After our last pick of Mike Evans, we are up again with the same players to choose from.
Before we make our pick, remember that when picking on the turn, Average Draft Position (ADP) value kind of goes out the window.
We wont have another pick now for 22 picks after this, so the landscape of the player pool will change dramatically. The one thing in our favour though at this point is that we could start seeing some Quarterbacks or Tight Ends come off the board. Hopefully this means for us that we are able to nab a WR/RB at the 4.12 that is at the end of a tier break. By tier break we mean where there is a drop off in level at a position.
The good thing about picking on the turn is that you can address multiple positions in one go or bolster a whole skills position in the 2 picks so it has it’s advantages.
Take this turn for example, we took Todd Gurley first up and now have the opportunity to take 2 WR or bolster our RB duo and take a decent WR. Taking Mike Evans gives us a solid RB1 and shall we say a tier 2 WR with tier 1 upside.
With this being the case I think it’s best to go WR again to ensure we have a decent duo to start each week.
With the 1st pick of the 3rd round, The Full10Yards podcast select….Stefon Diggs
This may be considered a reach considering injuries history for Diggs and that over his career in the NFL is very much a boom or bust guy.
However, I am all in on Diggs this year.
One of the cleanest route runners in the game today, great speed and elusivity along with great catching ability, we expect Diggs to take off this year and be the No.1 in Minnesota. Adam Thielen’s breakout year last year was mainly because Diggs wasnt there and let’s not forget it took Thielen a while to get in amongst the Touchdowns. Despite injury niggles, Diggs still scored 8TDs from 64 receptions totalling 849 yards. I put the case forward that the Keenum to Thielen combination was an anomaly and it’s no guarantee that Cousins has the same rapport with Thielen. Yes Thielen is as good as the best at getting open (kind of reminds me of Doug Baldwin) and will likely see his fair share of targets too, I’m just not willing to reinvest that last season is replicated for Thielen.
You could call Diggs a Tyreek Hill lite but with Cousins there now at Quarterback, I think the signs all point to Diggs having a 1000 yard season (which would be his first), potential for 10+ TDs in what could be a high scoring offence (debate as to whether it needs to be is for another time).
It can be debated whether both WR can be supported as WR1/2 this year with the defence being as good as it is and Dalvin Cook coming back. The offensive line is not the greatest so Diggs, who thrives on post routes (88% success rate in 2017 according to Matt Harmon’s Reception Perception) will be relying on Cousins being upright for long enough to make those deeper throws.
You’ll see both Thielen and Diggs go in the same rounds in drafts this year as Thielen’s ADP has risen from last year (was around a 6th/7th/8th round pick last year) and if you want a piece of this offence, you’ll have to pick the splinters off and get up off of that fence you’ve been sitting on because the likelihood is that you’ll only be able to get one piece of this offence.
We are taking a stand and going Diggs with our 3rd round pick, giving us a roster so far of Todd Gurley at RB, Mike Evans and Stefon Diggs at WR.
Very happy. Over to Van Buren’s Boys at 3.02…