By Andy Goddard (@godsy1985)
Fantasy playoffs are on the line as we head into week 13. This week could be the difference between an extended fantasy season or the commiseration, sorry, consolation bowl. Let’s help your push for those final playoff places as we look at the Thanksgiving games and some of the early Sunday games.
QB – Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) @ New York Giants
Rodgers is coming off a poor performance against the 49ers but he should be started this week. A trip to the big apple provides him with the perfect tonic to that stingy 49ers defence. The New York Giants have given up 7 touchdowns and the fifth most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks since week 9.
The Packers QB has had an up and down season, struggling at the beginning before clicking into gear. Is he still a top 3 QB in the league? Some would argue not on current form. He has scored big against poor defences (Oakland Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs) but has also amassed just 10 fantasy points against the likes of the Carolina Panthers and Dallas Cowboys. It’s time for another big week from Rodgers, and this is it. Start!
QB – Sam Darnold (NY Jets) at Cincinatti Bengals
Mr Mono in week 2 could give your fantasy team the kiss of life heading into the playoffs! Darnold is up against the Bengals, who give up an average of 22 fantasy points to opposing QB’s, do you need me to tell you anymore?!
If you still aren’t sold then let’s look at the numbers. Darnold has been in great fantasy form, scoring at least 21 points in three straight games and, during that run of games, he has found the end zone on 9 occasions!
He also has a favourable line up of games upcoming against the Giants, Redskins and Raiders. Darnold could legitimately take you to fantasy glory.
Notable Mentions: Jameis Winston (Bucs) @ Jacksonville Jaguars, Josh Allen (Bills) @ Dallas Cowboys.
Ronald Jones (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) @ Jacksonville
This could be a huge week for Jones! The Jaguars haven’t been able to stop the run in the past three games so Jones could go off in a similar way to Carlos Hyde, Marlon Mack, Jonathan Williams and Derrick Henry, who have each rushed for over 100 yards!
The Jags have also allowed five rushing touchdowns in those three games. Jones has scored at least 15 fantasy points in three of the past five games and he is primed for a big return this week!
RB – David Montgomery (Chicago Bears) @ Detroit Lions
The Bears should dominate the time of possession in this Thanksgiving match up as the Lions don’t have a QB and the Bears have a great defense. The Lions give up the second most fantasy points to running backs and are second in touchdowns given up to running backs. Montgomery had an average game against the Lions in week 10 finishing with 60 yards on 17 carries but I don’t think this game will be as close as that one was. He is definitely worth a spot in the flex.
Notable Mentions – Miles Sanders (Eagles) @ Miami Dolphins, Devin Singletary (Bills) @ Dallas Cowboys.
WR – Tyler Boyd (Cincinatti Bengals) vs NY Jets
You may shake you head at this one but Andy Dalton should be back under centre this week against the Jets and Boyd scored at least 12 fantasy points in five of the eight games he played with Dalton this season. In week 12 he also had a very good outing with Finley throwing him the ball. Boyd finished with five catches for 101 yards and a touchdown. The Jets defense is also struggling against the pass, allowing 10 touchdowns to receivers in the past five games. Don’t let the Bengals record get in the way of what could be a very productive day for Tyler Boyd.
WR – Jamison Crowder (New York Jets) @ Cincinnati Bengals
I think the Jets at the Bengals is going to be a little bit of a shootout so I would also start Jamison Crowder in this one. He had a poor game against the Raiders last week, finishing with only two catches for 18 yards but this week he is up against that terrible Bengals defense. Cincinnati has allowed eight receivers to score at least 11 fantasy points in the past five games and they have given up 4 touchdowns during that span.
Notable Mentions – John Brown (Bills) @ Dallas Cowboys, DeVante Parker (Dolphins) vs Philadelphia Eagles.
TE – Jack Doyle (Indianapolis Colts) vs Tennessee Titans
The Colts have lost Eric Ebron for the season so Doyles targets will go up.
Ebron had 21 targets in the past three games, so the evidence lends itself to the fact that Brissett likes his tight ends. Doyle has a nice matchup this week against the Tennessee Titans as their defense has struggled against the tight end position, allowing 15 fantasy points in each of the past 5 games.
He could be an absolute steal this week as he could still be available on the waiver wire to boast your chances at the end of the season.
TE – Ryan Griffin (NY Jets) @ Cincinatti Bengals
It feels like I’m beating up on the Bengals but unfortunately, so are other teams offences! Griffin has scored at least 10 fantasy points in four of the last five games including four touchdowns. The Bengals have allowed three touchdowns to tight ends in the past four games with three of the players amassing at least 11 fantasy points.
Notable Mentions: Dallas Goedert (Eagles) @ Miami Dolphins.
QB – Daniel Jones (New York Giants) vs Green Bay Packers
The Packers defense got destroyed last week but I have them bouncing back this week and shutting down the Giants offense. Jones scored just 14.7 fantasy points last week against the bears and I think he scores even lower this week.
RB – Latavius Murray (New Orleans Saints) @ Atlanta Falcons
Kamara is healthy and Murray’s touches are trending downwards. Since Kamara’s return Murray is averaging just 7.4 touches per game and he has scored fewer than 5 fantasy points during that stretch.
WR – Kenny Golladay (Detroit Lions) vs Chicago Bears
Stafford is out, Driskel is hurt and Blough could be coming in. Don’t take the risk and just sit Golladay. Even with Stafford under centre I would advise the sit Golladay as the Bears have only allowed 5 touchdowns to opposing teams receivers this season, which is third behind Buffalo and New England.
TE – Jason Witten (Dallas Cowboys) vs Buffalo Bills
Witten has gone nine games without a touchdown and he has scored fewer than 9 fantasy points in four of his last five games. The Bills give up the second fewest fantasy points to tight ends and have allowed just one touchdown to the position all season. Easiest sit of the week!