By Jake Linley-Brown (@JakeLB12)
This is my first DFS article for the Full10Yards family, which is exciting. I also like spending money I don’t have, so in that case, let’s make it rain.
QB – Kyler Murray – $6,500 (Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
Murray is putting down his claim for the NFL Rookie of the Year award (Josh Jacobs, I see you too). The impressive rookie threw 2 TD’s on Sunday against the tough 49ers defence, who hadn’t allowed a TD pass since Week 3. He’s also led this fun Cardinals team to outings of over 25 points in 4 of their last 5 games, which is a bit of a surprise considering the 3-5-1 record.
This week, Kyler goes up against the Bucs D, who seem to only like defending the run. The Bucs are allowing the 3rd most QB fantasy points per game, which is averaging out to 22.7 points per game for whoever lines up behind centre. Basically, Murray is money this week.
RB – Christian McCaffrey – $10,500 (Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers)
I should just leave this bit blank because you all know by now what CMC has been up to; it’s biblical. Averaging over 30 points a game in PPR, on pace to top LaDanian Tomlinson’s video game numbers of 2006, dropping 150 yards from scrimmage on the regular…quite simply, he’s the best player in fantasy football.
Not that matchups matter for McCaffrey, this Sunday’s is pretty juicy. It’s the frozen tundra that is Lambeau Field and a Packers D that is in the top 5 most generous defences in terms of points allowed. Don’t even blink – put Christian in.
RB – Devin Singletary – $5,000 (Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns)
I wrote a column a few weeks ago predicting our guy Devin would eventually topple the immortal Frank Gore in the Bills backfield – in Week 9, it finally happened. 140 scrimmage yards, with 95 rushing, led to a career day against the Redskins. Interestingly, that was the most scrimmage yards by any Bill in over 2 years.
This week’s matchup is against the Browns, who are currently looking like a stain of the same colour. The Browns are allowing the 5th most yards per game on the ground to backfields, not to mention all the other problems. Singletary is great value here, and seemingly on a roll to boot.
WR – Mike Evans – $7,600 (Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
There is always the danger with the Bucs in picking who is going to go off at any given week – Godwin or Evans. This week, I’m expecting Magic Mike to be the one who blows up. Evans has 23 catches in his last two games, which totals to 78.8 points in PPR scoring. In other words, he’s pretty darn good and the early season inconsistencies seem to be a thing of the past.
If you needed any more encouragement with parting with that cold, hard, virtual cash, the Cardinals allow more passing TD’s than anyone else. Evans is a WR1 and then some.
WR – Jamison Crowder – $5,000 (New York Giants @ New York Jets)
Sam Darnold has had mono (I can’t spell the scientific term) and seen ghosts in the past few weeks – to put it lightly, it’s been tough for him. Thankfully, Crowder has come back into the fold after being MIA for the early part of the season. 8 catches with a TD against the terrible Dolphins last week hopefully means he’s turned the corner. There’s also no denying the Darnold-Crowder connection underneath, looking like somewhat of a security blanket at the line of scrimmage.
Week 10 pits the two New York teams against each other, which isn’t worthy of any ‘Super Sunday’ billing. That being said, the Giants are allowing the 2nd most points (42.2 in PPR) per game to receivers. Crowder is a good shout here at the mid-range level.
WR – Russell Gage – $3,400 (Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints)
McCaffrey, Evans…Gage?! No, not that failed Nokia phone of the late 90’s, but the Mohamed Sanu replacement down in Atlanta. Gage had a season-high 47 offensive snaps, hauling in 7 of 9 targets in Week 8 against Seattle. Evidence suggests that he’s now 3rd on the WR chart for a team that’s pretty bad and will no doubt have to chuck it, a lot.
Matt Ryan is back this week for the trip to New Orleans, which also works in Russell’s favour. With Julio Jones likely to get extra attention from Lattimore and friends, the floor could open-up for Gage to engage his QB’s attention (ropey, but I’ll get my coat).
TE – Gerald Everett – $4,500 (Los Angeles Rams @ Pittsburgh Steelers)
The TE position is, as we all know, a barren wasteland. For a bit of value backed up by some worthy statistics, I think you could do a lot worse than Everett this week. His form has been patchy as of late – being held to only 2 catches twice in his last 3 outings – but his performances against Seattle (7 catches, 136 yards) and Atlanta (4 catches, 50 yards, 1 TD) in the last month or so give me hope.
For the trip to Heinz Field, I’m more optimistic than ever. The Steelers are in the top 10 for favourable matchups to the TE position. Combine that with coming off a bye week and the potential upside of more targets thanks to Brandin Cooks being out, I see $4,500 as a snip.
FLEX – Mike Gesicki – $3,100 (Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts)
Now we’re getting a bit weird. Mike Gesicki sounds more like a mob boss than an NFL Tight End, but I digress. The sophomore had his biggest game of the season last weekend, catching 6 balls for 95 yards against the Jets. There also seems to be a bond forming with Ryan Fitzpatrick, which is helpful for us, but also helpful for Fitzmagic considering he’s not got a lot else to throw to in Miami.
This week’s opponents, the Colts, have allowed the 7th most fantasy points per game to TE’s. Even better, the game script will most likely mean Gesicki being targeted often. It’s a punt, sure, but you can’t have all the stars mentioned above without some unknowns here and there, can you?
DST – Baltimore Ravens – $4,000 (Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals)
Ryan Finley is the QB for the Bengals. The End.