Welcome to Week 12? Week 11.5? Turkey Week!
After a very successful DFS Week 11 (no thanks to your hamstring, Marcus Johnson!) I’m back mere days later to extoll the virtues of three games on our Thursday docket. Yes, the first one stinks, the second one is bland and the third is a complete mess but that’s basically a standard three-course meal at a Harvester (Google it, my American brethren). No forced-narrative-theme riffing on The Hunt For Red October or Band of Brothers this week. I know, I’m heartbroken as well.
QB – Andy Dalton
If Cam Newton’s appearance in this article was a Lazarus-style return to DFS relevance then the Red Rifle’s Rising is a phoenix from his flame-like bonnet as Justin Fields’ broken ribs won’t make the trip to Ford Field to beat up on a Lions team that continues to be all kinds of ugly. Whilst QBs don’t grade out as strong as you’d think against Detroit in DFS, at $5,500 he is a solid investment. I mean, Trevor Siemian is more expensive for crying out loud!
RBs – David Montgomery/Ezekiel Elliott
Thanksgiving Day Miracles do exist! I’m stacking Bears players! What a testament to how awful Detroit really are. Whilst he’s not done much since Week 4 (23/106/2), that October matchup was against none other than Detroit. I love this pick at $6,000 so let’s see if Montgomery burns the Lions again…
I try to steer away from the big money plays here and there’s an argument to be made that Tony Pollard is just as a good of a pick at a more reasonable $5,600 as opposed to the $8,000 Zeke will set you back. 2020 aside, Zeke is good for triple digit scrimmage yards on Thanksgiving and usually a score to boot. That kind of rock solid production is exactly what we’re looking for here.
WRs – CeeDee Lamb/Emmanuel Sanders/Marquise Goodwin
Lamb is expected to clear concussion protocol after being a full participant in practice on Wednesday and given the dearth of true WR1s not named Stefon Diggs this Thursday I think stacking Lamb with Elliott (and someone else later on) is a smart play at $6,900.
The Bills have been a boggling mess this month and they are very fortunate to be playing a Saints team that’s beyond banged up. I expect Diggs to be blanketed by Lattimore which leaves Sanders/Beasley as the next WR up for Allen to find and given it’s a ‘return game’ (rather than a true revenge game) for the recent Saint, I like Sanders to have a nice game. $4,800 feels like a price tag to take advantage of.
Another Bears player?! Go home, Dave, you’re drunk. Much like my Jaylen Waddle pick last week, this has a boom-or-bust feel to it and is also smothered in rich, delicious recency bias as Goodwin is coming off a 104 yard receiving game. Again, this is a low-floor, high-ceiling pick at $3,800 but this allows us to grab a couple of big names. Such as…
TE – Darren Waller
What were you expecting? Jimmy Graham? Cole Kmet? If only…The Cowboys aren’t particularly strong against TEs and Waller is basically the only reliable target outside of Hunter Renfrow right now. He’s at the top end of TE price-wise at $6,400 but I don’t see many other options to go to. Although there might be one guy who could help us out in the flex spot…
Flex – Dakton Schultz
The adopted child of F10Y after Blake Jarwin’s injury misfortune, #AlwaysSchultz is a possible steal for this set of games as the Raiders rank similarly poorly against TEs as the Cowboys do. It feels peculiar to be stacking Cowboys after their recent anaemic offensive performances but Thanksgiving feels like a get-right day for them. After our splurges on Waller and Zeke it does leave us on a bit of a tight budget but this is a solid pick at $5,300.
DST – Buffalo Bills
Trevor Siemian’s glass slipper has shattered and it seems like the remaining playmakers of the Saints offense have fallen on the shards. Even if the Saints somehow pull off a win against the Bills, it won’t be in a shootout and this Bills team is going to be playing angry after having their butts kicked by the Colts for sixty straight minutes last Sunday. They’re a bargian at $3,100.
Enjoy your Thanksgiving!