DFS roundup; Week 14

By Adam Walford (@touchdowntips)

For some It’s the most wonderful time of the year where if you’ve made your fantasy football play-offs you’re riding the high of that feeling and looking forward to this weekend with great excitement and full of smugness for your achievements of the season.

For some however it’s a far more sombre time, they’re out of it. They’re either competing in the toilet bowl or they’re sat this weekend without a matchup and waiting for the fantasy season to be over, but it doesn’t have to be like that. There is another way. There is another option!

And that option is having a dabble on Daily Fantasy Football! I shall be having a look at Draftkings and trying to pick out some high priced, and some lower priced beauties for this coming week.

Quarterback


High-priced – Lamar Jackson – $7,400

As boring as this suggestion is, I don’t see anywhere else you would want to go should you want to pay up at QB this week. He comfortably leads the position over the season, and with them facing a tough secondary this week there will probably be plenty of opportunities for him to run the ball. That’s where points are quickly accumulated in fantasy football and the chances should be there for him to do that. His opponents at the top? Mahomes vs the best defense in the league NE, Rodgers in a game they should dominate and may well be run heavy, Kirk Cousins… he should have a good game but likely without Thielen again, Diggs took a knock last week. Matt Ryan vs a decent Carolina secondary and Deshaun Watson against a good Denver secondary.

Lower-priced – Ryan Tannehill – $5,800

It’s tough to say no to the Ryans this week, I was between Ryan Fitzpatrick and Ryan Tannehill for the lower priced guy for me this week, and with the Titans having an easier matchup I went for the Titans QB. He’s facing a Raiders team who give up more long passing plays than any other in the league this year. They’ve been horrible in their couple of games on the road recently. The Raiders should be better back at home, but that could actually help the passing game for the Titans if they need to keep up the pace. Tannehill has been great on the ground as well with 3 rushing TDs in his last 4 games and he’s shown he’s not afraid to put his body on the line to get a score.


Running backs


Higher-priced – Leonard Fournette – $7,800

He might not have scored many touchdowns this year, and his offensive line might be garbage, but he’s still nearing 1,000 yards on the ground this year and has been targeted a lot this season averaging 5 receptions per game, which has risen to just over 7 receptions per game over the last 5 games, with both Nick Foles and Gardner Minshew.

Aaron Jones – $6,700

It’s been a weird few weeks for Aaron Jones this year, he was leading the league in rushing TDs after his hat-trick against the Panthers, who are ranked last in rushing DVOA (more on that in a minute) but things have taken a bit of a down-turn recently with a horrible 2.9 and 1.6 yards per carry over his last two games vs the 49ers and Giants in the snow last week. This is a decent bounce-back spot though, he’s back at Lambeau where he’s scored 8 times this year in every game bar one this season.

Lower-priced – Devonta Freeman – $5,400

He’s not scored a rushing TD this season. The Falcons rushing offense has been horrible and he’s coming off an injury. His replacement Brian Hill and Qadree Ollison have both been poor so I don’t think there’s much threat there of them taking too many carries from him. Freeman is a talented back who can be cut quite easily over the summer so it’s reasonable to say he’s playing for his career in Atlanta. BUT He’s going up against the worst run defense in the league who gave up 13 yards per carry to Derrius Guice and over 7 YPC to Adrian Peterson and 3 TDs to them in the process. Freeman is involved in the passing game too with 3 scores in that facet this season.

Patrick Laird – $4,100

Laird ran averaged half a yard per carry last week with 5 yards on 10 carries. BUT he somehow found the endzone from those carries. They’ve put Kalen Ballage on IR, either due to injury or because he’s terrible. Laird however, has been very good in the passing game for the Dolphins so far averaging about 9 yards per reception and targeted. They do face a tough run defense in the Jets but with Laird capable out of the backfield through the air, and at a budget price he’s not a terrible choice.


Wide Receiver


High-priced – DJ Moore – $7,000

Moore has been rising in price week on week, but it’s still not really quick enough. He’s had 47 targets over the last month, resulting in 29 receptions, more than 100 yards per game and 3 TDs in that span, this week they go up against the Falcons who are ranked #27 vs the pass this year according to DVOA. There’s a new head coach in Carolina, he’s likely a little more defensive, but surely your game plan should be carrying on with what’s working. Add to that Greg Olsen is out this week and that’s 25 targets (from 4 weeks) to go around as well.

Courtland Sutton – $6,400

Sutton is a beast. He’s been great this year with some awful QB play in Denver, Flacco, Allen and last week Lock and he’s succeeded pretty well with all of them. Last week he hauled in 4 of 5 targets for 2 TDs, one a brilliant one-handed catch in the end zone, and this was being covered by Casey Hayward who’s one of the better cornerbacks in the league. He’s got it far easier this week against a Texans passing D which ranks 25th.

Low(er)-priced – Zach Pascal – $5,500

Pascal’s numbers last week added up to the best of his career with 109 yards from 7 receptions against the Titans and he’ll be the main man again this week, probably even more so as TY Hilton is once again ruled out, Chester Rogers is likely missing too, he’s up against only really Jack Doyle and Marcus Johnson for competition at WR in the Colts offense, and they go up against the Bucs who are brilliant against the run, not so great vs the pass.

Auden Tate – $4,000

As a Bengals fan myself I can tell you that Auden Tate has been great this year. He’s pulled off a number of highlight reel catches and averaging about 50 yards per game for the season. He’s been pretty regular with his yardage as well, even with Ryan Finley at QB. Only two games where I’d say he’s busted for his price. He’ll likely haul in 4 or 5 catches for about 50 yards again and he’s a big body who should really be getting more looks in the red-zone.


Tight end


I don’t do high priced.

Vance McDonald – $4,300

I don’t really need to dig too deeply into this one. The Steelers are playing against the Cardinals. They’ve given up a TD to the tight end in every game this year bar the Bengals (where Tyler Eifert dropped one in the endzone) So while the Steelers haven’t exactly been what you would describe as “good” on offense this year the trend is there and has been strong. Additionally rookie QBs generally target the RB in the pass game and their tight end. Ipso Facto – Vance McDonald is the man.

Ian Thomas – $2,500

Rock bottom price here. It looks like Greg Olsen is out for this one, so it will be Ian Thomas as the starting TE for the Panthers. He had a few targets last week (4 of 4 for 24) after Olsen went out so he should be involved and for the lowest price you can get if you’ve got to save money you could do a lot worse.


Defense


Packers – $4,000

The Packers are probably rightly the highest price for this week going up against a rookie QB on the road.

Bucs – $2,300

I’m a little surprised the Bucs are this lowly priced. They scored 24 points in fantasy by themselves last week after giving the Jags QBs nightmares. So while they face one of the better offensive lines in the league they also face a team without many good passing options and they’re the best run defense in the league.


You can put together a lineup of Lamar Jackson, Fournette, Freeman, AJ Brown, Sutton, DJ Moore, McDonald, Tate and the Bucs with a little to spare this week. (We’re $100 off being able to get Pascal and it would go against the Bucs D)

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