Hello everyone! Logo here again to bring you an article of who I presume will be a “bust” in terms of value/average draft position and overall production. All players listed below are my own personal opinion and do not have any relation to them as a true athlete being in the NFL! ADP is determined off of a 12 team ADP from The Fantasy Football Calculator. And away we go!
Kenyan Drake (5.10)
Okay this one might be a gimme but hey the proof is in the pudding!
The 27 year old is coming off a career year playing for the Arizona Cardinals putting up 239 carries, 995 yards and 10 touchdowns on the ground along with 25 receptions for 137 yards allowing him to finish as the running back 14 ( Let me remind everyone, Saquon Barkley, Christian McCaffery, Joe Mixon, Austin Ekeler, and James Connor all missed time last year affecting the numbers for fantasy finishes).
Sounds promising… until he signed with the Las Vegas Raiders, which according Drake in his introductory press conference via the teamwebsite “ he is going to use me was just being on the field in a multitude of ways, playing receiver, playing running back.”.
What does that mean for fantasy?
A gadget player for Gruden to take on and off the field, using in specific game scheme’s when Josh Jacobs is getting stuffed in the box. Don’t forget, they still have Daren Waller, Henry Ruggs, John Brown and Josh Jacobs to complete with touches compared to last year, Hopkins, Larry Fitzgerald and Christain Kirk.Drake is going from the 12th ranked offensive line (Arizona Cardinals), to the 24th best (Las Vegas Raiders).
While mid-round running backs have a chance to be great, that is an expensive handcuff to Josh Jacobs, who is currently going in the middle of the 2nd round. To me, save yourself from having two players who play the same position on a sub-average football team.
Chase Claypool (6.09)
Rookie sensation for the Pittsburgh Steelers finished as the wide receiver 19 last year and is currently being drafted as wide receiver 30 this year.
Since he was a waiver wire pick up in most leagues last year (or selected with the last pick in the draft) that value is incomparable to this year’s midround ADP. Claypool’s success typically came when the Steelers were ahead and at home, averaging just under 6 points more per game at home (16.2 to 10.7) and games ahead just about 5 points (14.6 winning to 9.8 losing).
Why is his ADP so high?
Week 5 from last year he finished as the wide receiver 1 with 7 targets, 110 yards and 3 touchdowns. Take that game out and from weeks 6-17 he was wide receiver 25 (right at his value now) and the last 5 games of the season wide receiver 46 with 8 points per game. Put that into comparison to players, in the last 5 games of the season you would have been happier with Nelson Agholor (WR 20), T.Y. Hilton (WR 9), and Sterling Sheppard (WR 15). Juju, Donate and Claypool will all be drafted in redraft.
Wait for the last of the 3 to be drafted and get a chance at the wide receiver one for the team.
Rob Gronkowski (8.07)
The big guy is coming back for another season under Tom Brady! Sounds like a chance to continue his top 10 finish right?
Maybe not, considering the entire gang from Super Bowl 55 is coming back (Antonio Brown is to be determined however as Buccaneers homer one can hope!).
If you like your tight ends to be big boom and bust plays, look no further than Gronk himself. While it is not hard to be a top 10 tight end in fantasy each year, his numbers might surprise you. Ending the year with an average of 2.8 targets and 38.9 yards per game he averaged 13.8 yards per catch he finished as the tight end 8, similar to Tyler Higbee finished with an average of 2.9 targets, 34.7 yards per game averaging 11.8 yards per catch put him at tight end 18 on the year.
Gronk’s ADP of 8.07 in comparison to Higbee 12.03 allows you to wait if you don’t get one of the top 5 (Kelce, Kittle, Waller, Hockenson and Andrews). Gronk also has a familiar face in Tampa Bay, O.J. Howard coming back in 2021 healthy, who was on average tight end 8 for the first 4 weeks while Gronk was tight end 38.
Support your league mates into drafting this guy and give a cheers for whoever drafts him as you know it won’t be you after reading this tid bit!
While all of these players I am presuming as busts, players who drop 3 or more rounds in value based on ADP are safe to draft as you are not drafting them at their ceiling. I appreciate you taking the time to read this if you made it through.
Find me on twitter @loganbrown0805 as I want to hear your feedback. Disagree with me? DM’s are OPEN!