NFL Draft Betting

Couple of tips on the NFL Draft betting:

  • Follow trusted sources, watch the money. Do not be fooled and aimlessly betting on wild rumours around twitter.
  • Set a budget – with COVID19 , it’s now more important to ensure you can only gamble what your can afford. Don’t be silly!
  • For player position over/under draft position- take a look at the number and the teams around that number and the needs of those teams. For example Justin Jefferson at 21.5. The Eagles have the 21st pick (Adam mentions Cole Kmet in the podcast).
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£100 Challenge

Shaun’s Mock 1.0

So, let me start by saying that I have never done a mock draft. I usually read hundreds and might even have a play around on a mock draft simulator, but I’ve never actually taken pen to paper. Maybe it’s being in “lockdown”, or maybe it’s recording our series of “wayyyy too early” pods and discussing team needs, but whatever it is, without further ado I give you………

Shaun’s Mock Draft 1.0 (of all time…….)

1 – BENGALS SELECT – JOE BURROW – QB

NFL Draft Film Room: The best throws of Joe Burrow's historic 2019 ...

So I might not win prizes for getting my first pick bang on, but surely this is effectively signed and sealed? The Bengals hope to land their franchise QB for the next decade or more.

2 – REDSKINS SELECT – CHASE YOUNG – EDGE

The best player in the draft could become a transformational piece on the Skins line. Look at what Nick Bosa brought to the 49ers and imagine that being replicated in DC.

3 – DOLPHINS SELECT – TUA TAGOVAILOA – QB

Trade w/DET – MIA sends #5, #56, 2021 2nd

The dolphins might not “need” to make this trade, but there is no way they leave it to chance. Tua is the QB that has been talked about here for over 12 months, with all the draft capital not just this year, but next, the dolphins make their move.

4 – GIANTS SELECT – ISAIAH SIMMONS – LB

This is what I “think” will happen and not necessarily what “should”. Simmons is viewed as a sexier pick and Dave Gettleman passes up on all of the premier tackles (poor Danny Dimes)

5 – LIONS SELECT – JEFF OKUDAH – CB

From Miami

A perfect scenario plays out for the Lions as they get the man that they would have taken at #3. The best corner in the draft fills a big need, and extra capital is gathered in the process.

6 – CHARGERS SELECT – JUSTIN HERBERT – QB

I didn’t “buy” the Tyrod Taylor talk when he was in Cleveland, and I’m not buying it now. The Chargers hope to be nowhere near the top 10 next year so they take their QB here whilst the opportunity presents itself.

7 – BRONCOS SELECT – CEEDEE LAMB – WR

Fantasy Football 2020 NFL Draft Profile: Is CeeDee Lamb the top ...

Trade w/CAR – DEN sends #15,#77,2021 2nd

The Broncos trade up to grab the wide receiver of their choice. With Courtland Sutton on 1 side this could form a tantalizing partnership for years to come. I have Denver as a dark horse this year to surprise a few people.

8 – CARDINALS SELECT – MEKHI BECTON – OT

There is talk of a wide receiver going to Arizona but after investing in Kyler Murray its time to find him some protection. Becton is raw but possibly has the highest ceiling of the tackle class and the combine drugs test doesn’t bother the Cardinals.

9 – JAGUARS SELECT – DERRICK BROWN – DL

The Jags are in a rebuild and start by trying to re-establish what was considered a formidable defence a few years ago. Josh Allen played well on the line last year and is joined by the Auburn prospect to give the Jags some nice building blocks.

10 – 49ERS SELECT – JERRY JUEDY – WR

Trade w/CLE – SF sends #13, 2021 2nd

The 49ers look primed for a wideout and with Lamb off the board and receiver needy teams ahead of them they pull the trade for the Alabama man. This is a big need to take pressure off the run game and also replace Emmanuel Sanders.

11 – JETS SELECT – TRISTAN WIRFS – OT

The Jets will be thrilled if this scenario plays out. Explosive and athletic, Wirfs will start day 1 and provide Sam Darnold with some much sought after protection.

12 – RAIDERS SELECT – HENRY RUGGS – WR

The last of the big 3 receivers comes off the board to Las Vegas. Although scheduled to pick again at 19 they pull the trigger on the defense stretcher here and wait to address other needs.

13 – BROWNS SELECT – ANDREW THOMAS – OT

From San Francisco

Jets 2020 Draft Prospect: LT Andrew Thomas - Full Press Coverage

Offensive line was the Browns biggest weakness last year. With Jack Conklin added via free agency, the Browns address the left hand side with the selection of Thomas who they may have taken at #10 had they stayed put.

14 – BUCS SELECT – JEDRICK WILLS – OT

The Bucs have invested in Tom Brady and now they invest in his protection. With Donovan Smith on the left side, Wills can start off on the right side of the line and learn from playing with Brady to begin his career.

15 – PANTHERS SELECT – JAVON KINLAW – DT

From Denver

The Panthers have a lot of holes to fill on this roster and replace the slightly disappointing Gerald McCoy experiment with the 6ft 5inch, 325lb man mountain in the middle that is Kinlaw.

16 – FALCONS SELECT – CJ HENDERSON – CB

The consenus 2nd best available corner in the draft becomes an opening day number one corner in Atlanta for a secondary that has been a weakness in recent years.

17 – COWBOYS SELECT – KRISTIAN FULTON – CB

The Cowboys continue to retool their secondary with the addition of Fulton out of LSU. Safety is also an option here but free agency moves dictate the move is made at corner.

18 – DOLPHINS SELECT – AUSTIN JACKSON – OT

Miami traded away their premier left tackle in Laremy Tunsil so now they have to use some of that capital to find a replacement. There is talk of them trading up but I feel they value Tua more so sit at 18 and pick the tackle here.

19 – RAIDERS SELECT – JEFF GLADNEY – CB

The Raiders switch attention from their biggest offensive need at #12 to their biggest defensive need here. Gladney is a physical corner who should start right away in the Vegas defensive backfield.

20 – JAGUARS SELECT – JUSTIN JEFFERSON – WR

The Jags switch the opposite way to the Raiders and now go offense by adding a legitimate weapon to the passing game. Gardner Minshew will have someone other than DJ Chark to throw to at last.

21 – EAGLES SELECT – XAVIER MCKINNEY – S

One safety for the Patriots in each round of the 2020 NFL Draft

I can’t believe I have the Eagles making this pick as is their history of trading up or down but safety is a need and the best available prospect is on the board, sometimes just do the simple things.

22 – VIKINGS SELECT – JOSH JONES – OT

Tackle makes a lot of sense for the Vikings. Jones is a raw prospect but might not need to be pushed into day 1 starting duty so this is a good landing spot for him.

23 – PATRIOTS SELECT – JORDAN LOVE – QB

I refuse to belive that the Patriots will not address the quarterback position in a big way over the course of the draft. The board is kind to them here as they stay put and take Love who is the consensus “best of the rest” option.

24 – SAINTS SELECT – PATRICK QUEEN – LB

The Saints don’t have a lot of obvious holes but lnebacker is one that probably does need some help. The LSU product provides the Saints a rangy presence at the second level of the defence.

25- VIKINGS SELECT – TEE HIGGINS – WR

The Stefon Diggs drama is over and with one of the picks that trade landed the Vikings look for a replacement. The Clemson product carries enough deep threat to be a nice compliment to Adam Thielen.

26 – DOLPHINS SELECT – K’LAVION CHAISSON – EDGE

A surprising fall this far down the board possibly but if it works out this way the Dolphins will be thrilled. A new QB, LT and now a pass rusher would be an excellent nights work in South Florida.

27 – SEAHAWKS SELECT – YETUR GROSS-MATOS – EDGE

Another team within need of pass rush help get it at the back end of the first round as Seattle lands the edge rusher out of Penn State.

28 – RAVENS SELECT – KENNETH MURRAY – LB

2020 Raiders Draft Prospect: LB Kenneth Murray - Full Press Coverage

The Ravens linebacker room has been depleted over the last few seasons and they are able to start the rebuild here with addition of Murray.

29 – TITANS SELECT – TREVON DIGGS – CB

An underrated roster doesn’t have many holes to fill and for me this was a toss up between offensive line and cornerback. Corner is the selection here as Stefon’s baby brother heads to an AFC rival of his brothers new team.

30 – PACKERS SELECT – DENZEL MIMS – WR

Outside of Davontae Adams can anyone honestly name a Green Bay receiver (outside of Packers fans)? Mims projects as a good running mate for Adams with size and speed to beat 1 on 1 coverage.

31 – 49ERS SELECT – EZRA CLEVELAND – OT

The 49ers will need to be on the lookout for Joe Staley’s replacement and pick the Boise State product who is a perfect fit for the wide zone scheme in San Francisco.

32 – CHIEFS SELECT – D’ANDRE SWIFT – RB

The rich get richer! The needs of linebacker and corner can wait as the guys the Cheifs may have taken are gone so they pick the drafts best running back to add to their already high powered offensive unit.

 

Tim’s Final Mock Draft

By Tim Monk (@Tim_MonkF10Y)

Here we are then, everyone. We made it (and well done to you for doing so!). A final mock draft means that the real thing is just around the corner. A 2 round mock from yours truly to whet the appetite ahead of the big few days in a world where we are thirsty for anything sport related (how about that marble racing!?).

I don’t know how excited you can get at being able to see inside Roger Godell’s house, but it’s happening, get over it (on a side note, if he dubs in to the broadcast a chorus of boos, he’ll instantly turn from heel to a face WWE style). Let’s see in which order the names will be announced with regards to how I see it playing out come Thursday.

Let me know your thoughts, are you happy with your team’s selections. Make sure you check out some of our other mock drafts by our other talented writers, with the link on the homepage and don’t forget to get involved with our prediction competition!

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(1) Joe Burrow – QB

Obvious and everything that needs to be said has been. So let’s move swiftly on.


(2) Chase Young – EDGE

Yes, Washington have decent defensive line presence and yes they have put some feelers out for people that may want the pick to come and take a QB, but no-one is on the other end making the call so Washington stick here and pick the monster that is Chase Young.


(3) Jeff Okudah – CB

Corner is a big need for Detroit and Okudah is by far the best CB in the draft. First 3 picks are simple. Do Detroit trade back here? I think they would like to trade back with Miam, but Miami know that their trading rivals wouldn’t dare poke the bear so nothing happens here.


(4) Tristan Wirfs – OL

Gettleman uses all his bits of stacked paper to etch the name Wirfs on his draft selection card (are those still going to be written on this year?). Giants don’t trade during the draft and another option could be Simmons, but protecting Danny Dimes should be the focus with this pick.


(5) Tua Tagovailoa – QB

First big pivotal point for this mock draft and the Dolphins take Too. Would seem to be a waste of all that tanking and not get the guy you were being touted for for almost 12 months! Even better, they let him fall in to their lap.

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(6) Isaiah Simmons – LB

After one pivotal selection, this one will be the same come draft night. Do the Chargers take Herbert? Well, as you can see…no. They take another piece to add to what could be a top 3 defence in 2020.


(7) Derrick Brown – DT

I would fully expect Panthers GM David Tepper to field calls for this pick and could get a lovely haul for it too should Herbert fall here. But the slide continues for the Oregon QB and Carolina add a cinder block to their defensive line. Are they tanking? Are they not? who knows, but this defence could be bottom 3 bad in 2020.


(8) Mekhi Becton – OT

I do not expect Arizona to field calls for this selection as their offensive line has been a wreck for longer than the Titanic. They pretty much get their pick of the litter here and take the half man, half monster in Becton. Coming from Louisville, he could probably pass off his helmet for a Cardinals one. There’s a couple of hundred dollars saved.


(9) Jedrick Wills – OL

Trade w/ JAX – TB sends #14, 45, 2021 2nd

We all know how much New England Tom liked offensive lineman. Tampa Tom is no different. Bruce Arians and co signal their intent by grabbing possibly the best lineman in the class, to add to a offensive line the ranked inside the top 10 according to PFF in 2019, giving all that time for Winston to…erm..yeah.


(10) Andrew Thomas – OL

I do get a sneaky suspicion that the Browns could trade back here and allow the WR party to get started. However, as the offensive lineman are starting to come off the board, the Browns may not get one if they go back to 12 or 15 so they pick the last of the big 4 lineman to help Baker Mayfield.


(11) CeeDee Lamb – WR

Trade w/ NYJ – DEN sends #15, #77, 2021 2nd

Similar comments for the Jets apply here with regards to O-lineman. This shows how pivotal it is for the Jets that Justin Herbert, still available here, goes inside the top 10 as it would allow them to get the last of the OL. However, they don’t so decide to accumulate a few more picks. Denver trade up to get the first stab at the WR and take CeeDee Lamb to partner Courtland Sutton in an offence I have high hopes for in 2020.


(12) CJ Henderson – CB

The Raiders may think at this point that they can chance their arm at WR because if the Jets wanted one, they would’ve stayed at pick 11. So Las Vegas’s first pick is CJ Henderson to help bolster a defence that started to turn a corner towards the back half of last year.


(13) Javon Kinlaw – DT

As a direct replacement for DeForest Buckner who they traded to the Colts, they pick man mountain Kinlaw and he’ll slot right in at home and that ferocious D-Line will be just as mean in 2020.

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(14) Justin Herbert – QB

From Tampa Bay

Don’t be surprised to see Jacksonville have THREE first round picks in this draft, getting the additional one by way of trading Yannick Ngakoue or Leonard Fournette. Josh Dobbs should not be anywhere near 2nd on a depth chart. The Jags get some actual competition for Minshew. Yes, the Jags like him now, but wait ’til he stinks it up in the first 6 weeks of the season, the team in disarray. Mark my words, the Jags come out with a top 4 or 5 QB from this draft. It’s Herbert in this one falling to them.


(15) Jerry Jeudy – WR

Pick from Denver

The Jets get someone at 15, who they could have taken at 11. That is #Value. A big name to replace Robby Anderson in the WR and immediately comes in as their number 1. Now they just need to keep Darnold upright to do make into something useful.


(16) K’Laivon Chaisson – Edge

In the running for “most obvious pick to come true” betting without Joe Burrow and Chase Young, this surely has to be it. Tak McKinley and Vic Beasley have not lived up to the hype so Atlanta reload the gun and add another bullet to the chamber.


(17) Kristian Fulton – CB

I REALLY want Dallas to take Xavier McKinney here, but the signing of HaHa Clinton-Dix makes me feel like they’ll address safety later, possibly in the second round.


(18) Josh Jones – OL

Miami add a lineman to protect their new star QB with the 2nd of their 2 1st rounders. After splashing a lot on defence through Free Agency, expect the Dolphins to maybe use all 3 picks in the first round on the offensive side of the ball.


(19) Henry Ruggs – WR

Vegas get away with it a little bit with still having Ruggs on the board, who could have possibly gone before this pick. Only Hunter Renfrow from the wide receivers covered himself in any glory and Say Jones isn’t the answer to any question.

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(20) Xavier McKinney – S

A really versatile piece in the Jags new look defence as they take the safety that can do pretty much everything from make plays in the back but also come up into the box. Guy loves a tackle. Don’t rule out a WR in the first round after the release of Marqise Lee, but it’s likely a position to address in the later rounds


(21) Justin Jefferson – WR

Philly probably won’t be as aggressive as they usually are due to hearing that they want to take care of their picks this year, luckily the number 4 WR lands here. Dustmen were lining up for the Eagles last year and still were able to make the playoffs, Jefferson will be a great tool for Pederson and Wentz.


(22) Jeff Gladney – CB

It’ll be interesting to find out whether the Vikings use either of their first round picks to draft a replacement for Stefon Diggs. Seeing as though 4 WR are off the board, a 5th here could be a bit of a waste so instead they retool their defence after a mass exodus during Free Agency.


(23) Ezra Cleveland – OL

You are seeing this right and it isn’t due to a trade but the Patriots select from 23 this year. They use that pick to add Ezra Cleveland. On a side note, don’t be surprised to see Joe Thuney offered to the masses during the draft after they placed the Franchise Tag on him.


(24) Kenneth Murray – LB

Not too many positions of need for the Saints and they are not cap healthy either so don’t expect any trading up like they did for Marcus Davenport a few years ago. A solid player here falling to #24.


(25) Patrick Queen – LB

Trade w/ MIN (BAL sends #28, #92, #106)

Baltimore got steamrolled by Derrick Henry in the Divisional round in 2019, Patrick Queen will help ensure they do not suffer a repeat. With the offence on fire, Baltimore take a defensive player with their picks and move up a few spots at the cost of a 3rd and 4th.


(26) Y. Gross-Matos – EDGE

Miami were awful last year at getting pressure and getting sacks. Gross-Matos will come in and help right away.


(27) Jordan Love – QB

Trade w/ SEA (IND sends #44, #75, 2021 2nd

Chris Ballard is usually quite conservative with his draft picks. However, Jordan Love is still here and Philip Rivers is on a 1 year deal. Love would be perfect to sit behind Rivers for a year and take over the mantle for a team still counting the cost of Andrew Luck’s retirement.


(28) Jalen Reagor – WR

Minnesota are next on the clock at #58 so unless they can move back a tiny bit once more, it’s likely that the cream of the WR crop has well and truly vanished. So here they take Reagor to replace Diggs.


(29) Austin Jackson – OL

Titans said goodbye to Conklin, which was a grave error in my opinion. However, they try to rectify that huge loss by selecting a replacement here.

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(30) Laviska Shenault – WR

Green Bay have probably lost patience with their wide receivers not named Davantae Adams. They try once again with a bit more heavy investment and take Shenault who is going to be exciting to watch if Rodgers can find anything next year.


(31) Noah Igbinoghene – CB

I fully expect the 49ers to trade back here to a CB needy team, but they need one themselves and they address 2 of the few holes they have on defence with both 1st round picks. Richard Sherman has to retire one day…


(32) DeAndre Swift – RB

There is no love for the running backs these days. Kansas again could trade back a few spots and acquire some more draft capital but it would be also very fun to see Swift in an Andy Reid offence.


2nd Round


33. CIN – Denzel Mims WR

34. IND – Tee Higgins WR

35. DET – AJ Epenesa EDGE

36. NYG – Zack Baun EDGE

37. SEA – Cesar Ruiz IOL (Trade with LAC, SEA sends #44, #75, #133)

38. CAR – Damon Arnette CB

39. MIA – KJ Hamler WR

40. HOU – Julian Okwara EDGE

41. CLE – Joshua Uche EDGE

42. JAX – AJ Terrell CB

43. CHI – Trevon Diggs CB

44. LAC – Isaiah Wilson OL (From IND, SEA)

45. JAX – Ross Blacklock DT (From TB)

46. DEN – Bryce Hall CB

47. ATL – Jonathan Taylor RB

48. NYJ – Lucas Niang OL

49. PIT – Neville Gallimore DT

50. CHI – Ashtyn Davis S

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51. DAL – Kyle Dugger S

52. LAR – Terrell Lewis EDGE

53. PHI – Jaylon Johnson CB

54. BUF – Curtis Weaver EDGE

55. BAL – JK Dobbins RB

56. MIA – Antione Winfield Jr S

57. LAR – Jordyn Brooks LB

58. MIN – Justin Madubuike IDL

59. SEA – Prince Tega Wanogho OL

60. BAL – Grant Delpit S

61. CLE – K’Von Wallace CB (CLE Sends #74, 97)

62. GB – Cole Kmet TE

63. KC – Jeremy Chinn S

64. LV – Brandon Aiyuk WR (LV Sends #81, #91)

Fantasy: 5 Sleepers to watch where they land in the NFL draft

by Rob Grimwood – @FFBritBaller

Every season we see late round sleepers from the NFL draft proper that fall into good landing spots which in turn can lead to fantasy production. Players like Aaron Jones or Antonio Brown who were 5th and 6th round picks respectively.

Take a look at these players and make sure you keep an eye on where they land this weekend. They could be a good landing spot away from becoming a great fantasy sleeper for this season and beyond.


Antonio Gandy-Golden, Wide Receiver – Liberty


Projected Round Drafted: late 3rd/4th

Gandy-Golden was a consistent producer for Liberty over the last couple of seasons. He had 71 catches for 1,037 yards and 10 touchdowns as a junior in 2018 before notching 79 catches for 1,396 yards and 10 TD’s last season. He quietly impressed in Indy during the NFL Combine too where he ran a 4.6 40-yard dash and also got 22 reps on the bench press, second best among the receivers at the workout.

Photo Credit: Jerry Ratcliffe

At 6-4, 223lbs – Gandy-Golden brings good size for a receiver on the outside and is effective with contested catches thanks to possessing superior hands. He has a great YAC ability too, so if he lands in a spot where there’s room for an outside receiver and a competent quarterback, Gandy-Golden could wind up to be a valuable fantasy asset.

Perfect Landing Spot: Indianapolis

Next best: Houston, Philadelphia


J.J Taylor, Running Back – Arizona


Projected Draft Round: 7th/Undrafted

Before converting to running back, Taylor was a defensive tackle at high school which should give you some indication that there is a lot of power behind that small frame. At 5’5, Taylor comes in “undersized” and will be overlooked because of this, but sometimes being small has it’s advantages. He has a lower centre of gravity which, when hit, gives the impression he just bounces off tacklers.

Despite a slight fumbling issue in 2019 (8 fumbles, 6 lost) Taylor finished 7th in the FBS with 1,434 yards on the ground with a 5.6 ypc average and scoring six times to earn third-team Associated Press All-American and first-team all-conference accolades. He can also be effective in the passing game finishing 2019 with 16 passes for 133 yards (8.3 per reception) and also as kick returner, combining for 540 yards off 22 kickoffs with 1 return TD.

Photo Credit: Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

J.J Taylor will likely end up as a last round dart throw for a team or could even wind up an undrafted free agent after the weekend is over; but he will get picked up by someone and will have a training camp. Teams will likely see that he’s different style of running back, yet a productive one. If given a chance and in a team that needs a unique running back to add a different dimension to their offense, Taylor could wind up edging his way to a fantasy relevant role as the season plays out. Definitely one for the taxi squad in dynasty leagues.

Perfect Landing Spot: Kansas City

Next best: Miami, Los Angeles (both teams)


Darnell Mooney, Wide Receiver – Tulane


Projected Draft Round: 6th

Mooney is a very rough mid-late round diamond. He needs to refine his route running as his current style would struggle in the NFL and work on cutting out the drops, but most of the negatives for Mooney are aspects that can be coached at the next level. The vision and pace that he has however, can not be coached and therefore he already has a leg up on any competition that he may have. He ran a respectable 4.38 at the Combine and has the ability to turn any short throw into a long gain.

Mooney earned second-team All-AAC honours in 2018 after ranking sixth in the FBS with 20.7 yards per catch and finished that season with 993 yards and 8 TDs.

His explosiveness would best be suited to a slot role and ideally paired up with a quarterback who has a nice deep ball as his ball tracking is at an elite level already. If Mooney lands in the right spot and develops good chemistry with his QB, he could quickly become an explosive fantasy asset.

Perfect Landing Spot: San Francisco

Next best: New Orleans, Minnesota

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Albert Okwuegbunam, Tight End – Missouri


Projected Draft Round: 3rd

It’s no secret that tight ends usually need a year to bed into the NFL before becoming fantasy relevant. But most tight ends aren’t like Albert O. From time to time we’ll see a couple of rookie tight ends that break the mould and do put up respectable fantasy numbers, i.e Hunter Henry or Noah Fant last year. Okwuegbunam is this years’ Henry/Fant.

Albert O is the ultimate redzone weapon. Over his 3 seasons in college football he’s totalled 23 touchdowns. In his first 2 collegiate seasons he had 881 receiving yards and averaged 12.2 yards per reception over that spell. Last year those numbers dwindled slightly, which many believe that was down to him losing his quarterback to the NFL last off-season, Drew Lock. This downturn in performance has hindered his draft stock but the beast within still remains present as he showed at the Combine when he produced a 4.49 40 yard dash. Electric for a 6-5, 258lbs specimen.

Photo Credit: Daniel Shular/Missourian

Providing he lands in an offence that needs a bigger redzone presence and with a quarterback that has used tight ends previously, Albert Okwuegbunam could be draftable in fantasy football from day 1.

Perfect Landing Spot: Atlanta

Next best: Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Green Bay


Isaiah Coulter, Wide Receiver – Rhode Island


Projected Draft Round: 5th

Coulter is a raw, but super talented receiver out of a small school. These are the type of players you really have to watch closely over draft weekend. He possesses the tools to become a real success in the NFL after some pro-level coaching. He has great length, speed and agility with good hands and athletic ability. He needs to find some more aggression at the next level and the route tree needs polishing. But providing he lands in a decent spot, Coulter could be the best of this bunch when it comes to fantasy production.

He didn’t blow anyone away at the Combine in March, but a healthy 1,039 receiving yards and 8 TD’s last season with a good highlight reel should be enough to get a few teams excited. Coulter was the shining light for a College that’s only managed 9 wins in 3 years.

Perfect Landing Spot: Las Vegas

Next best: Green Bay, Minnesota

2020 NFL Draft: Bold Predictions

 

Less than 48 hours to go. At the Full 10 Yards we’ve been waiting way too long for this draft, and we imagine you have been as well!

With all the smokescreens and rumours flying around, we thought it’d be fun to throw out some bold predictions for the draft.

  1. Rob Gronkowski to the Bu… Oh

Whilst writing this article, we got a reminder of why the NFL off-season is nearly as entertaining as the real thing – Rob Gronkowski came out of out of retirement and was traded to the Buccs.

Not only does this add another weapon in Tampa for Tom Brady and Bruce Ariens, but it also seemingly adds another interesting veteran to the trade block just before the draft starts in OJ Howard.

But back to the bold predictions, here’s a few from the @Full10Yards crew:

Andy Moore (@Ajmoore21): Only two QBs go in the top 10

It feels almost inevitable after months of speculation that a QB goes 1st overall, then at 3 or 5, then again at 6. But, in recent weeks there has been doubts about the Chargers taking a QB at 6, and now as we enter the week itself, there’s rumours of the Dolphins taking a tackle with their first pick.

It could all be a smokescreen, in fact it most likely is, but how fascinating would it be to see Tua drop down the board a bit, and the scramble amongst unexpectant teams to get a QB they didn’t think they’d have a shot at getting.

On the flip side, if Justin Herbert starts to fall, it’ll be interesting to see where he eventually lands, could the Saints get their future QB without trading any capital to do so? Could Colts come up into the bottom of the first and take him?

Sean Tyler (@seantyleruk): Atlanta Falcons move up to #3 and take the top corner

Most of the mock drafts I’ve seen go Joe Burrow #1 to the Bengals, Chase Young to Washington at #2 and then Jeff Okudah to the Lions. With that in mind, I’m going to mess with that scenario and say the Ohio State corner goes to the Falcons at #3.

Atlanta’s GM, “Trader Thomas” Dimitroff, is no stranger to wheelin’ and dealin’, not least when he handed over a few picks to the Browns to nab Julio Jones at #6 in 2011. With the rumour mills in full grind, there’s growing chatter that Atlanta are considering another big move up from #16 for a defensive star.

They have needs at linebacker and defensive tackle but I’m going corner, to replace recently released Desmond Trufant. CJ Henderson from Florida is getting some traction and maybe a deal with the Cardinals or Jaguars inside the top 10 might be enough. But we’re talking bold predictions here so how about a trade with Detroit, who are apparently listening to offers, for the top CB available?

On the flip side, the price might be too rich and the Falcons aren’t blessed with draft capital (only six selections). But with many teams ahead of them also looking to trade down for more picks, it can’t be ruled out. The Falcons also have ambitions to bounce back after going 7-9 last year so they’ll want players who can contribute right away while the likes of Matt Ryan and Julio Jones – and now Todd Gurley – are still around.

 

James Fotheringham (@NFLHypeTrain): San Francisco do not get any of the top 3 receivers

Jerry Jeudy, CeeDee Lamb and Henry Ruggs III have been projected to go to the Jets, Raiders and 49ers at 11, 12 and 13. The 49ers are in a bit of a quandary. They could sort out their need at WR but as it stands, they don’t pick again until the 4th round after their second pick in the 1st round (31).

Surely then, one of the two picks will be traded? And with teams looking to target players I can see the 49ers taking the capital and trading down from either spot.

However, trading down from 13 will almost certainly leave them with no chance of getting one of the previously mentioned receivers. That leaves them with the likes of Justin Jefferson or Donovan Peoples Jones. It won’t be a disaster but it will leave 49ers and fantasy fans somewhat underwhelmed.

There is a possibility that, if the Jets take a tackle, Jeudy gets picked by Raiders and one of the Broncos, Dolphins, Jaguars and Eagles are suddenly in a position to trade up and get Lamb or Ruggs at 13, thus providing the 49ers with good trading partners.

The other option is that they keep pick 13 but replace Buckner with a new DT like Javon Kinlaw, as we saw in the Full10Yards mock draft, but I sense the draft capital they get offered by teams in the QB or tackle hunt may be too much to turn down.

 

Dave Moore (@davieremixed): The Broncos take the best player left at 15

The agreed play is that the Broncos take one of CeeDee Lamb/Jerry Jeudy/Henry Ruggs III or a defensive lineman and that makes sense given the need for playmakers opposite Sutton and Fant as well as the Derek Wolfe-sized hole on the line.

But are you telling me that if John Elway has a chance to pick Tua or Herbert if they fall that far that he won’t? Or if Jedrick Wills somehow falls that far in the ensuing chaos he won’t seek to replace the disaster that is Garrett Bolles?

 

There we go then, four predictions that would cause a stir come Thursday night. Tell us what you think will happen at @full10yards.

2020 NFL Draft Dark Horses Part 2 by Kieran Patterson

In the first part of this article I explored four players who I personally felt were overlooked in terms of draft hype this year. For one reason or another these players are slipping through the cracks and despite their talent, they aren’t going to get taken until the final couple of rounds, in some cases. In part two of NFL Draft Dark Horses I’m going to take a look at another group of players who aren’t getting the hype or attention they deserve this year.

Josh Love, QB, San Jose State

Despite winning the 2019 Mountain West offensive player of the year award San Jose State quarterback Josh Love is getting little to no attention in terms of his pro potential.

A pro style quarterback who put up some seriously impressive numbers with 3,923 passing yards, 22 touchdowns and 8 interceptions in his 2019 campaign. While he may not get a lot of looks because of his 6’, 200lbs frame, his play speaks for itself. Love displays great awareness and isn’t afraid to take a hit if he can make a play. He converted pressure to sacks at the lowest rate in the country last year (only 9%) and earned a 68.9 passing grade while under pressure. (9th in the country) While I see Love going undrafted, I think a team like the Patriots, Cowboys or Colts should take a chance and see what Love can bring to their training camp and see if he can produce during a pre-season.

Teams would be stupid not to give this kid a chance.

Jonah Jackson, IOL, Ohio State

A graduate transfer from Rutgers, Jackson figured some time in a powerhouse program was all that was needed to raise his game to the next level if he wanted to go pro.

Boy! What a year he had.

Ohio State led the conference in rushing this year, in no small part to Jackson’s great run protection work in the trenches. While PFF don’t think Jackson has the quickest feet or most powerful frame for his position these things are offset by some great short sets and quick hips, Jackson is a nightmare for anyone he gets his hands on.

Jackson also won 58% of his one-on-ones despite splitting time between 3 different interior positions. This sort of versatility is a big bonus for Jackson given his projected draft position.

While he sometimes handles his run blocks a little up the frame, his aggressiveness and ability to run second level blocks vertically on outside zone concepts is a valuable asset that will serve him well in the pros.

Marc-Antoine Dequoy, S, Universite de Montreal

Now this might actually confuse some people who aren’t really clued in on Canadian football and  Canadian colleges but the rules in Canadian football are a little different to what you’re used to in the NFL or American college systems. 3 downs, vertical movement is allowed by receivers pre snap, bigger field and different kicking rules.

However, with a guy like Dequoy his raw talent makes this a non issue. A 4.36 40 yard dash time should be enough for teams to take a little notice of him – This is a kid who made the All-Canada team 3 times across his college career, (2x first team selections). The 6’2” 200lbs safety has all the traits to make him a valuable pro player, his 2019 campaign saw him rack up 37 tackles, 1 tackle for loss, 1 pass breakup and 3 interceptions across 8 games.

With other Canadians making an impact in the NFL it would be good to see a team take a chance on this guy with a late round pick and possibly develop his talents to see how far he can go in the NFL.

Ben Bartch, OT, Saint John’s (Minnesota) (DIII Program)

Now unless you lived in Minnesota or watched the senior bowl there’s a good chance you have no clue who Ben Bartch is. If you did watch the senior bowl then you’ll know that this DIII program offensive lineman came in and showed out against guys from Alabama, Florida and other big name programs.

He’s a 6’6”, 309lbs beast who allowed just 4 quarterback pressures inside 12 games…that’s pretty impressive if you ask me.

You may know him for his repulsive weight gain shakes that enabled him to add 60 pounds to his frame as he moved from tight end to offensive tackle.

Bartch has great technique and athleticism, and if you package that with his grit and determination they make up some great qualities in what you’re going to need in the trenches in the NFL.

I think if a team like the Texans or Seahawks pick this kid up it will really take their passing offence up a notch – Wilson and Watson will get better with more time to throw. These are bold claims to make but I’m 99% sure Bartch’s ability will back these claims up when he’s given some game time in the pro’s.

Follow Kieran on Twitter @DCCYTFootball

Follow Kieran on Instagram @DustCoveredCleats

2020 NFL Draft Dark Horses Part 1 by Kieran Patterson

Every year, draft websites and draft coverage is always focused on the Joe Burrows and the Chase Youngs of the world but often there’s some amazing talent hiding in days 2 and 3 of the draft. So today we’re going to break down some of the top Dark Horses in this year’s draft – These guys are players that I think should be rated higher than they are or players who are going to really prove that they really are a first round talent. 

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, LSU

If we’re talking underrated players going into the 2020 draft Clyde Edwards-Helaire is a talent that needs a lot more attention, because I think personally he’s a first round talent and should be picked on day one. The Baton Rouge native was nothing short of electric this year picking up 1,414 rushing yards and 16 rushing touchdowns, accompanied by 453 receiving yards and a singular touchdown.

You didn’t come here to read stats though, you came here to hear exactly why these players deserve to have more eyes on them.

The most impressive thing about Edwards-Helaire is his lateral movement and vision, which is why you’ll see his best moments at LSU when they run gap schemes. Edwards-Helaire doesn’t possess the necessary downhill speed to tear off big 50-60 yard touchdown runs, he has the hips and lateral speed to exploit gaps and give you 10-20 yards on a play.

There is no other player in this draft that can spot a gap, pop his hips and make a play like Edwards-Helaire.

Anthony Gordon, QB, Washington State 

Gordon battled Gardner Minshew for the Washington State starting job in 2018 and only just fell short to the eventual NCAA passing leader.

Despite a 3 year wait before he won the starting job Gordon proved he was worth the wait, with 5,579 passing yards, 48 passing touchdowns with only 16 interceptions and was named second team all Pac-12. Gordon possesses a ton of traits that set him up well for when he makes it to the pros and not just in a gunslinging air raid system like the one Mike Leach ran with Gordon at the helm.

Although sometimes rattled by interior pressure, Gordon is willing to take a hit to deliver a pass and makes some great anticipatory throws in the middle of the field. His delivery is compact, efficient and he can really lead receivers in stride underneath when it is called for.

While Gordon is on some teams boards as early as the 3rd round I personally think Gordon is a day one talent.

Colby Parkinson, TE, Stanford

In his last season at Stanford, Parkinson put up very average numbers with 29 catches, 485 yards and 7 touchdowns, however Parkinson didn’t drop a pass and came down with the most contested catches amongst draft eligible tight ends.

So besides being a huge target with safe hands what does Parkinson do to set himself apart from the other tight ends in this class? Physically, his height and length create some huge matchup issues in the red area and he is able to extend the high point to play over safeties – Parkinson has incredible body control to help him make adjustments downfield. My only real issue with his size as I think he needs to bulk up a little bit to really be a top level tight end in the NFL.

Parkinson certainly has day one talent and a bunch of upside with very little downside, if you want a big pass catching tight end this is the player for you!

Logan Wilson, LB, Wyoming

Despite being a two time All-State player coming out of high school Logan Wilson only had two scholarship offers, Weber State and Wyoming. I’m sure plenty of colleges were kicking themselves after seeing this kid play. 

Cementing himself as one of the best linebackers in college football and by far the best linebacker in the Mountain Western Conference (MWC), Logan Wilson has been nothing short of amazing.

Yet still some mocks have him going as late as the 4th round and I have no idea how!

In his 2019 campaign Wilson tallied 62 solo tackles (105 total), 1 sack, 1 forced fumble and 4 interceptions. While the MWC not exactly being stacked with top tier teams is still very very impressive. 

Colleagues at the Full 10 Yards joke that I use the word “Instinct” too much but if I’m being honest, Wilson has it. His build and ability would allow him to play MIKE or SAM linebacker and he has a high motor runs hot and means that Wilson is getting after it on every single down he’s on the field. Lastly, Wilson has elite fundamentals and impressive recognition that help him diagnose and shut down plays easily.

However, Wilson’s high motor can cause some jitters meaning he will need to balance his activity level with patience – That’s another small downside that can be worked out early in NFL training camps. This can also lead to Wilson being baited out of position with some false keys by more complex offences but once again…training will fix that.

Hopefully Wilson lands with a team that recognizes his talent and gives him the chance to shine, maybe the Patriots…please Bill!

If there’s any players I’ve missed feel free to message me on social media with anyone I could possibly add to a part 2!

Follow Kieran on Twitter @DCCYTFootball

Follow Kieran on Instagram @DustCoveredCleats

The Jury’s out: Should Miami Draft Tua Tagovailoa or Justin Herbert at 5?

As the 2020 NFL Draft draws ever closer, the chatter linking Justin Herbert with the Dolphins grows ever louder –  Are Miami no longer Tanking for Tua and changing plans at the last moment? Is it a case of somebody making something out of nothing, or is it a smokescreen created by the Dolphins?

We won’t know the answer until the pick is in but this is the theme for today’s piece – We have Lee (@Wakefield90), who is arguing the case for the Dolphins to take Tua and we have Dolphins fan, Andy (@AJMoore21) who is pulling for Herbert.

You can decide for yourself which path the Dolphins should follow… First up, we’ll hear what Lee has to say about Tua Tagovailoa.

Why should Miami draft Tua Tagovailoa over any other QB? This is what I am trying to convince you of today. I’m taking on our resident Dolphins fan, Andy Moore (@AJMoore21) who it seems is getting cold feet a little bit when it comes to Miami taking Tua in this month’s draft.

You can hear us talk about this a little bit on our podcast that we recorded on How Free Agency Affected the First Round of the NFL Draft – Available, like all Full 10 Yards Podcasts, in all the usual places.

Anyway, let’s get into this then and let me tell you why Miami should draft Tua Tagovailoa and live happily ever after… hopefully, at least.

First and foremost, let me address that all draft picks, whether that be a guaranteed top 5 pick who is coming off a decorated college career or a late round roster filler, all come with risk.

Tua’s risks, in my opinion at least are few and far between, there’s just one perceived risk that hangs over him and feels considerably larger than anything else, and that is of course, the small matter of a broken and dislocated hip that he suffered last year and perhaps his general injury history.

One thing I will say, is that this is obviously not an ideal situation and injuries are a concern. However, the hip is by all accounts healing well and Tua has been cleared for full contact again. Injuries happen, this was a bit of a freak injury and  injuries are part and parcel of playing football, and do you know what? Every QB in the National Football League aside from Tom Brady, Philip Rivers and Russell Wilson get injured. 

Teams still win and the world keeps turning.

Miami by all accounts has been angling to draft Tua for over a year, so why get cold feet now over an injury (yes, a severe one) when most QB’s and most players will likely suffer injury at some point? I don’t know if it’d be wise to deviate from a plan, 12 month or more in the making, which has a tangible end in sight.

Injury is almost inevitable in the NFL.

Why am I so calm about this? Well, for one, I’m not a Miami fan.

No, I’m joking.

I guess I do have a vested interest though, as a Chargers fan – If Miami does select Justin Herbert then the Chargers may pick Tagovailoa. Would I be ok with this?

Yes.

Why?

Because Tua Tagovailoa is one of the most talented quarterbacks to come out of college football in recent times and was rightfully being talked up as a potential number one overall pick until Joe Burrow came along.

The draft is about getting the best possible players for your football team and Tua is a potentially franchise changing QB – He’s mobile, he’s intelligent, he’s accurate, he’s a great leader… The list goes on. I’m not saying other QB’s aren’t but he’s been there, he’s done it and he’s done so at the highest level of college football. That’s why I’d want him on my team and why Miami should take him.

Why am I not worried? Because even if the injuries do get the better of him, it’s going to be fine. For two reasons:

Firstly, when Tua is on the field, he’s going to win you games. Miami is getting better and I think Brian Flores has got them moving in the right direction. Having a good QB, on a rookie deal allows you to put your money into other positions and gives you a shot at a championship window.

And lastly… What do smart people do when they see risk? They have a contingency plan to mitigate the risk.

If the injury tag weighs heavily on your mind as the Dolphins, have a backup plan.

Currently, in the NFL coming into this draft, the demand for QB’s is outstripping supply, there are good QB’s without jobs and you already have one of the better replacement level QB’s in the league on your roster in Ryan Fitzpatrick – You can find someone to come in for Tua if he’s hurt and because you’re not sinking too much money into the quarterback position overall, the rest of your team should be good.

If Tua is a failure and he’s too banged up to have a career, so what? He won’t have cost you too much money on a rookie deal and you just draft another QB. Simple.

However, wouldn’t it be better to know what could have been rather than play it safe?

And here is Andy with his case for Miami drafting the former Oregon passer, Justin Herbert.

Bill Parcells rules for Quarterbacks:

Be a three-year starter

Be a senior in college

Graduate from college

Start 30 games

Win 23 games

Post a 2:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio

Compete at least 60-percent of passes thrown

It’s obviously not a perfect formula, and some would even say it’s outdated. However, what is certain is that Justin Herbert ticks every one of those boxes.

The Oregon Ducks product is intriguing for the Dolphins, and indeed any other QB needy team in the NFL, he offers the traditional pocket passer option, and some see him as the safe, high floor, low ceiling prospect.

Herbert is a four-year starter after making his debut as a true freshman in 2016. Since then he’s shown remarkable adaptability, working under Mark Helfrich, Willie Taggart and Mario Cristobal as the Ducks churned through coaches. The versatility Herbert has demonstrated when learning new playbooks is testament to his all-round intelligence and work rate, something that translated into good grades in College and High School.

But all that doesn’t make you draft a man to be your franchise Quarterback.

On the field, Herbert possesses a cannon of a right arm, capable of stretching the field and finding his man with a rocket over the top of the defense. But his isn’t a wild approach, Herbert’s throwing technique is balanced and he is able to adjust the angle at which he throws to work around onrushing defenders.

His technical ability and arm strength often combine to produce ropes into tight windows or where only his receiver can come down with the ball (see below vs Stanford).  

In the pocket, there has been a lot of improvement, with Herbert’s Senior season tape showing light footwork in the pocket and showcasing his natural ability to climb the ladder and step into his throws.

Outside of it, Herbert isn’t a natural runner in the style of some of the modern QBs taking the league by storm, but he’s more than capable of getting out of the pocket and picking up the first down when needed. In this year’s Rose Bowl win over Wisconsin, it was Herbert’s legs that gave the Ducks the win as he rushed for 29 yards and 3 TDs.

Mentally, Herbert is up there with the best in this draft, he goes through his progressions without panic, he can read defences and adjust plays at the line, and he is extremely calm under pressure. The latter highlighted by his game winning drive against Utah as a true freshman, in which he threw the game winning play with 0:02 on the clock.

Beyond the praise, there are clearly still things to work on, a lack of leadership ability is often the first issue raised, Herbert and those around him maintain this isn’t the case, but whichever team takes him will probably want to see a more fiery side to him in the huddle. There’s also the need to work on escapability and anticipation, especially if he’s going to play behind a Dolphins offensive line that looks anything like last years.

So why should the Dolphins take Herbert, not Tua? For me, aside from the physical tools, it’s the partnership with Brian Flores that makes sense, the work he has put in through his college career is the prime example of the ‘culture’ which is being cultivated at Hard Rock Stadium.

Combine that with the prototype build, the rocket arm and the calmness under pressure, and it’s not hard to envisage Herbert in the aqua and orange and as the successor to Dan Marino that the Dolphins have been craving for twenty years.

It’s also worth considering the draft capital that Miami has built up, some see that as further evidence that the plan all along has been to accumulate whatever it takes to take Tua. On the flip side, with glaring holes across their roster, I see every pick on day 1 & 2 as being vital to the rebuild and fully expect the Dolphins to pick at least five times before we reach the third round.

It’s #HerbertSzn, right?

Tweet us, @Full10YardsCFB and tell us who you think who should be under center for the Dolphins.