear at the combine due to a Lisfranc injury (which may still niggle him for a few months yet) so there are questions marks about whether he’ll be able to take on the big boys. But he is a speedster, who will create separation and will get open, perfect for his new QB. He isn’t a guy who will win your typical 50-50 balls, which is good because Lamar Jackson will not throw into tight windows in this type of offence.


Fantasy Football Impact:

A lot of people will be turned off by the offence he is in, a lot of people will be turned off by the Quarterback that is throwing him the ball. This will mean that a lot of leagues will see him undrafted in redraft leagues in 2019. He’ll be a waiver wire pickup for sure if that is the case.

However as with all rookie WR, they are always seen as shiny new toys so there will no doubt be people taking him with a last round pick (dont pick up kickers, kids). Added in to that, the fact that he’ll have big games here and there means he is perfect for Bestball leagues. He can run every route and he’ll be open a helluva lot. I like Brown as a sleeper this year.

What can you expect from Brown in year one?

Well, certainly not anything near his cousins numbers (yes, even in Oakland). Anything around the 50 receptions mark can be expected along with anything around 600 yards and a couple of TDs. A lot will depend on his ability to get YAC, something he excelled in at College. Much more of an exciting dynasty prospect and usually goes in around the early part of round 2.

SIGN. ME. UP!

In a Different League

As I have just come to the end of my first dynasty mock draft with pretty much a bunch of people I don’t anything about, I found the draft much more difficult to complete and be happy with my team. There were various reasons for this so I thought I would do a quick post on do’s and dont’s for anyone either new to fantasy football or maybe trying a different format of league. Some handy hints when doing drafts, prepping and general in season guidelines to follow to help you get the most out of your fantasy football.

Rule 1 – No Regrets

I can absolutely guarantee that at some point every season in every league you play in, you’ll have a decision to make (get paid the big bucks, me).

You’ll ponder over a trade decision, you’ll wonder how much FAB to spend on a player on waivers and you’ll definitely weigh up who to play in your flex spots each week.

Sometimes it will keep you (me) up at night trying to figure out what is the best decision to make and more often that not, they become rash decisions and consequently wrong ones.

When mulling over these types of decisions in your leagues, trust your gut instinct. If you don’t, luckily the Internet was invented so that you can go and find some information to try and make a more informed decision.

Whatever decision you make in the end, be happy with it. Have no regrets that the decision you made was the best one you could have made with the information you had available to you. You can have regrets about not having enough information or not researching enough but never have any regrets about making the decision. It’s the best way to learn from the wrong decisions. It stops you hating players further on down the line, it stops you from making subsequent wrong decisions about that player that may have let you down previously (we’ve all been there, right?).

Another good example is your league’s yearly draft:

You are in the middle of Round 4 and you are thinking of reaching for a player (I don’t know, lets say Golden Tate) but you are afraid of the reaction of your league mates or you aren’t sure if it’s the right decision. If your gut says to you you want that player, then select him, but don’t be mad at the decision if it doesn’t turn out to be as fruitful as you’d have hoped. Be mad that you didn’t do enough mock drafts and see that the player you want regularly went a round or 2 later. Be mad that you didn’t go to a website that charts Average Draft Position (ADP) and look at data detailing the player’s trends leading up to the draft. Don’t be mad at the decision when you selected him, because that’s what you wanted to do and felt it was right.

Again, if it turned out to be a bad decision, make sure understand why it was a bad decision and put steps in place to make sure it doesn’t happen in subsequent drafts.

Other examples include trading with league mates:

If you trade CJ Anderson for Odell Beckham Jr, dont be made at the decision to click the accept button (or offer button for that matter), be mad that you didn’t think to explore scenarios that could’ve played out and seen that this was a knee jerk reaction and a rash decision. Don’t be mad at CJ Anderson and Odell Beckham from a fantasy perspective either, it’s not their fault.

At the end of the season, if you can say hand on heart you had no regrets, then you’ll find that even if your season didn’t end with a playoff run, you’ll have a lot more fun with it and be at ease that you sucked.

Rule 2 – Prep, Prep Prep

If you want to trust other peoples opinions and put polls on Twitter to help you with your starting lineup, go right ahead. You’ll regret it (usually), and that breaks the first rule of Fantasy Football (see above). If you cant be bothered to put the time in to look at players match-ups, stats, news throughout the week on injuries and previous game footage to help you make an informed decision about next week’s lineup, you’re destined to fail at some point, usually the playoffs. (unless your opponent has done less of it than you or he forgets to set his team).

For the more casual fan, this is fine. It’s a bit of fun, no money is exchanging hands and bragging rights are not of utmost importance (to which you then go and set your Premier League fantasy team captain…smh). But to most, they are in leagues now where there is a small (to large) monetary buy in to ensure people continue throughout the season and don’t lose interest. If you are in one of these leagues and don’t apply yourself to the rule above, you are a fool.

Now I’m not saying quit your day job and be a full time NFL nerd. But have an app that gives you the latest news, maybe put an hour aside at the weekend to take a look at match-ups, player performances and stats to help you analyse best what team to put out on a Sunday. Trust me, you’ll find rule 1 a lot easier to adhere to.

Rule 3 – Know your league, Know your opponents

This one has multiple aspects to it.

Knowing your league is simply knowing all the different scoring nuances in it.

Do you know what the points system is for your defence and special teams? Do you know how many points your QB gets for a passing touchdown? Do any of your players get extra points for a 100 yard game?

If you don’t know the answer to these questions, your draft can go horribly wrong and you may well be scuppering chances at winning championships before the season has started.  This mainly applies to leagues that are either standard scoring or PPR to be honest, which most of you will know but I bet there are a staggering amount of GMs out there that don’t even know which type of league they are in. The same comments apply for your team. Know how many players at each position are starters and what your flex positions are comprised of. Some leagues go 1 RB, some leagues go 2 QBs, most league will have a flex position, but can vary on what type. If you are in a 3 WR league, the value of WR are going to rise and are going to be taken a lot earlier in drafts. Don’t get caught out by this and leave yourself with a depth of TY Hilton, Emmanuel Sanders, Nelson Agholor and John Ross when you have to play 3 of them each week. It’s not going to end well.

An extension of that is to try and know how your opponents operate and play the game:

What players/teams do your opponents like to have on their teams? Does one person much prefer having running back depth or do they stream QBs?

Knowing these little nuggets can help you get the most out of trade deals and can also help you to “one up” them in your drafts, provided you stick to your principles of course. Don’t go and select someone purely because the person after you in the draft probably wants them. Only select them if they will make a useful addition to your team, or a good trade piece if you are getting great value from the pick.

(Just as an extra note, know that if you are in a dynasty league, GMs usually place a lot more value on youth than in normal redraft/keeper leagues so take advantage by drafting a mixture of the top end talents for the older players as well as youth. You’re welcome)

Rule 4 – Don’t try too hard accounting for bye weeks

Lots of players always worry about bye weeks in squad composition (I use to be one of them) and whilst this definitely applies to BestBall leagues, all other leagues, don’t worry about it so much.

Even after weeks 2 or 3, your team could look a lot different. Either through trading or the waivers, what may have been a sticky situation for week 4 or week 8 may no longer be the case after a few games have been played. Injuries, depth chart clarity (or even lack of clarity) can mould the look of your team from the outset so when drafting, don’t worry too much if your team is quite lopsided. You should never shy away from drafting the best player for your team because of a bye week.

 

These 4 rules should help you become more competitive in leagues but more importantly, enjoy the game more. At the end of the day, it’s all about socialising with friends and having a good back and forth whilst the games are playing. If you aren’t, you’re breaking one of the above rules.

Start the article again.

The Ultimate Fantasy

Whilst doing a podcast with Derek Morrison (which you can find on our blog page or podcast page by the way…), he mentioned to me about an idea he had about a fantasy football league…and it blew my mind.

You have people that like Bestball leagues, you have people that like PPR over standard scoring and some people are crazy for Superflex or dynasty leagues.

But why not have them all as part of one big network of a fantasy league?

Better yet, why not use this to raise funds for good causes?!?!

12 managers, 6 Leagues, all the permutations, all of the different drafting options used. This my friends, could be a thing of beauty.

It would bring together all the different flavours of fantasy football and would no doubt leave the winner, the undisputed fantasy football king.

“How would it work?” I hear you cry…

The 6 leagues would be as follows:

-IDP (Individual Defensive Players)
-Superflex League (2 Quarterbacks in starting lineup)
-Bestball (I have done a recent blog post on Bestball which is also available on my blog page)
-Full PPR
-Standard scoring
-Dynasty League

There would be the 3 drafting options shared out equally amongst those leagues.

Bestball and Dynasty leagues can have the slow/email type of draft, the IDP and PPR can be auction drafts which leaves the Superflex league and Standard scoring leagues with the regular live draft room type of draft (or have it however you want it)

Points are awarded on top 6 finishes in each of the leagues, with slightly more weighting on the more intense leagues. Finishing 6th would give you one point, 5th giving 2 points, 4th place rewarding 3 points, 3rd receiving 4 points and 2nd receiving 5 points. The IDP and Dynasty leagues would have a higher weighting of points for first place than the other leagues. Dynasty League getting 8 points for the winner, IDP receiving 7 points for winning and all other leagues receiving 6 points for 1st.

The manager with the most points from all 6 leagues wins. Simple.

To go one step further and get a full flavour of all the different paltforms, you could even use the whole host of providers to accommodate the different leagues. Fleaflicker would obviously get the dynasty league and a Bestball league can be hosted by draft or MFL. Then it can be dealers choice for the other 4. Using ESPN, Yahoo, NFL and some other providers would also give you a full flavour of the ultimate fantasy experience.

It sounds, on the face of it, absolutely ridiculous and would require even the utmost attention from all fantasy gurus and engrossed fantasy managers but surely it could be one way in determining amongst your friends, who is the ultimate fantasy football GM.

The burden of being the commisioner can also be shared out amongst the GMs because let’s face it, people wanting to do this are likely to be GMs already. A GM can take a league each and administer to help share out that side of fantasy football which would also ensure buy in from the GMs.

The real great thing about this idea is that you can customise any of this to your hearts content. Maybe there is a company out there willing to harness all of the variations fantasy football brings to bring this all together and modernise the fantasy football game even more…

Who’s interested? We currently have 3 out of 12 signed up.

@Tim_Monk85 / @full10Yards (me)

@DerekDecanted

@FFatHomeDad

Get in touch with us on Twitter (@full10yards) or by email full10yards@gmail.com

Balling with the Best

Haven’t done an article for a little while so whilst I wait to depart for my second Britball game later today which pits the Clyde Valley Blackhawks hosting the West Coast Trojans, I have been thinking about doing something of this ilk, looking at Bestball (also known as MFL10s) and looking at who to target in the later rounds.

We’ll do a couple in each skill position and I would love to hear your alternatives.

Get in touch @full10yards on social media (and follow/like/subscribe to the podcast).

For those that are unaware of this more modern approach to fantasy football, it is a format with pretty much 1 rule – just draft.

All you need to do is draft your players, and the site that hosts your bestball league will pick your optimum lineup each week. Simple.

No more stressing about whether to play Jamison Crowder or Isiah Crowell in your flex spots each week (though if they are your choices…yikes) nor which QB or Tight End to stream. You simply draft a squad of players, ensuring you have depth at each position.

This is mainly catering for bye weeks; Bestball the only format where you should be looking at bye weeks as you get further in to the draft because there is no waiver wire or trading available in this format. Picks are usually made via a slow email drafting format mechanism (default is usually 8 hours per pick but is customisable depending on your game host) so you also don’t need to worry about getting all of your league managers together for a few hours to do a live draft.

Myself personally, I enjoy the roster management aspect of fantasy football. I enjoy having to make the decisions that can win or lose me weeks. Whilst I enjoy drafting and can see the appeal to those that just want to watch the football rather than their apps to see the scores in their fantasy league, it’s just not for me.

That said, there are certain players that suit Bestball and here are a few players that I think suit Bestball the most in each position.

Just before we start, here are a few tactics you should ensure you deploy in Bestball leagues.

  • Draft 3 Quarterbacks – if you draft 2 QBs, and 1 gets injured (like Ryan Tannehill did last season in my bestball league), you are going to lose points when your other QB is on a bye, leaving you at a severe disadvantage.
  • Draft a top tier TE at least. I say this because the flex position can also be filled by a Tight End, so even selecting 2 top TEs can give you the edge over the rest of the field. Someone like a Travis Kelce/Zach Ertz paired with a Delanie Walker/Kyle Rudolph would probably be ideal. You probably want to employ a similar tactic as with QBs, draft 3. There are some late round TEs that can score you points this year including ASJ, Ben Watson (massive sleeper alert) and Cameron Brate.
  • Remember it’s full PPR format. This changes a lot in both Bestball and normal leagues. Your players get 1 point for every reception they have, making possession receivers and passing down backs more relevant in fantasy football.
  • Ensure you have a mix of high floor and high ceiling players. Doing my fest Bestball last year, in hindsight, I probably should have gone for higher ceiling players. My usual modus operandi is to generally draft safe floor players to ensure i dont end up bottom. Whilst this serves a purpose in roster management leagues where you can sneak wins some weekas, in Bestball, you can get found out because usually, 3 or 4 players will always score higher than you thus, not actually giving you much chance of winning. Therefore in the early rounds, get your studs in each position that have huge ceilings. Compliment that with the higher floor guys in the later rounds and you’ll have a recipe for success. Ensure there is a balance there as picking to many volatile players in terms of conistency can see you sky high in 1 week, but then propping up the table the next.

Ok, I think we’ve covered the basics, now on to those that are decent plays in the later rounds

Quarterbacks

Dak Prescott – Dallas Cowboys

Now I know a lot of you are scared of Dak Prescott. The WR corps, the interceptions in the back half of last season, I get it. But let’s look at last season from a fantasy perspective.

Dak was a top 12 QB for 8 out of 16 games last year, including his first 6 games in a row. In fact, his 4 top 5 finishes in fantasy were bettered only by Cam Newton, Russell Wilson and Carson Wentz.

To further this, if you take out the weeks where Zeke wasn’t available to the team, Dak finished as a Top 12 QB in 7 out of 10 games. Not bad for someone who isn’t even being drafted in most leagues. Zeke is back and Dallas have made an effort to get their Offensive line sorted in terms of depth, adding Connor Williams and Cameron Fleming in the draft and Free Agency respectively. Add to that, Zack Martin signing a huge extension to ensure that the are all there for the foreseeable, things are looking up in terms of opportunity for decent scores in fantasy football. He is great with his feet, giving you the extra 2 pts for his rushing touchdowns which has totalled 6 in each of his first 2 seasons in the league as well as his average of over 300 rushing yards.

Again, the beauty of Bestball is that you dont need to predict when Dak has a good game so selecting him as your 3rd Quarterback in the late late rounds of your draft is a shrewd move for this year, as there are lots of players willing to swerve. I’ll have him ALL day.

Philip Rivers – Los Angeles Chargers

Whilst the 35 year old offers nothing with his mobility or feet, Rivers too is someone perenially overlooked in fantasy. Rivers was a top 12 quarterback for 11 out of 16 weeks last season, althought only making the top 5 twice. Rivers is a great compliment to any of the other QBs you select in the draft because if they have a bum week, Rivers is more than likely going to save you from a disastrous week. Sure, he has the odd game here and there that involves multiple turnovers, but again, you aren’t trying to find the matchups that suit in Bestball. Hunter Henry injury does leave a bitter taste in the mouth a little bit, but Rivers is accustomed to working with limited options.

Mike Williams should be able to show why he was a first round pick last year, returning from his multiple injuries and the rest of the Wide Receivers have been there multiple years now, not forgetting Melvin Gordon’s abilities out of the backfield and Austin Ekeler too.

Rivers is someone in the high floor category rather than high ceiling, which is what the stats are suggesting from last year, but Rivers has always performed well in fantasy football and he should be on your teams this year considering the low draft capital.

Running Backs

Kerryon Johnson – Detroit Lions

Alvin Kamara was the steal last year and whilst there are a multitude of nominees for this year’s Alvin Kamara type of find, at this point in the season, it is just nothing but a dart throw for all of the rookies. The reason I go Kerryon Johnson in this spot is purely potential. Kerryon can be a 3 down back and whilst most people groan about the selection, there is no-one last year that I have seen that was beating the drum about Alvin Kamara so you have to be speculative. No-one wanted anything to do with Kamara for the first 6 weeks of last season with Adrian Peterson and Mark Ingram mudding the backfield and I see a lot of similarities here.

Kerryon has to not only beat out perennial underachiever Ameer Abdullah (which wont be too hard as I see Abdullah being cut and finding a home elsewhere), but also Free Agent signing LeGarrette Blount. The 2 time Super bowl winner from the last 2 years joins the Lions ranks and with Matt Patricia coming over from New England to be the head coach, these two will know each other well. Add to that 3rd down/passing back specialist and PPR machine from the last 5 years Theo Riddick, I totally understand if you don’t want anything to do with Johnson.

But hear me out,

Reports from OTAs and murmurs from beat reporters in Detroit is that they LOVE Johnson.

His final year in college saw him rack up 285 carries for over 1300 yards and 18(!) touchdowns at Auburn. He is a big, powerful runner and is elusive for his speed and isn’t afraid to put his head down and bulldoze through tackles. Something Ameer Abdullah simply wouldn’t do (also supports the signing of Blount, who is a similar type of runner so he is someone to learn from).

Let’s not forget that Detroit traded up in the 2nd Round to go get him too! This was when Matt Patricia was already at the Lions so it’s not as if you can say that Patricia isn’t tied to this guy. I think you’ll see a handing of the torch at some point in the season, with Blount taking the early weeks of work whilst Kerryon gets accustomed to the league, but as a potentially double digit draft pick, give me this guy. I think the stars will align for Kerryon fairly early on and it wouldn’t even surprise me to see him be the lead back by Week 1.

Tevin Coleman – Atlanta Falcons

Now Tevin Coleman is not exactly a double digit round pick but his value is great in most leagues, especially this year.

Coleman is in the final year of his contract, and is likely to find a new home next season, possibly being the 2019 Jerick McKinnon, so the motivation is there for Coleman.

He was also very efficient through the air last year, having the 3rd highest average amongst running backs behind Todd Gurley and Chris Thompson. Coleman on the whole is a very efficient player for fantasy. He always makes the most of his opportunities and always finishes his runs hard. He scores plenty of touchdowns too for someone taken in the 6th, 7th or 8th rounds (currently the 30th RB off the boards according to fantasyfootballcalculator). Coleman finished as an RB2 or better 10 out of 16 games last season and for someone you can potentially draft as your flex spot or RB3 bye week plugger, Coleman is a guy you should be keeping an eye on in drafts.

The offence regressed back to the mean last year after the dizzy heights of 2016 and I do think they can improve on 2017 certainly, if maybe not quite repeating their heroics of Super bowl year.

Honourable mentions: Matt Breida, Austin Ekeler, Rod Smith

Wide Receivers

Mike Williams – Los Angeles Chargers

Mike Williams missed the majority of last season so a lot of this has to be taken on trust.

The 2017 first round pick enters his second season after suffering a herniated disc in his spine in last year’s offseason, and was unable to muster a finish better than WR45 in half point PPR last season (go figure).

Williams is another that is being undrafted or is a last round dart flyer in most leagues.

The case for Williams however, is that he has the ability and skillset to thrive in this offence, even with Keenan Allen starting 16 games (we’ll come on to that shortly). Philip Rivers has been able to support multiple high end WRs in fantasy football over the years and I don’t see how Tyrell Williams and Travis Benjamin are more than bit part players. THe lack of Tight end opens up a whole host of opportunities in this offence and I see Williams as the main beneficiary. The 6 foot 2+ WR from Clemson is a big play guy which is illustrated by his College stats, aveergaing over 15 yards per reception over the 4 years there. Whilst he had his injury troubles in Clemson, when he was on the field for any length of time, he was able to produce. I don’t worry about his ability to transfew his pass catching skills to the NFL, it’s just the injury worries that could leave you disappointed this year.

The same can be said for Keenan Allen however, who was finally healthy for all 16 games last season, but if Allen is unable to repeat that, Mike Williams could become a league winner in fantasy.

His motivation is the chip on his shoulder to prove everyone that he was worth of the first round pick in 2016 (and has as such, been vocal about it) and I am excited to see how it plays out for the former 7th pick overall in his 2nd year in what should be a higher than average offence.

Mo Sanu – Atlanta Falcons

Mohamed Sanu was an unsung hero last year for the Falcons, posting 5TDs and over 700 yards from 67 receptions playing second fiddle to Julio Jones.

Similar to Coleman, I have picked Sanu on the potential that the Falcons offence can reclaim their 2016 form (almost) and that the arrival of Calvin Ridley helps spread this offence out even more.

Sanu was able to compile 8 top 30 finishes last season and that is a decent return for someon that is pretty much undrafted.

The division is an offence heavy one so there are plenty of opportunities for Sanu to post big numbers more frequently than most that you find at this point in drafts and as a last round dart throw, you can do a lot worse than Sanu.

Honourable mentions : Randall Cobb, Mike Wallace, Nelson Agholor

There is an early look at some people I like in Bestball this year. I deliberately haven’t gone Tight end or defences, as I will cover that later on in the summer.

Again, if you have anyone that you feel I should have included, get in touch!!